BillHill999's Friday play of the day.

billhill999 · Dec 5, 2008

There are two conferences that I really pay attention to.
Big East and the MAAC.

Grew up a Jersey boy and watched St. John's and Rutgers play all the time, now I live here in Husky country.

In the MAAC, Fairfield plays up the street from where I love (Bridgeport-Fairfied border) and my brother is a St. Peter's grad.
Which brings me to the play.

FAIRFIELD -14 over ST. PETER'S 3*

First the obvious, St. Peter's is flat out terrible, Fairfield has a good talented squad.

Now for the breakdown.
St. Peter's is 1-4 with losses to basketball juggernauts like, Boston U, Wagner, and Lehigh.
Three out of the four losses were beyond ugly.

Fairfield is 4-3, don't let that fool you, they lost to Memphis, Va. Tech, and Missouri.

Now for the matchups.
Fairfield has a well balanced scoring attack with four starters averaging 10 points + a game.
Fairfield has the superior size advantage, Nero goes 6' 7", Edney goes 6' 5 " and Johnson the F-C goes 6' 8".
St. Peter's has no pivot men to put up with that.

St. Peter's starts a talented guard in Wesley Jenkins, scoring 18 a game, however that comes with a horrible 37% FG average.
Nick Leon is the other only scorer St. Peter's starts, averaging 13 PPG, but like Jenkins, has a terrible 37 percent FG average.

Recapping, St. Peter's is outsized, should be one and done offensivly, can't shoot free throws well, and has to take that God awful bus ride from Jersey City NJ, on a Friday, over the GW Bridge, and then 30 miles on that I-95 into Ct.
Trust me, that is not a pleasant 2 hour plus bus ride.

Fairfield at home, if the game is officiated properly, will torch the Peacocks, and very easily could cover that 14 spot by half.

As per usual, thank you for taking the time to read this, and may all your tickets get cashed.
:toast:

Basket Case · Dec 5, 2008

People Betting on St. Peters

<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#363636><TD width="100%"><SMALL>7:30 pm Added Game </SMALL></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width=35>527</TD><TD width=180>St Peters</TD><TD align=middle width=85 bgColor=#666666> </TD><TD align=middle width=85 bgColor=#666666> </TD><TD align=right width=45 bgColor=#666666>+700</TD><TD width=85> </TD><TD width=85> </TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle width=35>528</TD><TD width=180>Fairfield</TD><TD align=middle width=85 bgColor=#666666>-13</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Looks like money is flowing to St. Peters. :think2:

What's with that?

Thanks for the play, but this line movement is spooking me.

GimmeDattt · Dec 5, 2008

GL Bill

Why would money on St Peters scare you Basket?

TheGuarantee · Dec 5, 2008

Fairfield is improved this year. St Peter's can not score it at all. Absolutely need to force turnovers to score - which they do..which is what would concern me about this one..Fairfield doesn't take care of the ball too well and Peter's leads the nation in defensive turnover %. On top of that, Peter's naturally fouls a ton and sends team to the stripe - Fairfield only shooting it 61% this year... Too many points for me but good luck, if Fairfield can take care of the ball and make a little higher % from the stripe their defense should be able to hold this anemic offense to a low enough point total to cover I guess. Good luck.

mhatten1 · Dec 5, 2008

I like the fairfield pick as well. I too am an avid follower of the maac. I saw all the teams play live last yr. Fairfield has such a strong and balanced team. I really think FF blows st. Peters out by 20 Han and allen are strong guards. If johnson and edney both play well this game could be over by the first half. St peters does have welsey jenkins who can score but the loss by lampley really hurt the peacocks. Now teams can focus solely on jenkins.
Also with a struggling Siena fairfield has a great chance to win the maac and this could be a statement game for them.

Bill also what are your thoughts on manhattan-5 v cansius? I was hoping cansius would get around 8 points cuz then I would take them. Manhattan has been struggling losing their last two to a bad hofstra team and a bad st Francis team. Does manhattan have enough firepower in smith austin and pearson to pull it out? Is it crazy to think the griffins could win this one in riverdale?

billhill999 · Dec 5, 2008

mhatten1 said:
I like the fairfield pick as well. I too am an avid follower of the maac. I saw all the teams play live last yr. Fairfield has such a strong and balanced team. I really think FF blows st. Peters out by 20 Han and allen are strong guards. If johnson and edney both play well this game could be over by the first half. St peters does have welsey jenkins who can score but the loss by lampley really hurt the peacocks. Now teams can focus solely on jenkins.
Also with a struggling Siena fairfield has a great chance to win the maac and this could be a statement game for them.

Bill also what are your thoughts on manhattan-5 v cansius? I was hoping cansius would get around 8 points cuz then I would take them. Manhattan has been struggling losing their last two to a bad hofstra team and a bad st Francis team. Does manhattan have enough firepower in smith austin and pearson to pull it out? Is it crazy to think the griffins could win this one in riverdale?

Lean is Manahattan at five.
Any more I'd lean CU.
No play for me.

Getting back to my FU pick, St. Pete's offensivly should be one and done tonight, they shouldn't get too many put backs.