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Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness Double
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The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace, with the speedy duo of Midnight on Oconee (#9) and Kinsley Kisses (#10) predicted to lead the field through the opening furlongs. Midnight On Oconee possesses the speed of a front-running sprinter, but has shown some versatility in her two-turn races at the Fair Grounds this winter. Kinsley Kisses, on the other hand, is trying a route of ground for the first time after setting a fast pace going about seven furlongs in the Beaumont last time.
There’s some quality at the top, but not a lot of depth to a field that includes a couple of maidens and a handful of locally based horses that just appear to be too slow to contend. One does not have to dig too deep to figure out that the two most likely winners are the aforementioned pair exiting the Kentucky Oaks.
While Land Over Sea and Go Maggie Go were separated by only a neck at the finish of that race, they took vastly different paths to get there. Who ran the better race that day and who is the right filly to support in this Black-Eyed Susan? Let’s take an in-depth look at each of them:
This filly could kick off a very special weekend for the connections of Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist, who is the heavy favorite to take down the second jewel of the Triple Crown on Saturday. After finally extricating herself from Songbird’s long shadow when swooping into the Fair Grounds to earn her first stakes victory, she subsequently headed into the Kentucky Oaks as one of the top contenders. While she did not encounter any significant traffic trouble, Land Over Sea was forced to race a little wide around both turns after breaking from post position 13 in a 14-horse field. That said, we felt that Mario Gutierrez did everything in his power to give her a chance. She ultimately was not good enough, but she does deserve some credit for making up ground in a race that featured a moderate early pace. This nine-furlong distance is clearly not an issue for her. She has drawn a much more favorable post position today, and a projected fast pace should work in her favor. We have no knocks against her, but we do believe that she could face a stiff challenge from the her fellow Oaks rival, Go Maggie Go.
Sure, Land Over Sea was a little wide in the Oaks, but she had a relatively good trip thereafter. That was not the case for Maggie Go, who encountered slight trouble at multiple points in the race, the sum total of which probably cost her a runner-up finish. Things went awry right from the start, when she broke a step slowly and had to steady off Lewis Bay’s hind quarters as that one crossed over in front of her. Go Maggie Go won both of her first two starts from a relatively close-up stalking position, but that early trouble had her placed back in mid-pack, some seven lengths off the lead. After saving ground early, Luis Saez angled her off the rail as the field headed into the far turn, in hopes of moving up into contention. Unfortunately, Go Maggie Go appeared hesitant to go through a hole inside of Mo d’Amour and had to get taken up approaching the three-eighths pole. Now in behind a wall of horses, Saez was forced to angle her all the way out into the five-path approaching the stretch, at this point having let the accelerating Land Over Sea run right by him. Most inexperienced runners would have given up at this point, but Go Maggie Go unleashed a strong rally, finishing fastest of all while actually making up over a length on Land Over Sea through the final three-sixteenths. She figures to have gotten a few races worth of seasoning out of that effort, and we believe she can turn the tables on Land Over Sea today. If she does indeed go off at a larger price, as the morning line suggests, that would only increase her appeal.
The race centers around these two main contenders, but there are some others worth considering underneath:
Both of the likely pacesetters have some questions to answer. The Larry Jones-trained ) looked like a potential Kentucky Oaks contender after overcoming a wide trip against an apparent rail bias to finish a good second in the Rachel Alexandra back in February. However, she totally fell apart after setting the pace in the Fair Grounds Oaks. If she returns to the form that was on display two back, she would be a superfecta possibility here, but she’s hard to trust.
Kinsley Kisses (#10) handled the step up in class fairly well in last month’s Grade 2 Beaumont after easily winning a pair of lesser races in Florida to start her career. The 111 speed figure that she earned last time makes her one of the fastest fillies in this race, but the added distance remains a question. We also feel that her Beaumont effort looks better in print than it does when watching the race. She could certainly hang on for a piece, but we believe others will offer better value.
Dothraki Queen (#2) may be helped most of all by the projected pace scenario, since she is a deep closer that is at the mercy of race flow. A great ride from Corey Lanerie earned her some valuable black type in last fall’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, but she’s yet to get back to that effort in two races since. Her Appalachian feels like purely a prep for a more serious race like this, so she figures to move forward. She’s definitely one to consider underneath in exotics.
