My 15* play is on the Sea Mariners at 10:05 ET. The Mariners may not be taking much of a 'price' in this one but whatever they're getting, I'm taking! I'm already 2-0 in this series between Detroit and Seattle and the formula has been quite simple. Both teams 'kill' left-handed pitching and in each of the first two games, I've had Seattle against Detroit lefty Miller and Detroit against Seattle lefty Washburn. I'll ride that trend here and take Seattle vs Detroit's Kenny Rogers. I realize that the Tigers were 24-9 (plus-$1,363) in his regular season starts LY. I am also well aware that he went 3-0 in the postseason during '06, not allowing a run over 23 innings. It hasn't gone unnoticed that Rogers has opened 3-0 with 1.04 ERA in '07, either. However, let's NOT forget that Seattle is MLB's biggest 'moneymaker' this year, at plus-$1,899. Let's also not forget that last night's loss ended a nine-game home winning streak for the Mariners, giving the team a 28-16 (plus-$1,157) mark for the season. Throw in the fact that Rogers' mound opponent tonight is Miguel Batista. Batista has had some shaky starts in '07, allowing five ERs or more four times in 17 starts. However, in 12 of his 13 other starts, he's allowed three ERs or less. Batista is 1-3 in his last five outings despite a 2.51 ERA, as Seattle has given him just 10 runs of support in those contests. While Rogers is a tough "nut to crack," I'm relying on Seattle's 16-7 (plus-$1,165) mark vs lefties (averaging 5.1 RPG) plus a solid effort from Batista to carry the day. MLB Underdog of the Week 15* Sea Mariners.
Larry Ness' Spectacular Saturday Total (now 20-4 or 83% winners for the entire season!)
My Spectacular Saturday Total is on Cin/NYM Over at 7:30 ET. Tom Glavine had hoped to reach the 300-win level in the first half but the veteran lefty went just 2-5 (5.37 ERA) over his last nine starts, including a 6.62 ERA over his last six outings. He's 26-12 all-time vs the Reds but just 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA against them in his five starts since 2004. The Reds got eight runs off the Mets last night (seven off John Maine in just 4.2 innings) and with Glavine not exactly "in the zone," expect more runs tonight. As for the Mets, their lineup should welcome the sight of Matt Belisle. He entered 2007 with just seven starts in his 96 career appearances but has been a regular part of the rotation this season with 17 starts. He was sharp early on, going 3-1 in his first five starts (team was 4-1), while allowing just a single ER in each of those three wins. However, over his last 12 starts, he's allowed four ERs or more EIGHT times, posting a 6.08 ERA (team went 2-10). That includes a "finishing run" heading into the break in which the Reds lost his last six starts, as Belisle allowed 27 ERs in 32.1 innings for an ERA of 7.52. Runs-a-plenty in this one. Spectacular Saturday Total on Cin/MYM Over. Larry Ness' 15* MLB Underdog of the Week (now 70-21 with 15* GOW plays TY!)
Larry Ness' Spectacular Saturday Total (now 20-4 or 83% winners for the entire season!)
My Spectacular Saturday Total is on Cin/NYM Over at 7:30 ET. Tom Glavine had hoped to reach the 300-win level in the first half but the veteran lefty went just 2-5 (5.37 ERA) over his last nine starts, including a 6.62 ERA over his last six outings. He's 26-12 all-time vs the Reds but just 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA against them in his five starts since 2004. The Reds got eight runs off the Mets last night (seven off John Maine in just 4.2 innings) and with Glavine not exactly "in the zone," expect more runs tonight. As for the Mets, their lineup should welcome the sight of Matt Belisle. He entered 2007 with just seven starts in his 96 career appearances but has been a regular part of the rotation this season with 17 starts. He was sharp early on, going 3-1 in his first five starts (team was 4-1), while allowing just a single ER in each of those three wins. However, over his last 12 starts, he's allowed four ERs or more EIGHT times, posting a 6.08 ERA (team went 2-10). That includes a "finishing run" heading into the break in which the Reds lost his last six starts, as Belisle allowed 27 ERs in 32.1 innings for an ERA of 7.52. Runs-a-plenty in this one. Spectacular Saturday Total on Cin/MYM Over. Larry Ness' 15* MLB Underdog of the Week (now 70-21 with 15* GOW plays TY!)
Tony Onio
No time to celebrate Friday's 2-0 sweep! There's simply too much profit out there to capitalize ..starting with tonight's Top Play!
I have started the 2nd half 3-0 and my winnings continues tonight.
1000♦NL 2ND HALF PART 3
Bonus:
500♦ Detroit - Seattle
Who's better than Tony O..... thouht so Bottom line nothing less then a 2-0 Saturday Sweep is expected!
Tony Onio
1-866-667-6629
tony@tonyosports.com
my monthly service ended ill buy today its only 9.99 for 1 day of service
No time to celebrate Friday's 2-0 sweep! There's simply too much profit out there to capitalize ..starting with tonight's Top Play!
I have started the 2nd half 3-0 and my winnings continues tonight.
1000♦NL 2ND HALF PART 3
Bonus:
500♦ Detroit - Seattle
Who's better than Tony O..... thouht so Bottom line nothing less then a 2-0 Saturday Sweep is expected!
Tony Onio
1-866-667-6629
tony@tonyosports.com
my monthly service ended ill buy today its only 9.99 for 1 day of service
Michael Cannon Money Train
Saturday's Plays:
20 Dime –
WHITE SOX (With Vazquez and Cabrera as listed pitchers)
Take the White Sox for the road win tonight over the Orioles.
Javier Vazquez gets the nod for the ChiSox and he’s won three straight starts. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 1.68 ERA in his last four starts. He has walked only three batters while striking out 33 in 32 innings during that span. Vazquez has also had success against the Orioles in his career, going 6-2 with a 5.14 ERA in 10 starts, including a complete game against them in a 5-1 win U.S. Cellular Field on July 3.
Daniel Cabrera will get the nod for the Orioles and he’s tied for the AL lead in losses with 10. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 4.96 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox. Cabrera was on the losing end against Vazquez in the White Sox win on July 3.
The White Sox are 11-6 over their last 17 games. They have won seven of nine on the road and eight of 10 at Camden Yards.
Take the White Sox for the road win.
5 Dime –
CUBS (With Lilly as listed pitcher)
Take the Cubs for the win over the Astros today at Wrigley.
Ted Lilly is on a roll for the Cubs, having won his last four decisions. The left-hander has allowed two runs in his last two starts and is 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA in his last five starts overall.
The Astros will send their ace, Roy Oswalt, to the hill and that helps keep this price low for us. Oswalt is only 10-9 in his career with a 3.77 ERA against the Cubs, and was 1-3 against them in 2006.
Take the Cubs as they grab the home win today.
A’s (With Blanton and Silva as listed pitchers)
Take the A’s tonight for the road win over the Twins.
I like the A’s to bounce back and end their five-game losing streak behind Joe Blanton. The right-hander has been solid this year with an 8-5 record and 3.28 ERA. He’s 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA over his last five starts.
Carlos Silva will start for the Twins and he’s tied for the AL lead in losses with 10. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 5.93 ERA over his last five starts.
He’s just the kind of pitcher the A’s need to face right now to end their streak.
Take the A’s as they grab the much needed win tonight.
TIGERS (With Rogers and Batista as listed pitchers)
Take the Tigers for the road win tonight in Seattle.
Kenny Rogers gets the start and it’s hard not to back him the way he’s pitched since coming off the DL. The gambler is 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three starts this year.
If history is any indication, this should be a low-scoring game in which the Tigers win.
That’s because Miguel Batista will start for the Mariners, and he’s 1-3 in his last five starts despite a 2.51 ERA. Seattle has scored just 10 runs for Batista in that span.
