~ Bill Belichick Revenge To Rex Ryan~ As The Saints Go Marching In~

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Seattle’s offense looked pretty bad in its 6-6 Sunday Night tie with Arizona last week. New Orleans on the other hand comes in ranked among the leaders in every offensive statistical analysis on stats & power rating. Rushing Yards NO > 85.4 To SEA > 86.... Total Yards NO > 425 To SEA > 325.... Defense Yards NO > 412 To SEA > 314. Offense Points NO 30.1 To 16.8 You get picture with my analysis with stats. Our power rating with stats has SEA by + 1 1/2 points in this match-up. In my option SEA should be getting +3 regarding home team advantage from NO. The Seahawks offense of running game has stopped in motion & QB Russell Wilson still isn’t back to 100% health with his ankle injury. It’s going to a brutal schedule in the up coming weeks for the Seahawks, with Buffalo at home next weekend, followed by away game to New England. At 3-4, the Saints still have a shot at the division title, but at 2-5, the odds would be stacked against them.
Another important stat that I found is Seattle is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against the NFC South, while New Orleans is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, including 3-0 ATS this season. I see the only advantage for the SEA in this match -up is the passing game against NO secondary with safety situation of New Orleans. Saints cornerback Delvin Breauxa might return from his broken fibula, but the news on Sterling Moore isn't as positive. From ESPN SPORTS NEWS>>> Saints LT Terron Armstead was absent from Wednesday's practice after admitting that his knee injury wasn't back to where it needs to be yet during last Sunday's game. His status for this week's game remains unknown. Also not participating in Wednesday's practice were DT Nick Fairley, LB Stephone Anthony, CB Sterling Moore and WR Jake Lampman. My Bet New Orleans + 2 1/2 + Money Line +$125
Patriots covering spreads each and every week, ~Magic Tom~ back, books are forced to use big numbers on spreads on the Patriots. -6 or -6 1/2 could be a trap. in this divisional game. This game could have public repeatedly betting line up on Patriots. Belichick and the Patriots with Magic Tom will want revenge for there home week 4 loss that Patriots got crushed. Belichick was outcoached by Rex Ryan and the Bills. Knowing Belichick he will come out with a great game plan. His coaching staff is far superior then the Bills. Way to many injuries to Buffalo in this match-up. all I see is this line moving up toward game time maybe 7 or 7 1/2 even 8?. I won't bore you with stats because they are off the charts with NE++++ . RB LeSean McCoy (hamstring) is not playing this Sunday and could miss more time thereafter, depending on healing.Tevin Coleman injured and will not play against the Patriots this Sunday also. Can the BUF defense stop Brady and the Patriots ? BIG NO is the answer. BUF will have utlize there running game and time of position to keep the Patriots off the field to have any chance of winning this game. I think Patriots will out score the Bills in every aspect . Our Power rating has the Patriots + 10 or more. Offense + 12 point margin & Defense +7 point margin. My Bet -6 Patriots
My other Bet > 7 Point Two Team Teaser> NO +9 1/2 With NE +1
Way To Many Injuries!!!!!!!> BUFFALO BILLS (4-3)


OUT
S Aaron Williams - Neck (DNP)
WR Marquise Goodwin - Concussion (DNP)



DOUBTFUL
RB LeSean McCoy - Hamstring (DNP)



QUESTIONABLE
DT Corbin Bryant - Shoulder (LP)
TE Charles Clay - Knee (LP)
DT Marcell Dareus - Hamstring (LP)
T Cordy Glenn - Ankle (LP)
RB Mike Gillislee - Foot (LP)
LB Jerry Hughes - Hand (LP)
LB Lerentee McCray - Knee (LP)
G John Miller - Shoulder (LP)
WR Robert Woods - Foot (L



NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (6-1)



OUT
No Players Listed.



DOUBTFUL
No Players Listed.



QUESTIONABLE
TE Martellus Bennett - Ankle (DNP)
CB Jonathan Jones - Hip (LP)
WR Julian Edelman - Foot (LP)
DL Woodrow Hamilton - Shoulder (LP)
WR Malcolm Mitchell - Hamstring (LP)
LB Elandon Roberts - Ankle (LP)
DL Vincent Valentine - Back (LP)


Hårr¥THëHÄT

PS. Stats taken from many Sports Sources & Sports News Media & Power Rating Analysis from 'The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders' the group causing or relating to a complete change relating to the point spread in team match-ups with there analysis. Statistics that break down every single play of the NFL season, a outstanding tool we use with our power ratings that gives us a edge in picking games we bet.



 

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Mr. H/hat.........solid looking card...........on both with you...........BOL with all your action this weekend...........indy
 

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Surprised you didn't wait to see if that NO line bounces back to +3. Both picks are solid looking.
 

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Harry..Love both plays.

SEA rushing attack has dropped off immensely with the absence of Mr. Skittles and RW's own greatly diminished #'s.

RW does not travel well east and that wicked stepsister tie late Sunday nite took a lot of steam out of them physically and emotionally. Now factor in the fact that BOTH Bennett and Chancellor are OUT!

