Haven't posted on this site in awhile, thoughts on today's games.
Seattle/Tampa Bay UNDER 6.5 (-120)
Strong situational play on the under. Home Dog lost previous in extras using a lot of pitchers. 2 good pitchers and we get an umpire that gets more unders than overs.
Seattle -116
Also taking Seattle at -116 as a small favorite. Not too often you get King Felix in this price range, and we have the Pitcher Form angle working in our favor.
Philadelphia +171
Syndegarrd should not be favored in this price range. O'Sullivan has pitched very well in his last 2 starts, and his era/whip are comparable to Syndegarrd. Phillies have a strikeout angle working in their favor too. Phillies 5-5 last 10 games, playing better and always play the Mets tough. Just too big of a price to pass up.
Texas +156
Texas continues to get no respect from the line makers, which is just fine. Been playing them the last 5 games and see no reason to stop now. Lewis has pitched pretty well this year, although his last 2 he's scuffled a bit. Still, Carrasco no world beater and this price is just too good to pass up with a streaking team.
Kansas City +133
Is Chris Young this good? No, he isn't. But this price is pretty square considering Pineda has been hit pretty good his last 2 starts. Yankees swinging the bats well, but I get a feeling KC avoids a sweep and gets a win on getaway day. The pitching matchup is pretty even which makes getting plus money in this range great value.
Chicago White Sox +107
Tough loss as Donaldson with the 3 run walk off, good to see the Chi Sox bats wake up. After over a week of anemic offense, this game might break them out of their slumber. Estrada has lost his last 6 starts, while Samardzija has won 2 straight and 3 of his last 4. Sox have the better pitcher and will take the small dog here.
Seattle/Tampa Bay UNDER 6.5 (-120)
Strong situational play on the under. Home Dog lost previous in extras using a lot of pitchers. 2 good pitchers and we get an umpire that gets more unders than overs.
Seattle -116
Also taking Seattle at -116 as a small favorite. Not too often you get King Felix in this price range, and we have the Pitcher Form angle working in our favor.
Philadelphia +171
Syndegarrd should not be favored in this price range. O'Sullivan has pitched very well in his last 2 starts, and his era/whip are comparable to Syndegarrd. Phillies have a strikeout angle working in their favor too. Phillies 5-5 last 10 games, playing better and always play the Mets tough. Just too big of a price to pass up.
Texas +156
Texas continues to get no respect from the line makers, which is just fine. Been playing them the last 5 games and see no reason to stop now. Lewis has pitched pretty well this year, although his last 2 he's scuffled a bit. Still, Carrasco no world beater and this price is just too good to pass up with a streaking team.
Kansas City +133
Is Chris Young this good? No, he isn't. But this price is pretty square considering Pineda has been hit pretty good his last 2 starts. Yankees swinging the bats well, but I get a feeling KC avoids a sweep and gets a win on getaway day. The pitching matchup is pretty even which makes getting plus money in this range great value.
Chicago White Sox +107
Tough loss as Donaldson with the 3 run walk off, good to see the Chi Sox bats wake up. After over a week of anemic offense, this game might break them out of their slumber. Estrada has lost his last 6 starts, while Samardzija has won 2 straight and 3 of his last 4. Sox have the better pitcher and will take the small dog here.