Take the Tigers as Rogers shuts down the M’s and pitches them to the road win.<!-- / message -->
Saturday's Plays:
20 Dime –
WHITE SOX (With Vazquez and Cabrera as listed pitchers)
Take the White Sox for the road win tonight over the Orioles.
Javier Vazquez gets the nod for the ChiSox and he’s won three straight starts. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 1.68 ERA in his last four starts. He has walked only three batters while striking out 33 in 32 innings during that span. Vazquez has also had success against the Orioles in his career, going 6-2 with a 5.14 ERA in 10 starts, including a complete game against them in a 5-1 win U.S. Cellular Field on July 3.
Daniel Cabrera will get the nod for the Orioles and he’s tied for the AL lead in losses with 10. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 4.96 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox. Cabrera was on the losing end against Vazquez in the White Sox win on July 3.
The White Sox are 11-6 over their last 17 games. They have won seven of nine on the road and eight of 10 at Camden Yards.
Take the White Sox for the road win.
5 Dime –
CUBS (With Lilly as listed pitcher)
Take the Cubs for the win over the Astros today at Wrigley.
Ted Lilly is on a roll for the Cubs, having won his last four decisions. The left-hander has allowed two runs in his last two starts and is 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA in his last five starts overall.
The Astros will send their ace, Roy Oswalt, to the hill and that helps keep this price low for us. Oswalt is only 10-9 in his career with a 3.77 ERA against the Cubs, and was 1-3 against them in 2006.
Take the Cubs as they grab the home win today.
A’s (With Blanton and Silva as listed pitchers)
Take the A’s tonight for the road win over the Twins.
I like the A’s to bounce back and end their five-game losing streak behind Joe Blanton. The right-hander has been solid this year with an 8-5 record and 3.28 ERA. He’s 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA over his last five starts.
Carlos Silva will start for the Twins and he’s tied for the AL lead in losses with 10. The right-hander is 2-3 with a 5.93 ERA over his last five starts.
He’s just the kind of pitcher the A’s need to face right now to end their streak.
Take the A’s as they grab the much needed win tonight.
TIGERS (With Rogers and Batista as listed pitchers)
Take the Tigers for the road win tonight in Seattle.
Kenny Rogers gets the start and it’s hard not to back him the way he’s pitched since coming off the DL. The gambler is 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA in three starts this year.
If history is any indication, this should be a low-scoring game in which the Tigers win.
That’s because Miguel Batista will start for the Mariners, and he’s 1-3 in his last five starts despite a 2.51 ERA. Seattle has scored just 10 runs for Batista in that span.
Take the Tigers as Rogers shuts down the M’s and pitches them to the road win.<!-- / message -->
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
L.A. Dodgers (50-40) at San Francisco (38-49)
Derek Lowe (8-8, 3.12 ERA) returns to action for the first time in a week when he tries to help the Dodgers continue their mastery of the Giants in the middle game of this weekend series at AT&T Park. San Francisco is set to go with Matt Morris (7-5, 3.55).
Los Angeles crushed the Giants 9-1 on Friday night, improving to 13-4 in its last 17 games against its rivals, including nine consecutive wins at AT&T Park. In fact, the visitor has dominated this rivalry recently, winning 12 straight games, including all seven meetings this season.
San Francisco has now lost 12 of its last 19 home games. Also, Bruce Bochy’s team is just 3-12 in its last 15 contests as an underdog.
Lowe got roughed up last Saturday against the Marlins, allowing five runs (four earned) on 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings, losing 7-2. Prior to that performance, Lowe had given up three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his previous 12 starts, with the Dodgers winning eight of those contests.
Lowe is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA on the road, including 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA in the last four. He’s also 3-5 with a 3.60 ERA in nine career starts against the Giants, including a 4-1 win in San Francisco back in April.