The two maidens, Ma Can Do It (#4) and She’s a Warrior (#6), actually are not without trifecta chances themselves. Both have the right kind of running styles for this race and have earned Grade 1 stakes placings, which is more than many of their competitors can claim.
We’re less enamored of Cced (#13) and Mom’s On Strike (#14), who both drew unfavorable outside post positions in this large field. They appear to be coming into this race in good form, but their stalking running styles could force their riders to use them too strongly in the early stages as they try to clear the runners to their inside and tuck in behind the pacesetters.
The one massive long shot that we would consider throwing into our exotic wagers is Flora Dora (#12). She didn’t finish too far behind Lewis Bay and Mo d’Amour in a couple of stakes races in New York, and those fillies both ran very well in the Kentucky Oaks and would be major players in this race. It seemed as if she just didn’t handle the wet track in the Gazelle, but she has experience at this distance and has been working very strongly up at Saratoga for this race. Don’t be surprised if she completes the trifecta at a huge price.
THE PLAY
Win: #5, Go Maggie Go, at odds of 5/2 or better
Exacta:
5 with 2,3,4,6,12
3 with 12
Trifectas:
3,5 with 3,5 with 2,4,6,12
3,5 with 2,4,6,12 with 3,5
5 with 3 with 9,10,13,14
There’s some quality at the top, but not a lot of depth to a field that includes a couple of maidens and a handful of locally based horses that just appear to be too slow to contend. One does not have to dig too deep to figure out that the two most likely winners are the aforementioned pair exiting the Kentucky Oaks.
While Land Over Sea and Go Maggie Go were separated by only a neck at the finish of that race, they took vastly different paths to get there. Who ran the better race that day and who is the right filly to support in this Black-Eyed Susan? Let’s take an in-depth look at each of them:
This filly could kick off a very special weekend for the connections of Kentucky Derby winner Nyquist, who is the heavy favorite to take down the second jewel of the Triple Crown on Saturday. After finally extricating herself from Songbird’s long shadow when swooping into the Fair Grounds to earn her first stakes victory, she subsequently headed into the Kentucky Oaks as one of the top contenders. While she did not encounter any significant traffic trouble, Land Over Sea was forced to race a little wide around both turns after breaking from post position 13 in a 14-horse field. That said, we felt that Mario Gutierrez did everything in his power to give her a chance. She ultimately was not good enough, but she does deserve some credit for making up ground in a race that featured a moderate early pace. This nine-furlong distance is clearly not an issue for her. She has drawn a much more favorable post position today, and a projected fast pace should work in her favor. We have no knocks against her, but we do believe that she could face a stiff challenge from the her fellow Oaks rival, Go Maggie Go.
Sure, Land Over Sea was a little wide in the Oaks, but she had a relatively good trip thereafter. That was not the case for Maggie Go, who encountered slight trouble at multiple points in the race, the sum total of which probably cost her a runner-up finish. Things went awry right from the start, when she broke a step slowly and had to steady off Lewis Bay’s hind quarters as that one crossed over in front of her. Go Maggie Go won both of her first two starts from a relatively close-up stalking position, but that early trouble had her placed back in mid-pack, some seven lengths off the lead. After saving ground early, Luis Saez angled her off the rail as the field headed into the far turn, in hopes of moving up into contention. Unfortunately, Go Maggie Go appeared hesitant to go through a hole inside of Mo d’Amour and had to get taken up approaching the three-eighths pole. Now in behind a wall of horses, Saez was forced to angle her all the way out into the five-path approaching the stretch, at this point having let the accelerating Land Over Sea run right by him. Most inexperienced runners would have given up at this point, but Go Maggie Go unleashed a strong rally, finishing fastest of all while actually making up over a length on Land Over Sea through the final three-sixteenths. She figures to have gotten a few races worth of seasoning out of that effort, and we believe she can turn the tables on Land Over Sea today. If she does indeed go off at a larger price, as the morning line suggests, that would only increase her appeal.
The race centers around these two main contenders, but there are some others worth considering underneath:
Both of the likely pacesetters have some questions to answer. The Larry Jones-trained ) looked like a potential Kentucky Oaks contender after overcoming a wide trip against an apparent rail bias to finish a good second in the Rachel Alexandra back in February. However, she totally fell apart after setting the pace in the Fair Grounds Oaks. If she returns to the form that was on display two back, she would be a superfecta possibility here, but she’s hard to trust.
Kinsley Kisses (#10) handled the step up in class fairly well in last month’s Grade 2 Beaumont after easily winning a pair of lesser races in Florida to start her career. The 111 speed figure that she earned last time makes her one of the fastest fillies in this race, but the added distance remains a question. We also feel that her Beaumont effort looks better in print than it does when watching the race. She could certainly hang on for a piece, but we believe others will offer better value.
Dothraki Queen (#2) may be helped most of all by the projected pace scenario, since she is a deep closer that is at the mercy of race flow. A great ride from Corey Lanerie earned her some valuable black type in last fall’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies, but she’s yet to get back to that effort in two races since. Her Appalachian feels like purely a prep for a more serious race like this, so she figures to move forward. She’s definitely one to consider underneath in exotics.
The two maidens, Ma Can Do It (#4) and She’s a Warrior (#6), actually are not without trifecta chances themselves. Both have the right kind of running styles for this race and have earned Grade 1 stakes placings, which is more than many of their competitors can claim.
We’re less enamored of Cced (#13) and Mom’s On Strike (#14), who both drew unfavorable outside post positions in this large field. They appear to be coming into this race in good form, but their stalking running styles could force their riders to use them too strongly in the early stages as they try to clear the runners to their inside and tuck in behind the pacesetters.
The one massive long shot that we would consider throwing into our exotic wagers is Flora Dora (#12). She didn’t finish too far behind Lewis Bay and Mo d’Amour in a couple of stakes races in New York, and those fillies both ran very well in the Kentucky Oaks and would be major players in this race. It seemed as if she just didn’t handle the wet track in the Gazelle, but she has experience at this distance and has been working very strongly up at Saratoga for this race. Don’t be surprised if she completes the trifecta at a huge price.
THE PLAY
Win: #5, Go Maggie Go, at odds of 5/2 or better
Exacta:
5 with 2,3,4,6,12
3 with 12
Trifectas:
3,5 with 3,5 with 2,4,6,12
3,5 with 2,4,6,12 with 3,5
5 with 3 with 9,10,13,14
Land Over Sea
Doug O'Neill trained filly will hit the track for the tenth time Friday off a good second in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks May 5. It followed a career defining 4 1/2 length win in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks March 26 and consecutive runner-up finishes - behind Songbird in the Grade 2 Santa Ysabel Stakes at Santa Anita March 5 and behind Songbird in the Grade 2 Las Virgenes Stakes February 6. She's also posted a seventh behind Songbird in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile October 31, another respectable second behind Songbird in the Grade 1 Chandelier Stakes at Santa Anita September 26 and a third behind Songbird yet again in the Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante September 5. Land Over Sea hasn't been worse than second in her last four starts against top quality fields. She departs from gate 3 with Mario Gutierrez aboard the morning line favorite.
Doug O'Neill trained filly will hit the track for the tenth time Friday off a good second in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks May 5. It followed a career defining 4 1/2 length win in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks March 26 and consecutive runner-up finishes - behind Songbird in the Grade 2 Santa Ysabel Stakes at Santa Anita March 5 and behind Songbird in the Grade 2 Las Virgenes Stakes February 6. She's also posted a seventh behind Songbird in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile October 31, another respectable second behind Songbird in the Grade 1 Chandelier Stakes at Santa Anita September 26 and a third behind Songbird yet again in the Grade 1 Del Mar Debutante September 5. Land Over Sea hasn't been worse than second in her last four starts against top quality fields. She departs from gate 3 with Mario Gutierrez aboard the morning line favorite.
Go Maggie Go
lightly raced Dale Romans trained filly makes just her fourth career having posted two wins so far. Her first race produced and impressive2 1/4 length win at Gulfstream March 13 and her second was a nice upset score in the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks April 2. Last time out was a slightly disappointing, troubled fourth in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks May 6. Go Maggie Go looked had been very good in limited action before a slight stumble last time out and hopes to bounce back from post 5. Luis Saez gets the call.
lightly raced Dale Romans trained filly makes just her fourth career having posted two wins so far. Her first race produced and impressive2 1/4 length win at Gulfstream March 13 and her second was a nice upset score in the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks April 2. Last time out was a slightly disappointing, troubled fourth in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks May 6. Go Maggie Go looked had been very good in limited action before a slight stumble last time out and hopes to bounce back from post 5. Luis Saez gets the call.
She's a Warrior
has yet to post a win in her six career starts but has three seconds and three third place finishes. Last time out was a third behind Songbird in the Grade 3 Santa Anita Oaks at Santa Anita April 9 which followed a second in a MSW March 5 and another third behind Songbird in the Grade 2 Las Virgenes Stakes February 6. She's a Warrior has been in every race so far and could be in line for her first ever win this Friday. Gary Stevens has been tabbed to ride from gate 6.
has yet to post a win in her six career starts but has three seconds and three third place finishes. Last time out was a third behind Songbird in the Grade 3 Santa Anita Oaks at Santa Anita April 9 which followed a second in a MSW March 5 and another third behind Songbird in the Grade 2 Las Virgenes Stakes February 6. She's a Warrior has been in every race so far and could be in line for her first ever win this Friday. Gary Stevens has been tabbed to ride from gate 6.
Kinsey Kisses
will race for just the fourth time for trainer Todd Pletcher having posted two wins and a third place finish so far. Last time out was a respectable third in her graded stakes debut - the Grade 3 Beaumont Stakes at Keeneland April 17 which followed an Allowance Optional Claiming score at Tampa Bay March 13 and a maiden score at first asking in January. John Velazquez will try to guide her to his first stakes score in her first race beyond seven furlongs - from gate 10 Friday.
will race for just the fourth time for trainer Todd Pletcher having posted two wins and a third place finish so far. Last time out was a respectable third in her graded stakes debut - the Grade 3 Beaumont Stakes at Keeneland April 17 which followed an Allowance Optional Claiming score at Tampa Bay March 13 and a maiden score at first asking in January. John Velazquez will try to guide her to his first stakes score in her first race beyond seven furlongs - from gate 10 Friday.
Dothraki Queen
Kenneth McPeek trained filly placed in her first five career starts - two wins, a second and two third place finishes. She enters off an ugly eighth however in the Grade 3 Appalachian Stakes at Keeneland April 14. She won the Grade 2 Pocahontas Stakes at Churchill Downs in September and went on to a couple of good results - a second in the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes in October and a third in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. Two starts back was another decent result - a third in the Grade 2 Golden Rod Stakes November 28. Dothraki Queen has been decent so far and will be looking for a strong bounce with Julien Leparoux in the saddle from gate 2.
Kenneth McPeek trained filly placed in her first five career starts - two wins, a second and two third place finishes. She enters off an ugly eighth however in the Grade 3 Appalachian Stakes at Keeneland April 14. She won the Grade 2 Pocahontas Stakes at Churchill Downs in September and went on to a couple of good results - a second in the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes in October and a third in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. Two starts back was another decent result - a third in the Grade 2 Golden Rod Stakes November 28. Dothraki Queen has been decent so far and will be looking for a strong bounce with Julien Leparoux in the saddle from gate 2.
Midnight On Oconee
has seven career starts for trainer Larry Jones with two wins and three second place finishes. She enters off a seventh after setting the p[ace and tiring in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks March 26 which followed a pair of respectable runner-up finishes - the Grade 2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes February 20 and the minor Silverbulletday Stakes January 16. Midnight On Oconee has been OK and chases her first stakes win from post 9 Friday. Gabriel Saez has been scheduled to ride.
has seven career starts for trainer Larry Jones with two wins and three second place finishes. She enters off a seventh after setting the p[ace and tiring in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks March 26 which followed a pair of respectable runner-up finishes - the Grade 2 Rachel Alexandra Stakes February 20 and the minor Silverbulletday Stakes January 16. Midnight On Oconee has been OK and chases her first stakes win from post 9 Friday. Gabriel Saez has been scheduled to ride.
Cced
has two wins and a second place finish in four career starts for trainer Steve Asmussen. She makes her stakes debut Friday off an Allowance Optional Claiming score at Oaklawn Park April 14, a sixth in a similar race on that track March 11 and a maiden score at Fair Grounds in February. Cced takes a huge step up in competition in so-so form and departs from post 13 with Florent Geroux guiding her.
has two wins and a second place finish in four career starts for trainer Steve Asmussen. She makes her stakes debut Friday off an Allowance Optional Claiming score at Oaklawn Park April 14, a sixth in a similar race on that track March 11 and a maiden score at Fair Grounds in February. Cced takes a huge step up in competition in so-so form and departs from post 13 with Florent Geroux guiding her.
