The problem here seems to be that a lot of people think you can just open up this thread and blindly bet on his needs. That's insane. Even a relatively poor selector (bettor) is going to be right about 45% of the time. So AT BEST, you got a only a 55% chance of winning. Then you have to figure trying to get the best number (not just the right side) into it, and you've lost a few more percentage points.
IMO, the very best you could hope to do by blindly following is 50/50, which is not enough to be considered a winner in this game.
That's not to say his posts are worthless, I think they are a very valuable piece of the puzzle and I definately appreciate him posting them. But they're needs, not plays and that should'nt be confused. If you want Bonus Plays, go to the Service Play Forum, and see how that works out for you. Eventually you get both sides of every game.
At the end of the day, it all comes down to gathering information, sorting thru it to decide whats credible and relevant, and decision making.