Thanks Kouga, you have a good idea there.
GB can do what i thought maybe Seattle would, and exploit that defense, but now without a defense.
I was listening a bit to Fezzik on Maddog radio, and i guess the sharps like the favs and the public likes the dogs on Sunday.
Doesn't mean much really, when the sharps have a high consensus, they lose more than not.
Just like when Cowturd used to do his sharp segment show on Sun. mornings, Sharp consensus was not money at all...
Also since you can go 1-4 and make money, as long as you bet more on that key winning game perhaps...
But anybody working hard to make money on gambling is a sharp bettor.
:howdy:
Four top teams, they all belong, so I don't think it's great to throw big money on much.
Only thing that could stop the points would be some crazy good red zone defense.
Sharps on the Unders, while public on the Overs.
The "Big" games usually are not the ones to bet really heavy on, and Fezzik was talking about some props,
and I do like that approach in these close Championship and SuperBowl matchups.
Last SuperBowl, that Over Receptions to Anderson RB for the Broncos looked Great and Cashed many max tickets!
So, I will do some work on the props for Sunday.
But I don't suggest any Steelers type mortgage on GB here.
You are thinking the right way for these type of close bigtime matchups!!!
Bol on all your wagers brother!
:toast:
Big Champion Games are not usually the ones to bet heavy on!!! Weeks 1-12 alone was more than enough gravy this year thankfully.
I just want that Atl / NE matchup in the bowl.
But i would say to hammer certain props you like, I think that's where advantages are in Big Games, cause spreads seem right on.
If i can get some solid angle props, I will post em for the folks.
GL
:toast:
hno:Interesting thing here about the GB / ATL game is that, GB as an underdog could play alot looser than Atlanta.
The pressure here is really ALL on the Falcons not to blow it at home in the last Huuuuge Dome game for a SB Trip!!!
GB has to take the approach of keep scoring and win with alot of points!!!
GB has the O-line and power to do this with controlled drives, using clock wisely.
I think you will see Atlanta run waaaaaaay more than you think they have to or should do.
Yes, they can pass well also, but this game can get away with a turnover, so they wanna run enough.
So we want an ATL running prop I think!!!
:toast:
The pressure here is really ALL on the Falcons not to blow it at home in the last Huuuuge Dome game for a SB Trip!!!
GB has to take the approach of keep scoring and win with alot of points!!!
GB has the O-line and power to do this with controlled drives, using clock wisely.
I think you will see Atlanta run waaaaaaay more than you think they have to or should do.
Yes, they can pass well also, but this game can get away with a turnover, so they wanna run enough.
So we want an ATL running prop I think!!!
:toast:
Decent plus $ bet
popcorn-eatinggif
Most Rushing Yards
L. Bell -200 or Any other player +150 (bovada)
We want an Atl rusher or another to win us +150.
Also, NE does not give up many rushing yards,
top 5 in the league. Somewhat due to having leads in games,
but bellychik can certainly coach defense.
*Look around for better odds on this.
popcorn-eatinggif
Most Rushing Yards
L. Bell -200 or Any other player +150 (bovada)
We want an Atl rusher or another to win us +150.
Also, NE does not give up many rushing yards,
top 5 in the league. Somewhat due to having leads in games,
but bellychik can certainly coach defense.
*Look around for better odds on this.
Ok, here is what we need in PITT / NE.
Reason being is that I expect the Pats to key on Bell and limit Bell in rushing and receiving!!!!!
Expect passing.
Also, a pass attempts prop for Biggy Ben may be better, but i'm not seeing one currently.
ONLY ISSUE IS THE PITT FLU NEWS / RUMORS....
DOUBLE CHECK SUNDAY ON DISHONEST MEDIA!!!
:toast:
#1 L. Bell UNDER 150.5 Rush & Receiving Yards EVEN
#2 BIG BEN OVER 24 PASS COMPLETIONS -115
Reason being is that I expect the Pats to key on Bell and limit Bell in rushing and receiving!!!!!
Expect passing.
Also, a pass attempts prop for Biggy Ben may be better, but i'm not seeing one currently.
ONLY ISSUE IS THE PITT FLU NEWS / RUMORS....
DOUBLE CHECK SUNDAY ON DISHONEST MEDIA!!!
:toast:
#1 L. Bell UNDER 150.5 Rush & Receiving Yards EVEN
#2 BIG BEN OVER 24 PASS COMPLETIONS -115
Pinnacle has Bell rushing yards prop:
Over 99.5 -139
Under 99.5 +119
You like the under, Bill?
https://www.pinnacle.com/en/odds/specials/football/nfl
There should be way more props for the Super Bowl.
Over 99.5 -139
Under 99.5 +119
You like the under, Bill?
https://www.pinnacle.com/en/odds/specials/football/nfl
There should be way more props for the Super Bowl.
Yeah X, I like that Under. Pats gotta stop the Run!
I wanted to say that what helps the Biggy Ben Over
pass prop is that they need to throw, or at least get creative
in the red zone after no TDs in KC.
I also think the Pats will look to rush often and win with the
ground game if they can, depending on score by the 2nd half.
White should be able to be a key, and Blount on the goal line.
Possible Over on White with Rush, or Rush & Pass.
GL
:toast:
I wanted to say that what helps the Biggy Ben Over
pass prop is that they need to throw, or at least get creative
in the red zone after no TDs in KC.
I also think the Pats will look to rush often and win with the
ground game if they can, depending on score by the 2nd half.
White should be able to be a key, and Blount on the goal line.
Possible Over on White with Rush, or Rush & Pass.
GL
:toast:
