All of my plays are system/situational plays. Games that I list as 2+ units have multiple systems/situationals that will boost the play. Some plays are very strong but only have 1 system working so I still play them for just 1U. I have a 1U play that has very high win percentage tonight.
The game is Denver/Memphis. Not many plays a year but the side and total are very good. Since 2007 the side is 17-7-1 (70.8%) and the OVER is 16-8-1 (66.7%). Since 2010 side is 11-5-1 (68.8%) and the OVER 13-4 (76.5%). The plays are Denver +6 and OVER 189. Conley is doubtful, which has dropped the total from an open of 194. If Conley missing the game bothers you then just pass. But historically, a very strong OVER spot. The system plays ON/OVER a Road Dog coming off a Road Dog win that scored at least 10 points fewer than expected. Not a ton of plays but strong win percentages for the Dog and Over. They also fit another system that plays against a winning team that is favored by less than DD, and their previous 3 games combined went under by at least 18 points. Probably another reason the total is on the low side. Since 2010 the dog has gone 129-85-4 (60.3%). 10-6 this year, 21-10-1 last year, 27-20-1 before that.
Denver +6 and the OVER 189 is the play. Good Luck if you choose to play the game.
The game is Denver/Memphis. Not many plays a year but the side and total are very good. Since 2007 the side is 17-7-1 (70.8%) and the OVER is 16-8-1 (66.7%). Since 2010 side is 11-5-1 (68.8%) and the OVER 13-4 (76.5%). The plays are Denver +6 and OVER 189. Conley is doubtful, which has dropped the total from an open of 194. If Conley missing the game bothers you then just pass. But historically, a very strong OVER spot. The system plays ON/OVER a Road Dog coming off a Road Dog win that scored at least 10 points fewer than expected. Not a ton of plays but strong win percentages for the Dog and Over. They also fit another system that plays against a winning team that is favored by less than DD, and their previous 3 games combined went under by at least 18 points. Probably another reason the total is on the low side. Since 2010 the dog has gone 129-85-4 (60.3%). 10-6 this year, 21-10-1 last year, 27-20-1 before that.
Denver +6 and the OVER 189 is the play. Good Luck if you choose to play the game.