Morris has struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 7.54 ERA in his last four outings, surrendering a total of 39 hits in 22 2/3 innings. On the bright side, the veteran righthander has performed well at home, going 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA in eight starts.
Morris is 4-5 with a 5.24 ERA in 14 appearances (12 starts) against L.A. However, he earned a 5-3 win at Dodger Stadium on April 24, allowing three runs in 7 1/3 innings. Still, the Dodgers are 8-2 the last 10 times they’ve faced Morris.
The under is 7-3-1 when Lowe pitches on the road, including 4-1 in the last five. Also,, the under is 6-3 in Morris’ last nine starts overall and 6-2 when he pitches at home.
The Dodgers have topped the total in five straight games and seven of their last eight. The over is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between these rivals, but the under is still 6-2 in the last eight battles in San Francisco.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS
San Diego (49-39) at Arizona (48-43)
Chris Young (8-3, 2.00) returns to the mound for the first time since getting tagged with the loss in the All-Star Game, and he’ll oppose Arizona’s Livan Hernandez (5-5, 4.54) in the middle game of this series at Chase Field.
The DBacks pounded out an 8-3 win on Thursday, snapping a five-game losing skid. Still, Arizona is just 4-11 in its last 15 games. Meanwhile, the Padres have now dropped six of their last nine, but one positive is they’re on a 20-6 roll when playing on Saturday.
The Padres are now 23-51 in their last 74 games in Arizona, including 1-3 this year. The DBacks hold a 4-2 edge in this year’s season series.
Young, who leads the major leagues in ERA, has been virtually unhittable lately, going 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts with three walks and 29 strikeouts. Since the start of May, the righthander is 6-1 with a 1.17 ERA in 12 starts, including 4-0 with a 1.57 ERA on the highway. For the season, the Padres are 7-2 when Young toils away from San Diego.
Young’s worst start of the season came at Arizona on April 26, when he yielded six runs (five earned) in 5 1/3 innings, losing 7-4. In his only other start at Chase Field last August, he surrendered two runs (one earned) and three hits with no walks and 11 strikeouts in seven innings, winning 8-3.
Hernandez has given up at least three runs in eight consecutive starts, with the DBacks losing five of those contests. His ERA has risen from 3.66 to 4.54 during this stretch.
The veteran righthander is 3-1 with a 3.83 ERA at home and 10-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 19 lifetime starts against San Diego. However, in two starts against the Friars this season, Hernandez is 1-1 with a 7.50 ERA.
The under is 5-1 in Young’s last six outings, but the over is 7-2 when he pitches on the road. Also, the DBacks are 5-2-1 “over” in Hernandez’s eight home starts.
The under is 4-1-2 in Arizona’s last seven overall and 11-6 in San Diego’s last 17 contests (5-2 on the road). However, the over is 9-1-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last 12 home games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO
<!-- / message -->
NATIONAL LEAGUE
L.A. Dodgers (50-40) at San Francisco (38-49)
Derek Lowe (8-8, 3.12 ERA) returns to action for the first time in a week when he tries to help the Dodgers continue their mastery of the Giants in the middle game of this weekend series at AT&T Park. San Francisco is set to go with Matt Morris (7-5, 3.55).
Los Angeles crushed the Giants 9-1 on Friday night, improving to 13-4 in its last 17 games against its rivals, including nine consecutive wins at AT&T Park. In fact, the visitor has dominated this rivalry recently, winning 12 straight games, including all seven meetings this season.
San Francisco has now lost 12 of its last 19 home games. Also, Bruce Bochy’s team is just 3-12 in its last 15 contests as an underdog.
Lowe got roughed up last Saturday against the Marlins, allowing five runs (four earned) on 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings, losing 7-2. Prior to that performance, Lowe had given up three earned runs or fewer in 10 of his previous 12 starts, with the Dodgers winning eight of those contests.
Lowe is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA on the road, including 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA in the last four. He’s also 3-5 with a 3.60 ERA in nine career starts against the Giants, including a 4-1 win in San Francisco back in April.
