Monday MLB Service Plays:
Jim Fiest
Executive Service
3* SF Giants
Rosenthal
MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
956 METS-160 SB
961 DBACKS-110 SB
967 RANGERS+190 SB
970 ROYALS+150 SB
Drew Gordon
100,000? Orioles
Vegas Experts
Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Colorado lucky to salvage one at home versus Atlanta over the weekend. The team has lost seven-of-10 before that and is 4-8 on the road. Josh Fogg is pitching to a 6.33 ERA. COLORADO is also 28-63 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons and 23-48 against the money line in road games on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors over the last 2 seasons while SAN FRANCISCO is 58-27 against the money line after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games since 1997.
Play on: San Francisco
Brandon Lang
5 DIME
Cubs
D'Backs
Big Al McMordie
Rockies at Giants
Prediction: Rockies
Colorado will hand the ball to RHP Josh Fogg while San Francisco will start lefty Noah Lowry. Fogg pitched well against a strong Mets team Wednesday for his first win of 2007 - he went seven innings and gave up a respectable three runs and eight hits. Fogg faced San Francisco in relief two weeks ago and pitched two scoreless innings, and in his last start versus the Giants (in 2006), he gave up just two runs in seven innings. Overall, in his career versus San Francisco, Fogg is 3-1 with a 3.43 ERA in seven starts. In Lowry's last start versus the Rockies (in 2006) he was destroyed in a 20-8 Colorado victory. Lowry surrendered a career-high nine runs in just 1 1/3 innings. He has dropped four straight to the Rockies. Lowry's lifetime ERA versus Colorado is 7.74. Take Colorado
Scott Spreitzer
MLB for 04/30/2007
Rangers at Blue Jays
Prediction: 'Over'
I'm playing the matchup between Vicente Padilla and Roy Halladay to go 'over' the posted 'total'. Halladay is off to a solid start and he'll be seeking his first 4-0 April in his career. If he's going to get the win, I believe his side will have to score a decent amount of runs. Halladay is 4-4 in 13 starts against the Rangers with a 5.67 ERA. He's had nothing but problems with Hank Blalock, who has lit the righty up for a .391 batting average. Meanwhile, Texas has lost all five of Padilla's appearances this season. In the process, the righty owns a 5.79 ERA, including a 6.43 ERA in two road starts. Those numbers may get worse on Monday. Toronto's hitters have lit up opposing pitching - in the Jays' last six games, opposing starters are 1-4 with an 8.06 ERA. We look for a high-scoring tilt in Rogers Centre on Monday. I'm playing the contest to go 'over' the 'total'.
Lenny Del Genio
MLB for 04/30/2007
Phillies at Braves
Prediction: Braves
After their astounding run of 14 straight division titles came to an end last season, the Atlanta Braves set an early tone in the NL East by opening this season with a sweep over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Braves look to continue their strong start when they open a 10-game home stand with a three-game series against the resurgent Phillies on Monday night. Atlanta (15-9) is a 1/2-game behind the first-place New York Mets in the National League East. That's a huge turnaround from last April when they went 10-14 en route to missing the playoffs for the first time since 1990. Philadelphia (11-13) is four games behind the Braves but has won seven of its last nine games after an awful start. Atlanta held the Phillies to just nine runs in its three-game sweep at Philadelphia to start the season, winning twice in extra innings. RHP Tim Hudson goes for the Braves. After coming off a poor 2006 during which he posted a career-high 4.86 ERA and a mediocre 13-12 record, Hudson has opened this year with a 3-0 mark in five starts (team is 4-1) with a 1.22 ERA. RHP Jon Lieber was a 20-game winner for the Cubs back in 2001 but is coming off a 2006 season with the Phillies during which he went 9-11 with a 4.93 in 27 starts (team was 12-15). After starting the season in the bullpen, Lieber has allowed just two runs, six hits and one walk in 11 2-3 innings in his two starts. However, I'm not willing to buck Hudson the way he's pitching these days. Take the Braves.