Mom's On Strike
will hit the track for the third time for trainer Joe Sharp after two career starts produced a win and a third place finish. She finally broke maiden last time out at Oaklawn Park April 16 after a third in her debut March 17 at Fair Grounds. Mom's On Strike steps up in decent form and will have Joe Rocco in the reins from the outside gate 14.
will hit the track for the third time for trainer Joe Sharp after two career starts produced a win and a third place finish. She finally broke maiden last time out at Oaklawn Park April 16 after a third in her debut March 17 at Fair Grounds. Mom's On Strike steps up in decent form and will have Joe Rocco in the reins from the outside gate 14.
Flora Dora
finished second in the Grade 3 Tempted Stakes at Aqueduct November 4 but has placed in just one of four starts since. Last time out was a fifth in the Grade 2 Gazelle Stakes at Aqueduct April 9 after a fourth in the minor Busher Stakes on that track in February, a good win in the minor Busanda Stakes at Aqueduct January 31 and a fourth in the Grade 2 Demoiselle Stakes on that track November 28. Flora Dora has shown form in the past but has looked just average lately. She looks for a major breakthrough Friday from gate 12 with Junior Alvarado aboard.
finished second in the Grade 3 Tempted Stakes at Aqueduct November 4 but has placed in just one of four starts since. Last time out was a fifth in the Grade 2 Gazelle Stakes at Aqueduct April 9 after a fourth in the minor Busher Stakes on that track in February, a good win in the minor Busanda Stakes at Aqueduct January 31 and a fourth in the Grade 2 Demoiselle Stakes on that track November 28. Flora Dora has shown form in the past but has looked just average lately. She looks for a major breakthrough Friday from gate 12 with Junior Alvarado aboard.
A P Majestic
Michael Trombetta trained filly has two wins, two seconds and a third place finish in seven career starts. She makes her graded stakes debut off a good win in her stakes debut - the minor $100,000 Weber City Miss Stakes at Laurel Park April 9 which followed off-the-board finishes in two Allowance races earlier this year. A P Majestic hadn't been all that impressive before last time out but hopes to build on a career-best effort from the rail Friday. Victor Carrasco rides.
Michael Trombetta trained filly has two wins, two seconds and a third place finish in seven career starts. She makes her graded stakes debut off a good win in her stakes debut - the minor $100,000 Weber City Miss Stakes at Laurel Park April 9 which followed off-the-board finishes in two Allowance races earlier this year. A P Majestic hadn't been all that impressive before last time out but hopes to build on a career-best effort from the rail Friday. Victor Carrasco rides.
In the Navy Now
has a win, two seconds and a third place finish in seven career starts - all at Laurel Park. She makes her graded stakes debut Friday having placed in her last four starts. Last time out was a runner-up finish behind A P Majestic in the minor Weber City Miss Stakes April 9 which followed a third in the minor Caesar's Wish Stakes March 12 and a maiden score in January. In the Navy Now has been trending upward recently and could be a factor Saturday from post 11. Trevor McCarthy rides.
has a win, two seconds and a third place finish in seven career starts - all at Laurel Park. She makes her graded stakes debut Friday having placed in her last four starts. Last time out was a runner-up finish behind A P Majestic in the minor Weber City Miss Stakes April 9 which followed a third in the minor Caesar's Wish Stakes March 12 and a maiden score in January. In the Navy Now has been trending upward recently and could be a factor Saturday from post 11. Trevor McCarthy rides.
Ma Can Do It
Dale Romans trained filly has yet to post a win in her six career starts but does have three runner-ups and a third place finish. Last time out was a second in a MSW at Keeneland April 23 after an eighth in another MSW at Oaklawn Park March 20, a fifth in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies and an OK third in the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades in October. Ma Can Do It has placed in just one of her last four starts ahead of this weekend and looks as though she'll be in over her head in this one. Brian Joseph Hernandez has the mount from gate 4.