Morris has struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 7.54 ERA in his last four outings, surrendering a total of 39 hits in 22 2/3 innings. On the bright side, the veteran righthander has performed well at home, going 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA in eight starts.
Morris is 4-5 with a 5.24 ERA in 14 appearances (12 starts) against L.A. However, he earned a 5-3 win at Dodger Stadium on April 24, allowing three runs in 7 1/3 innings. Still, the Dodgers are 8-2 the last 10 times they’ve faced Morris.
The under is 7-3-1 when Lowe pitches on the road, including 4-1 in the last five. Also,, the under is 6-3 in Morris’ last nine starts overall and 6-2 when he pitches at home.
The Dodgers have topped the total in five straight games and seven of their last eight. The over is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between these rivals, but the under is still 6-2 in the last eight battles in San Francisco.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS
San Diego (49-39) at Arizona (48-43)
Chris Young (8-3, 2.00) returns to the mound for the first time since getting tagged with the loss in the All-Star Game, and he’ll oppose Arizona’s Livan Hernandez (5-5, 4.54) in the middle game of this series at Chase Field.
The DBacks pounded out an 8-3 win on Thursday, snapping a five-game losing skid. Still, Arizona is just 4-11 in its last 15 games. Meanwhile, the Padres have now dropped six of their last nine, but one positive is they’re on a 20-6 roll when playing on Saturday.
The Padres are now 23-51 in their last 74 games in Arizona, including 1-3 this year. The DBacks hold a 4-2 edge in this year’s season series.
Young, who leads the major leagues in ERA, has been virtually unhittable lately, going 2-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts with three walks and 29 strikeouts. Since the start of May, the righthander is 6-1 with a 1.17 ERA in 12 starts, including 4-0 with a 1.57 ERA on the highway. For the season, the Padres are 7-2 when Young toils away from San Diego.
Young’s worst start of the season came at Arizona on April 26, when he yielded six runs (five earned) in 5 1/3 innings, losing 7-4. In his only other start at Chase Field last August, he surrendered two runs (one earned) and three hits with no walks and 11 strikeouts in seven innings, winning 8-3.
Hernandez has given up at least three runs in eight consecutive starts, with the DBacks losing five of those contests. His ERA has risen from 3.66 to 4.54 during this stretch.
The veteran righthander is 3-1 with a 3.83 ERA at home and 10-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 19 lifetime starts against San Diego. However, in two starts against the Friars this season, Hernandez is 1-1 with a 7.50 ERA.
The under is 5-1 in Young’s last six outings, but the over is 7-2 when he pitches on the road. Also, the DBacks are 5-2-1 “over” in Hernandez’s eight home starts.
The under is 4-1-2 in Arizona’s last seven overall and 11-6 in San Diego’s last 17 contests (5-2 on the road). However, the over is 9-1-1 in the Diamondbacks’ last 12 home games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN DIEGO
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Bob Balfe
YTD = 82-68
MLB
Tampa Bay Over 10 -120
-------------------------------------
Sports Update
Jim Barnes
YTD= 20-13
MLB
Colorado +175
Fla Over 9
Atlanta Under 9
Arizona Under 9
--------------------------------------
Panhandle Sports
YTD = 69-35
MLB
Atlanta 140
----------------------------------------
Sports Betting is a Marathon, Not a Sprint
Slick Rick
2* Padres -136
2* Tigers -117<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
YTD = 82-68
MLB
Tampa Bay Over 10 -120
-------------------------------------
Sports Update
Jim Barnes
YTD= 20-13
MLB
Colorado +175
Fla Over 9
Atlanta Under 9
Arizona Under 9
--------------------------------------
Panhandle Sports
YTD = 69-35
MLB
Atlanta 140
----------------------------------------
Sports Betting is a Marathon, Not a Sprint
Slick Rick
2* Padres -136
2* Tigers -117<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