Hondo
(20-11)
Florida Marlins
Marc Lawrence
Philadelphia w/Leiber over Atlanta
Phillies Jon Leiber has solid form history against the Braves and is 3-0 with a 2.66 ERA in his last three starts in Atlanta. Look for more of the same here this evening.
Michael Cannon Money Train
5 Dime –
PIRATES (With Duke as listed pitcher)
Take the Pirates at home as a small dog for the win over the Cubs.
Zach Duke gets the nod for the Bucs and he’s had tremendous success against the Cubs in his career. The left-hander is 4-1 with a 1.40 ERA in six career games against Chicago. Duke was solid in his last start against Houston on Wednesday, giving up just one earned run on six hits in seven innings.
The Pirates are going to have their work cut out for them going against Rich Hill, but they have the motivation of trying to avoid their fifth consecutive losing April with a win tonight.
Hill was touched for four runs and six hits in 6 2-3 innings in his last start, a 4-1 defeat to Milwaukee on Tuesday. This could be a sign that his early season hot streak has ended.
Take the Pirates for the win as a small dog.
PADRES -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Patterson and Peavy as listed pitchers)
Take the Padres on the run line tonight over the Nationals.
San Diego starter Jake Peavy is definitely showing that last year was just a fluke, as he’s started 2007 with a 3-0 record and 1.67 ERA.
John Patterson has been knocked around in each one of his starts this year for Washington. The right-hander is 0-4 with a 7.71 ERA in five starts.
I don’t see how the Nationals are going to manage to scrape any runs together against Peavy in Petco tonight, so this should be an easy game for the Padres.
Take San Diego on the run line as they take this game by at least two runs.
Cappers Access
Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick
(Mon) MLB D'Backs Dodgers 105 D'Backs
Locksmith, Underground Handicapping Legend (sporting the white suit)
4-0 Sunday +11.5 units
1-3 Saturday -5.5 units (no juice-he does not count juice)
Monday:
2.5u Arz
2.5u Atl/Phi Over
Zeus' Members Area
Diamond Selections.............( 0-0, +0.00 ).............. PASS
Platinum Selections.............( 7-11, -9.50 )............... DBacks
Gold Selections...................( 12-10, -2.40)................ Braves
OVERALL ( 19-21, -11.90)
Diamond Will be 3 Unit Play
Platinum Will be 2 Unit Play
Gold Will be 1 Unit Play
THE BIG 5 BASEBALL CONSENSUS REPORT
-------------------------------------------------------------------
ZEUS -- DIAMOND PLAYS ONLY
(0-0, +0.00)
None
-------------------------------------------------------------------
BILLY BATTS
(21-13, +14.90)
Rangers
-------------------------------------------------------------------
HEATER PICKS
(13-12 , -2.10)
Braves
-------------------------------------------------------------------
COOPERSTOWN SELECTIONS
(15-10, -1.10)
San Diego
-------------------------------------------------------------------
MR. OCTOBER
(1-0 , +1.00)
PASS
The Super Best Bet
(16-8, +10.1 units)
(3*) Arizona Diamondbacks
SCOTTSPICKS:
Bonus Plays:
Colorado Rockies +140
Big Al McMordie
Rockies at Giants
Prediction: Rockies
Colorado will hand the ball to RHP Josh Fogg while San Francisco will start lefty Noah Lowry. Fogg pitched well against a strong Mets team Wednesday for his first win of 2007 - he went seven innings and gave up a respectable three runs and eight hits. Fogg faced San Francisco in relief two weeks ago and pitched two scoreless innings, and in his last start versus the Giants (in 2006), he gave up just two runs in seven innings. Overall, in his career versus San Francisco, Fogg is 3-1 with a 3.43 ERA in seven starts. In Lowry's last start versus the Rockies (in 2006) he was destroyed in a 20-8 Colorado victory. Lowry surrendered a career-high nine runs in just 1 1/3 innings. He has dropped four straight to the Rockies. Lowry's lifetime ERA versus Colorado is 7.74. Take Colorado
Scott Spreitzer
MLB for 04/30/2007
Rangers at Blue Jays
Prediction: 'Over'