Dale Romans trained filly has yet to post a win in her six career starts but does have three runner-ups and a third place finish. Last time out was a second in a MSW at Keeneland April 23 after an eighth in another MSW at Oaklawn Park March 20, a fifth in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies and an OK third in the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades in October. Ma Can Do It has placed in just one of her last four starts ahead of this weekend and looks as though she'll be in over her head in this one. Brian Joseph Hernandez has the mount from gate 4.
Downdraft
has four career starts for trainer James Lawrence with a win and a third place finish. She makes her stakes debut Friday having finally broken maiden April 24 after a third in a similar race at Laurel Park March 20 and a pair of off-the-board finishes in her first two career starts. She takes a huge step up in competition in decent form. Angel Cruz has the mount from post 7.
has four career starts for trainer James Lawrence with a win and a third place finish. She makes her stakes debut Friday having finally broken maiden April 24 after a third in a similar race at Laurel Park March 20 and a pair of off-the-board finishes in her first two career starts. She takes a huge step up in competition in decent form. Angel Cruz has the mount from post 7.
Double Entendre
makes just her third career start for trainer Peter Walder having posted one win so far. She finished fifth last time out in her stakes debut - the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks April 2 after a decent win at first asking February 29. Double Entendre looked out of place last time out and will have to produce a special effort to contend Friday. Jockey Scott Spieth will try to deliver that from gate 8.
makes just her third career start for trainer Peter Walder having posted one win so far. She finished fifth last time out in her stakes debut - the Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Oaks April 2 after a decent win at first asking February 29. Double Entendre looked out of place last time out and will have to produce a special effort to contend Friday. Jockey Scott Spieth will try to deliver that from gate 8.
Black Eyed Susan Stakes Picks and Predictions
from Sports Investment Group
#3 Land Over Sea ran an impressive race and closed into a field that set moderate fractions early in the race. This filly just does not seem able to catch a break as she has finished as the runner-up to the fantastic filly Songbird on three occasions and then ran into Cathryn Sophia in the Kentucky Oaks. Bettors at the windows have to believe that Friday will be her day in the Black-Eyed Susan, but we are leaning towards the other Oaks runner, Go Maggie Go as our selection.
#5 Go Maggie Go, a Dale Romans trainee, never raced as a two-year-old and actually only ran her first race and breaking her maiden in March at Gulfstream Park at the middle of March. She followed that maiden victory up with a win in the Gulfstream Oaks (Gr. 2) and then went into the Kentucky Oaks and was able to run with much more accomplished and experienced fillies finishing a respectable fourth in that field. This horse has improved with each outing and it appears that her only competition in here will come from Land Over Sea who is a very talented horse, but we like to make money and you cannot accomplish that betting the favorite so we lean to Go Maggie Go in the Black Eyed Susan.
We foresee these two finishing in the top two spots with the only upset candidate being the Ken McPeek trainee, #2 Dothraki Queen who had a great two-year-old campaign, but has only one unimpressive race under her as a three-year-old. She ran an unimpressive eighth in the Appalachian (Gr. 3) at Keeneland last month on the turf. What is intriguing is that McPeek has had success going from turf to dirt historically with his runners and she will be making that move on Friday. At 15-1 on the Morning Line we would include her on some of your Exacta bets in the event that one of our top two selections falters.
The race to complete the Trifecta and Superfecta is pretty wide open and any of the following could hit the board in those spots including the aforementioned Dothraki Queen:
#6 She’s a Warrior (6-1 ML) Gary Stevens/Peter Eurton
#9 Midnight On Oconee (15-1 ML) Gabriel Saez/Larry Jones
#10 Kinsley Kisses (6-1 ML) John Velazquez/Todd Pletcher
#12 Flora Dora (30-1 ML) Junior Alvarado/Marialice Coffey
#13 Cced (15-1 ML) Florent Geroux/Steve Asmussen
#14 Mom’s On Strike (15-1 ML) Joe Rocco/Joe Shar
from Sports Investment Group
#3 Land Over Sea ran an impressive race and closed into a field that set moderate fractions early in the race. This filly just does not seem able to catch a break as she has finished as the runner-up to the fantastic filly Songbird on three occasions and then ran into Cathryn Sophia in the Kentucky Oaks. Bettors at the windows have to believe that Friday will be her day in the Black-Eyed Susan, but we are leaning towards the other Oaks runner, Go Maggie Go as our selection.
