Birds at Fish - Eagles keys to the game and prediction

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If Spadaro is right the Eagles will win this game outright...for me it's too close to call but the Birds know they need to win to keep pace for home field. I may put a homer pick small on the moneyline and hope they can slow down Ricky but I wouldn't make it HUGE
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Keep in mind the teams that have beaten them have been better defensive then offensive as is the case tonight (TB, Dallas and NE are all far better defensive teams). Birds have the intangibles though and they expect 20,000 Eagle fans at this game.

Good luck tonight!

sb


A Showcase Night For A Prime-Time Group



December 15, 2003

FORT LAUDERDALE, FL -- There are so many Eagles fans in these parts that by the time the bright lights go on tonight, the players will think they're in balmy Philadelphia. The atmosphere here is incredible. Brian Dawkins jerseys outflank Ricky Williams jerseys 5 to 1.
Let's hope it's that way on the field.

Stopping Williams is priority No. 1 for the Eagles tonight. But there are others in this extremely important game. The Eagles need to keep pace with the Rams. The Dolphins are desperate for a win to keep their playoff hopes alive.

So here is my List Of Must Do's For the Eagles to beat Miami this evening at Pro Player Stadium, they have to...

1. Gang up on Ricky Williams

He's going to get a ton of carries. Williams is so tough because he's got incredible lower body strength. The Eagles need to gang tackle him, box him in, take away his first step. Sam Rayburn will play a lot because he's got so much strength, and the Eagles will need their defensive tackles to get the first hit and get some help from their friends.

It's important not to allow Williams to get to the edges. It's important he's not allowed to get a head of steam.

The numbers the Eagles should shoot for: 27 carries, 80 yards. If the Eagles hold Williams to those numbers, they win.

2. Complete 60 percent of their passes

I think the Eagles will throw the ball a little bit. I think they can create some matchups where Brian Westbrook is in space, or where they can get the short passing game going.

The completion percentage goal, then, is 60 percent. If Donovan McNabb does that, he's moving the chains, gaining first downs, playing ball-control offense.

The Eagles can't afford early three-and-out possessions. They need to come out early with some fire and keep Miami's offense off the field.

I don't want anything flashy, just a lot of high-percentage passes and chunks of yardage.

3. Score in the first quarter and get a lead

The Eagles have outscored their opponents 61-29 in the first quarter of games. That's outstanding. If they do that tonight, they could beat the Dolphins handily, because Miami just doesn't play from behind very well.

If the Eagles get a lead, they force Jay Fiedler to make plays and I don't care what anyone says, he's just not close to 100 percent. He won't be mobile tonight. Under pressure, he'll make mistakes. Under pressure, Fiedler plays right into the Eagles' hands.

And if the Dolphins are playing from behind, they can't afford to go on many 13-play, 75-yard drives. If the Eagles can get a lead early, they dominate.

4. Win the turnover battle

I know that it goes without saying, but the team that turns the ball over the least wins this game. You saw last week against Dallas how much difference a turnover makes. Same deal tonight.

Williams can put the ball on the ground. Fiedler certainly can. Make it happen.

5. Get McNabb out of the pocket

Miami's defense is all about speed, and the Dolphins are also very structured and very disciplined. If McNabb runs early, it blows the Dolphins' scheme out of the water.

So I wouldn't be surprised to see the Eagles design a run or two early for McNabb. Get the Dolphins back on their heels. Force their defensive backs to commit to McNabb's scrambling. Then beat them for big plays down the field.

The bottom line here is that I think the Eagles are a better team. They have more dimensions to the offense and the defense is in the same ballpark as Miami. The Eagles special teams are playing very well.

There are some factors to consider: Nate Wayne will test out his ankle before the game but is questionable to play. The crowd is decidely split and the Eagles rowdies need to get into the action early and often. Both teams need the game.

I just like the Eagles here. Miami has Ricky Williams, a terrific receiver in Chris Chambers and a fine tight end in Randy McMichael plus a great defense.

The Eagles have the superior T-E-A-M. In the end, that wins.

Prediction: Eagles 24, Dolphins 14
 
Also Nate Wayne is a little gimpy since he sprained his ankle on Saturday but he should be a go tonight.

Good luck!

sb
 

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Sports - Thanks for the input. I put 2 futures in before yesterday's game for NFC Championship - Your Eagles & the Packers. The Packers at +1400 was too good to pass up. Things fell into place nicely with Minny continuing to choke yesterday and GB winning. I think GB would be the only team with a shot at winning in Philly in January.

Still undecided about tonight.
 

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i think mcnabb will have a tough time w/ their short passing game because of miamis bump and run man 2 man coverage.

the recievers dont have a 5 yard space and i think mcnabb will struggle. accuracy is not his strength. if reid doesnt let him run and loosen the def- it will be a big mistake.

key to philly is their unheralded running game. if miami cant stop phillys run its over.

i agree who ever is leading the game will dictate the game to their favor.

home teams have been really strong this season

equal turnovers = miami win

must win

miamis strength(ricky williams) is phillys weakness(run def)
 
B&G Thanks I would tread lightly on this one. The D Line is a big concern because the two best runstoppers have been hurt most of the year (thus the problems stopping the run). Simon is getting better at it but he's wearing thin with all the plays he's been in there for. Jim Johnson is really concerned with their conditioning in this one.

De Niro very valid points and I think another problem will be Zach Thomas who may either spy McNabb and/or cause havoc on the Birds screens. The Miami wideouts are also more physical than our WR's and they may be able to get seperation but don't count out our secondary because they will make plays (especially Dawkins).

G/L tonight.

sb
 

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Aloha Sportsbet, been awhile since I think we were on the same page. I am glad that we are on the same side tonight though. GL to us and Aloha CC.
 
Yes CC it's good for us to be in consensus. I've had reservations about this game all week though...but the visitors have done well on Monday night all year so here's one for tonight:

E-A-G-L-E-S EAGLES!!!

Good luck...

sb
 

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I am a season ticket holder for the Eagles but my money tonight will be ion the Dolphins i believe Rickey will run up and down the field on them and it will open up the field for Fiedler to make some long passes. Remember the Eagles schedule has not been the toughest and tonight will be a true test and i think the Eagles will come up short. Look for Miami to run the table and get into the playoffs!! Only my opinion good luck!!
 

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Eagles are winning this one. Miami BLOWS late in the year and this will be the game that officially puts the fork in Wannstadt. Boo's will be heard early and often from a Miami fandom tired of late season swoons. Eagles may lose one down the stretch here, but it's not going to be this one.
 

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mr t agree w/ you

phillys schedule has been soft

uncanny timing all year long

caught jets w/ 1st half for pennington from injury

carolina middle of losing streak

inconsistant saints at home

got lucky w/ packers and giants at ny

this game for philly is their toughest since the 1st 2 games(they lost both of them)
 
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh


Atta boy Birds!!!!

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sb
 

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Like I was telling all the stinkin' Birds fans tonight... you want no part of the P-MEN!!! GO PATS!!!
 

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damn those philly screens and dump passes dont look pretty...but they get the job done

nice call sportbet

isnt it funny, philly had better personnel last 2 years but they might win the whole thing this year

damn those philly books got slammed!!!!
 

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