I'm playing the matchup between Vicente Padilla and Roy Halladay to go 'over' the posted 'total'. Halladay is off to a solid start and he'll be seeking his first 4-0 April in his career. If he's going to get the win, I believe his side will have to score a decent amount of runs. Halladay is 4-4 in 13 starts against the Rangers with a 5.67 ERA. He's had nothing but problems with Hank Blalock, who has lit the righty up for a .391 batting average. Meanwhile, Texas has lost all five of Padilla's appearances this season. In the process, the righty owns a 5.79 ERA, including a 6.43 ERA in two road starts. Those numbers may get worse on Monday. Toronto's hitters have lit up opposing pitching - in the Jays' last six games, opposing starters are 1-4 with an 8.06 ERA. We look for a high-scoring tilt in Rogers Centre on Monday. I'm playing the contest to go 'over' the 'total'
Lenny del GenioMLB for 04/30/2007
Phillies at Braves
Prediction: Braves
After their astounding run of 14 straight division titles came to an end last season, the Atlanta Braves set an early tone in the NL East by opening this season with a sweep over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Braves look to continue their strong start when they open a 10-game home stand with a three-game series against the resurgent Phillies on Monday night. Atlanta (15-9) is a 1/2-game behind the first-place New York Mets in the National League East. That's a huge turnaround from last April when they went 10-14 en route to missing the playoffs for the first time since 1990. Philadelphia (11-13) is four games behind the Braves but has won seven of its last nine games after an awful start. Atlanta held the Phillies to just nine runs in its three-game sweep at Philadelphia to start the season, winning twice in extra innings. RHP Tim Hudson goes for the Braves. After coming off a poor 2006 during which he posted a career-high 4.86 ERA and a mediocre 13-12 record, Hudson has opened this year with a 3-0 mark in five starts (team is 4-1) with a 1.22 ERA. RHP Jon Lieber was a 20-game winner for the Cubs back in 2001 but is coming off a 2006 season with the Phillies during which he went 9-11 with a 4.93 in 27 starts (team was 12-15). After starting the season in the bullpen, Lieber has allowed just two runs, six hits and one walk in 11 2-3 innings in his two starts. However, I'm not willing to buck Hudson the way he's pitching these days. Take the Braves
John Ryan
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB)
Apr 30, 2007 7:05 PM EDT
Play: Total: 9/-105
Over
Ai Simulator 3* graded play OVER Atlanta/Philadelphia - AiS shows a 74% probability that 9 or more runs will be scored in this game and a 64% probability that each team will score 5 or more runs. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 212-129 OVER since 2001. Play over with all teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games, with a hot starting pitcher ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts. This system focus on Atlanta's stats and when combined with a resurrected Philly offense lends itself to a powerful play on the OVER. Hudson has been impressive and media talk has already made him a Cy Young contender. I don't disagree, but he is NOT going to pitch every game at the level he has so far. He has gone at least 7 innings in all starts and has gone 8 full in his last two starts at Florida and at Mets. Hudson has not pitched all that well against the Phillies. HUDSON is 4-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.416. Lieber has been outstanding too now that he is back into the starting rotation. HC Manual has made a bold yet CORRECT move in taking Lieber out of the bullpen and moving Myers into the set-up role. Myers was the opening day pitcher and arguably the ace of the staff. The Phillies bullpen was even weaker than expecetd and help was desperately needed. Lieber has responded with solid outings, but will find it far more difficult tonight against the free swinging Braves. Lieber works extremely fast and rarely walks anyone. That means that nearly all of his pitches are in the strike zone and this will give an advantage to the Braves, who many of them will swing at the first pitch FB. Philly batters batting 320 over the past 7 games.
