Bills +7 & Bucs +3.5!

[sneadmeister2]

Bills +7
Bucs +3.5

Write-ups to come later.

GL Snead.

 

[sneadmeister2]

writeups

Buffalo +7 vs NY Jets

Jets are 1-8 ats off BB SU Wins vs opp off DD loss
Jets are 1-6 ats as hf's off BB wins vs opp off su & ats loss
Jets are 0-8 ats as favs of more than 6 pts
Jets are 1-11 ats as hf's off BB su wins vs. sub .500 opp
Jets are 2-6 ats off BB wins in October

Total: Jets 5-39 ats - 11.36% chance of covering vs. 88.63 chance of covering for Buffalo.

Pick Buffalo +7 88.63%

 

[dolphin]

I certainly like the technicals on the Bills as well, but the loss of C Teague and Troy Vincent is just too much for me. The Bills could bounce with professional pride or crash after a big effort last week. If either of those occurs, I suspect the latter to be more likely.

I'm passing, but good luck to you!

 

[blueedwards]

i like the bills this week. good luck with the bucs. i can't bet on that team.

 

[sneadmeister2]

writeups

thanks for the thoughts guys

Bucs +3.5 vs New Orleans

Saints are 4-10 ats as hf's in October
Saints are 3-9 ats off a dd loss
Saints are 2-16 ats as a divisional hf off a su loss
Saints are 0-14 ats at home when scoring less than 20 pts
Saints are 0-4 ats home off a dd loss
Saints are 4-10 ats vs. opp off a loss
Saints are 4-19 ats as favs off a dd loss
Saints are 0-5 ats at home vs. less than .500 opponent

Total: Saints 17-87 ats - 16.34% chance of covering vs. 83.65% chance of covering for Tampa Bay.

Pick Tampa Bay +3.5 83.65%


Also adding Green Bay -3 and over 43.5 total.

GL Snead.

 

[sneadmeister2]

writeups

Green Bay -3 over Tennessee

Tennessee is 1-7 ats as a dog on mon night

GB are 10-2 ats on mon night
GB are 5-0 ats off 3 su losses
Mike Sherman is 5-1 ats on mon night


Total: GB 27-4 ats, packers with a 87.09% chance of covering while Titans have a 12.90% chance of covering

Pick GB -3 87.09%

 

[sneadmeister2]

adding

also like the Under in Jags/San Diego game.

S.D. is 2-6 under at home in October, plus Jags have trouble scoring and have a good defense, while have had totals of 13 1st week, 13 2nd week & 27 3rd week this year.

Play on the Under 36.5 Total

GL Snead

 

[sneadmeister2]

writeups

GB/Tenn over 43.5 Total

Tennessee has 11 overs & 2 unders in their last 13 road games vs. NFC
Packers are 5-1 over at home in October.

Colts put up 31 & Chargers put up 38 on Tennessee's D, while Miami's bad O put up 7 and Jags put up 15. Packers should have no trouble scoring at least 30 points here, maybe more.

Meanwhile Tenn has averaged 17 points for virtually every game this year.

Packers 35-Titans 17.

Play on G.B./Tenn Over 43.5 Total


Also Adding....

NYJets/Buffalo over 37.5

Jets have allowed the Bengals and Chargers to put up 24 and 28.

Both teams should easily get to the 20's.

Buffalo 27-NY Jets 24

Play on Buff/NY Jets over 37.5 Total

 

[sneadmeister2]

results

2-0 ats for today while 0-2 vs totals, maybe next week just stick with the pointspreads.

 

[nfny]

i had buff and tb as well, cle too though.

i will take 2-1

 

[sneadmeister2]

next time

remember for Cleveland good at home, horrible on the road.

GL next week.