#5 Go Maggie Go, a Dale Romans trainee, never raced as a two-year-old and actually only ran her first race and breaking her maiden in March at Gulfstream Park at the middle of March. She followed that maiden victory up with a win in the Gulfstream Oaks (Gr. 2) and then went into the Kentucky Oaks and was able to run with much more accomplished and experienced fillies finishing a respectable fourth in that field. This horse has improved with each outing and it appears that her only competition in here will come from Land Over Sea who is a very talented horse, but we like to make money and you cannot accomplish that betting the favorite so we lean to Go Maggie Go in the Black Eyed Susan.
We foresee these two finishing in the top two spots with the only upset candidate being the Ken McPeek trainee, #2 Dothraki Queen who had a great two-year-old campaign, but has only one unimpressive race under her as a three-year-old. She ran an unimpressive eighth in the Appalachian (Gr. 3) at Keeneland last month on the turf. What is intriguing is that McPeek has had success going from turf to dirt historically with his runners and she will be making that move on Friday. At 15-1 on the Morning Line we would include her on some of your Exacta bets in the event that one of our top two selections falters.
The race to complete the Trifecta and Superfecta is pretty wide open and any of the following could hit the board in those spots including the aforementioned Dothraki Queen:
#6 She’s a Warrior (6-1 ML) Gary Stevens/Peter Eurton
#9 Midnight On Oconee (15-1 ML) Gabriel Saez/Larry Jones
#10 Kinsley Kisses (6-1 ML) John Velazquez/Todd Pletcher
#12 Flora Dora (30-1 ML) Junior Alvarado/Marialice Coffey
#13 Cced (15-1 ML) Florent Geroux/Steve Asmussen
#14 Mom’s On Strike (15-1 ML) Joe Rocco/Joe Shar
Pimlico Picks - May 20th
from Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
Stats: (45) 12-10-7 — 26.7% winners, 64.4% on the board
Race 1: #8 Touch and Smile
Race 2: #4 Do What I Say
Race 3: #8 Fantastic Style
Race 4: #3 Queenofthezeenile
Race 5: #9 Tale of Life
Race 6: #4 Sunnysammi
Race 7: #1 Page McKenney
Race 8: #2 Ben’s Cat
Race 9: #4 Mei Ling
Race 10: #4 Spinamiss
Race 11: #5 Go Maggie Go
Race 12: #1 Helm
Race 13: #4 Lost Raven
Race 14: #10 Soup d’Coupe
from Thoroughbred Racing Dudes
Stats: (45) 12-10-7 — 26.7% winners, 64.4% on the board
Race 1: #8 Touch and Smile
Race 2: #4 Do What I Say
Race 3: #8 Fantastic Style
Race 4: #3 Queenofthezeenile
Race 5: #9 Tale of Life
Race 6: #4 Sunnysammi
Race 7: #1 Page McKenney
Race 8: #2 Ben’s Cat
Race 9: #4 Mei Ling
Race 10: #4 Spinamiss
Race 11: #5 Go Maggie Go
Race 12: #1 Helm
Race 13: #4 Lost Raven
Race 14: #10 Soup d’Coupe
Mike Dempsey
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Pimlico:
PIM Race 11 The Black Eyed Susan G2 (4:50 ET)
#2 Dothraki Queen 15-1
#3 Land Over Sea 2-1
#9 Midnight On Oconee 15-1
#5 Go Maggie Go 5-2
Analysis: Dothraki Queen is going to be a decent price here as she rents to dirt after an eighth place finish in the Appalachian (G3) last out at Keeneland going a mile in her first start off a 4 ½ month break. The filly as bothered coming out of the gate, was outrun early and showed some late interest, beaten 9 ¼ lengths for the top spot. The winner Catch a Glimpse came back to win the Edgewood (G3) in her next outing on May 6. This filly showed some ability last year on the main track including winning the Pocahontas (G2) at Churchill Downs in her first start against winners. She then caught slop in a runner up finish in the Alcibiades (G1) at Keeneland and was seven lengths behind Songbird when third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) where she as third. She capped off her year when fourth and placed third via a DQ in the Golden Rod (G2). She should move forward in her second start off the bench and picks up a new rider in Julien Leparoux.