Take the OVER.
Ben Burns
GOM Giants
EASY BASEBALL BETTING
4/30/2007 - Our Free Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers +101 over Arizona Diamondbacks (1.0 Units) - The Dodgers are coming off a 17 inning duel with the Padres last night. This would be a tough spot for any team if they had to play the next day. But this Dodgers are only travelling from SD to LA so we can disregard the travel factor. The Diamondbacks are playing solid baseball and this is one of two reasons why they are favorites on the road. Second being they have Webb on the mound. But all of their recent success has been at home. These D'backs have yet to prove themselves on the road. In 8 starts against the Dbacks for his career, Wolf has been very successful (4-1 record) and with the Dbacks struggling on the season against lefties, this has value.
Philadelphia Phillies +149 over Atlanta Braves (1.0 Units) - This is a tough play to make. Hudson is kicking some serious ass so far this season in 5 starts. At home, he has been even more impressive. But Lieber has done pretty well this season in his two starts. Giving up just 2 runs in 11.2 innings. The Braves have every reason to be favorite but just not this much. Not when you consider the Phillies are 7-3L10 and have been hitting the smack out of the ball.
Florida Marlins +154 over New York Mets (1.0 Units) - Betting on heavy dogs always takes patience. Most of the times you will lose but when you win, its a big payday. In this game, we are trying to capitalize on the fact that the Mets are coming off a 1-0 win and travelling. They may feel all happy that they are winners but their offense really has not been all that impressive. They scored 6 on Saturday but thanks to errors. They scored 5 on Wednesday but only because the Rockies were up by 8 runs in the ninth and put a crappy pitcher on the mound. So lacking offensive gusto, we will take our chances with this divisional rivalry dog.
San Francisco Giants -142 over Colorado Rockies (1.0 Units) - The Rockies are just not very good against lefties nor are they very good on the road
Sports Betting Solutions
7:05 PM mlb Chicago (N) vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh +120 $600/$720
C-Stars Sports
MONDAY
1000 Units Monday Mound Mismatch. Atlanta Braves -145 Over Philadelphia When ATLANTA team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - During a night game - Coming off a day game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series 14-2 SU in this spot. When ATLANTA team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - Total is between 8.5 to 9.0 - Coming off a day game - Coming off a 1 game loss 12-1 SU in this spot. When ATLANTA team played as a -160 to -180 home Favorite - During the month of April - Total is 8.5 8-2 SU in this spot.
50 Units NY Mets -155 Over Florida When NY METS team played as a home team - During the month of April - 1st game of a series 38-9 SU in this spot.
50 Units LA Angles/Kansas City Under 9 When KANSAS CITY team Played as Home team as a Underdog - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off a 1 game loss - Allowed 5 runs AGAINST in their last game 2-8 O/U in this spot. When ANY MLB team played as a 140 to 160 home Underdog - During the 2007 season - During the month of April KANSAS CITY 2-9 O/U in this spot.
Stan Sharp - Double Dime
Arizona -110 #961 10:10pm EST
Stu Finer Today's Action
200 DIME MLB No Brainer....L.A. DODGERS
STAN L.(from N. Coast)
3* Dodgers
Monday Comps
All American(cheeseburger)-UNDER San Diego
Computer Boys-Anaheim
OTM-Aruzona
Winner Line-San Francisco
Feiner-UNDER Texas
Winning points
6* Mets
4* Cubs
Maverick (Posted by Desperadoo69)
Angels -1.5 &
Record W.P.- 10-9-1 MLB only,
Maverick- 4-4 MLB, 4-2 NBA, total 8-6.
Maverick will be posted 1 more week by me, if not in a 2-1 winning ratio by then I'm done.