Land Over Sea wheels back off a two week break where she was a good second in the Kentucky Oaks (G1). She made a good late rally after being outrun early but could not get to Cathryn Sophia, beaten 2 ¾ lengths. She had the misfortune of running into Songbird five straight times, then won the Fair Grounds Oaks (G2) in her first start where she did not have to face that undefeated filly. The question here is whether she is going to see enough early pace in front of her, her short price, and whether she regresses on the rather quick turnaround.
Midnight On Oconee makes her first start since running seventh behind Lane Over Sea in the Fair Grounds Oaks. The runner up in that race was Dream Dance, who beat Alw-1 foe sin her next outing on April 16 at Keeneland. The Larry Jones trainee ran well in her two previous starts, a runner up in the Rachel Alexandra and the Silverbulletday. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and she has some pedigree on the bottom side that might get to be able to handle nine furlongs. She figures to bounce back with a much better effort here and is going to be a generous price.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 8-1 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,5,9
TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,5,9 / 2,3,5,9,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Pimlico
R2: Bioterp 8-1
R3: #1 Sweetrayofsunshine 12-1
R4: #10 Unspoken 15-1
R5: #1 Tekton 15-1
R6: #11 Pennies Appeal 15-1
R6: #10 Pret Say Eye 15-1
R7: #5 Idolo Porteno 12-1
R8: #1 Rapid Dan 8-1
R9: #9 Super Majesty 15-1
R10: #14 Wessex 8-1
R11: #2 Dothraki Queen 15-1
R11: #9 Midnight On Oconee 15-1
R12: #10 Loves Last Chance 12-1
R13: #5 Quick Release 10-1
R14: #6 Outofthedepths 15-1
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Pimlico:
PIM Race 11 The Black Eyed Susan G2 (4:50 ET)
#2 Dothraki Queen 15-1
#3 Land Over Sea 2-1
#9 Midnight On Oconee 15-1
#5 Go Maggie Go 5-2
Analysis: Dothraki Queen is going to be a decent price here as she rents to dirt after an eighth place finish in the Appalachian (G3) last out at Keeneland going a mile in her first start off a 4 ½ month break. The filly as bothered coming out of the gate, was outrun early and showed some late interest, beaten 9 ¼ lengths for the top spot. The winner Catch a Glimpse came back to win the Edgewood (G3) in her next outing on May 6. This filly showed some ability last year on the main track including winning the Pocahontas (G2) at Churchill Downs in her first start against winners. She then caught slop in a runner up finish in the Alcibiades (G1) at Keeneland and was seven lengths behind Songbird when third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) where she as third. She capped off her year when fourth and placed third via a DQ in the Golden Rod (G2). She should move forward in her second start off the bench and picks up a new rider in Julien Leparoux.
Land Over Sea wheels back off a two week break where she was a good second in the Kentucky Oaks (G1). She made a good late rally after being outrun early but could not get to Cathryn Sophia, beaten 2 ¾ lengths. She had the misfortune of running into Songbird five straight times, then won the Fair Grounds Oaks (G2) in her first start where she did not have to face that undefeated filly. The question here is whether she is going to see enough early pace in front of her, her short price, and whether she regresses on the rather quick turnaround.
Midnight On Oconee makes her first start since running seventh behind Lane Over Sea in the Fair Grounds Oaks. The runner up in that race was Dream Dance, who beat Alw-1 foe sin her next outing on April 16 at Keeneland. The Larry Jones trainee ran well in her two previous starts, a runner up in the Rachel Alexandra and the Silverbulletday. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and she has some pedigree on the bottom side that might get to be able to handle nine furlongs. She figures to bounce back with a much better effort here and is going to be a generous price.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 8-1 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,5,9
TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,5,9 / 2,3,5,9,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Pimlico
R2: Bioterp 8-1
R3: #1 Sweetrayofsunshine 12-1
R4: #10 Unspoken 15-1
R5: #1 Tekton 15-1
R6: #11 Pennies Appeal 15-1
R6: #10 Pret Say Eye 15-1
R7: #5 Idolo Porteno 12-1
R8: #1 Rapid Dan 8-1
R9: #9 Super Majesty 15-1
R10: #14 Wessex 8-1
R11: #2 Dothraki Queen 15-1
R11: #9 Midnight On Oconee 15-1
R12: #10 Loves Last Chance 12-1
R13: #5 Quick Release 10-1
R14: #6 Outofthedepths 15-1