Winning points will be posted until May 20th. GL
Bob Aggarwal
Premium Play
Milwaukee Brewers -128
Premium Play
Arizona D-Backs -107
Premium Play
Chicago Cubs -134
MLB Bonus Play From DC Sports For 4/30
Two promising lefties will square off in PNC Park on Monday as the Chicago Cubs open up a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Rich Hill has been in dominant form in the early going for Chicago. He has allowed only 14 hits in 28.2 innings of work this season. Hill should have little problem containing a woeful Pirates offense that is only averaging three runs per game at home this season. With some key bats (Sanchez .206, Laroche .125) in some awful funks right now, the Buccs will be hard pressed to reach their home average on Monday. Zach Duke will get the call for Pittsburgh. While Duke is an effective hurler, he is not as dominant as Hill. Duke is off to a slow start this season as he has allowed 38 hits in 26 innings of work. The Cubs will get their cuts in against the Pirates lefty as Duke has recorded only six strikeouts this season. The wind should also provide an advantage for the Cubs in this one. In yesterday's game at Pittsburgh, the Reds and Pirates combined for 14 runs on a day when the wind was blowing out. The wind is blowing out again today at PNC. The Cubs have more power options to take advantage of this factor against a hurler who isn't overpowering. Also, the Cubs have some offensive momentum coming into this one with 22 runs scored in their last three games. With pitching and offensive edges, the Cubs extend their winning streak to four games on Monday. CUBS -130
Mr. A
Texas Rangers (10-14) at Toronto Blue Jays (12-12)
(R) Vicente Padilla (0-3) vs. (R) Roy Halladay (3-0)
The Blue Jays sends Roy Halladay (3-0, 2.58 ERA) to the hill today. The right-hander allowed three runs on five hits, striking out 10 over eight innings in a 10-3 win over Boston on Tuesday. Halladay is 4-4 with a 5.67 ERA in 13 starts against Texas. The Rangers counter with Vicente Padilla (0-3, 5.79 ERA). The right-hander is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in four road starts. He allowed six runs and five hits in four innings in an 8-7 loss to Cleveland in his last start on Wednesday. Padilla is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in four road starts
Texas has lost four of their last 6 games and 12 of its last 16 on the road but has won four of the last 5 against Toronto.
Go with the Blue Jays with their ace Roy Halladay at the helm. Halladay is 3-0 with a 2.58 ERA. in five starts this season and 1-0 with a 1.56 ERA in two starts at home, while the Rangers have dropped all five games struggling veteran Vicente Padilla started.
JB's Computer Picks
Monday, April 30th, 2007
Eastern Time
Best Bets * * *
Time Game Selections
7:05 p.m. Chicago at Pittsburgh Chicago Cubs - 135
10:05 p.m. Washington at San Diego San Diego Padres - 260 * * *
Merf Miles
National League
EARLY LINES !!!
SIDES
.
Phillies + 149
over
BRAVES
.
.
MUTS - 162
over
Marlins
.
Regular Season
21 - 25
(45.652%)
- 3.57 Units
TOTALS
.
Marlins @ MUTS
Over 9½
.
Nationals @ PADRES
Under 7
.
Regular Season
24 - 23 - 2
(52.020%)
- 0.30 Units
..
MUTS Watch
15 - 8
+ 2.11 Units
American League
EARLY LINES !!!
SIDES
.
ROYALS + 152
over
Angels
.
Regular Season
27 - 24
(52.941%)
+ 5.91 Units
TOTALS
.
Orioles @ TIGERS
Over 8½
.
Rangers @ BLUE JAYS
Over 9
.
Regular Season
22 - 13 - 1
(62.500%)
+ 9.70 Units
The Super Best Bet
(16-8, +10.1 units)
(3*) Arizona Diamondbacks
Opposite Action Plays
DETROIT TIGERS
Ethan Law
CHICAGO CUBS
Rocketman Sports
3* ATLANTA BRAVES