Nawlin's has one of the best HOME DOG records in the league. NO BY 3...... 30-27

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
BB and Co. 27 The Bee-Lo 17

 

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Good write-up's. I'm thinking of doing one as well for the Patriots game as there are a couple points you missed but you hit on some really big ones. Since 2006 the Patriots have gone 102-79 ATS. They are 6-1 ATS this year. They did this without Brady and largely without Gronk. I think that's the biggest data point in this game getting less than a TD. The real trap has and will always be people thinking that the books put up too many points for them to cover and inevitably they usually cover. The books jacked the lines up extremely high on their games last year and they eventually end up doing it every year when people start covering.

I agree Harry, if you want NE get them before the line hits 7. If you want the bills wait because it won't surprise me if it goes to over a TD at game time.

Thanks for the write-ups Harry.
 

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Love your Saints play and ML Saints they are my Play of the week !!! Next time I'am in vegas id like to look you up Harry!!!! I here you are quite the Horse Handicapper as well !! Ive had a stellar year with the ponies this year can't wait for breeders cup in Santa Anita next week !!!!


cheers Mr Hat :toast:

good luck also with your patriots play !!!
always look forward to your post's !!!


tsf
 

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HtH agree with both plays. A little surprised to hear wise guys pounding buff. 80+% public on NE.


Love the Bellichek has never been swept factor. Read that since 1993, in division, dogs are 103 games over .500.

If Shady were healthy, I'd have passed. But NE all the way.

BOL my friend
 
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~San Diego At Denver~ & ~Minnesota At Chicago~ [[[[[ Add On Bets ]]]]]

With the line currently at-4 to -4 1/2 DEN, we are getting a value on the Broncos. The Chargers are also just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 30 or more points in their previous game. Denver is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Broncos are also 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 off a SU win. Just two weeks ago Denver was a 3-point road favorite at San Diego While San Diego has won and covered in two straight. They are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 off a SU win. Given home field advantage DEN should be around a 6-7 point home favorite. Take Denver! -4 or -4 1/2 IS My Bet
MIN Money Line at -$230 Yes !!!! A Bet for me and never looking back from the betting window. I Will take shot Laying 2-1 and paying $30 juice is what I see it at on the money. A dime will get you back $ 1500 + $150 juice. Sharps and wales are betting this big time from our sources around town. Our Power Rating has a chance to win this game straight -up at 78% on the money. Our Power Rank has > Min at 5 to >CHI at 25.... also Offense points at + 7 MIN. My Score Prediction Minnesota 27 Chicago 10
Hårr¥THëHÄT
PS. Stats taken from many Sports Sources & Sports News Media & Power Rating Analysis from 'The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders' the group causing or relating to a complete change relating to the point spread in team match-ups with there analysis. Statistics that break down every single play of the NFL season, a outstanding tool we use with our power ratings that gives us a edge in picking games we bet.
 
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My Official Picks & Bets For Week #8 Sunday October 30,2016

~My Official Picks & Bets For Week #8 Sunday October 30,2016~
New Orleans + 2 1/2 + Money Line +$125
Patriots -6
7 Point Two Team Teaser> NO +9 1/2 With NE +1
Denver! -4 or -4 1/2
Minnesota Vikings Money Line -$230
Hårr¥THëHÄT
 

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Mr. H/hat...........good luck with all your action...........appreciate the info and thoughts............indy
 

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HtH........people overlooking SD's playing almost all of their games tight. Only NE has a better line off in the AFC, and thats only 42 to 36 (6 pts over 7 games). SD is 3-4 su but 5-2 ats. SD's defense is coming to life. Aggressive front 7. We'll see.

Still really, really love NE and NO. BOL.
 

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Thank all for posting Harry and I hope you are right about NE and Saints. Have teaser with NE -0.5 to cash. And obviously I hope that the Saints win and will probably play them as well.
 

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Thanks HarryD and good luck this weekend. Appreciate you posting .
 

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Played N.O early . Brees as a home dog is always tough Best of luck this week Harry. :toast:
 

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Seattle’s offense looked pretty bad in its 6-6 Sunday Night tie with Arizona last week. New Orleans on the other hand comes in ranked among the leaders in every offensive statistical analysis on stats & power rating. Rushing Yards NO > 85.4 To SEA > 86.... Total Yards NO > 425 To SEA > 325.... Defense Yards NO > 412 To SEA > 314. Offense Points NO 30.1 To 16.8 You get picture with my analysis with stats. Our power rating with stats has SEA by + 1 1/2 points in this match-up. In my option SEA should be getting +3 regarding home team advantage from NO. The Seahawks offense of running game has stopped in motion & QB Russell Wilson still isn’t back to 100% health with his ankle injury. It’s going to a brutal schedule in the up coming weeks for the Seahawks, with Buffalo at home next weekend, followed by away game to New England. At 3-4, the Saints still have a shot at the division title, but at 2-5, the odds would be stacked against them.
Another important stat that I found is Seattle is just 1-4 ATS in its last five against the NFC South, while New Orleans is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog, including 3-0 ATS this season. I see the only advantage for the SEA in this match -up is the passing game against NO secondary with safety situation of New Orleans. Saints cornerback Delvin Breauxa might return from his broken fibula, but the news on Sterling Moore isn't as positive. From ESPN SPORTS NEWS>>> Saints LT Terron Armstead was absent from Wednesday's practice after admitting that his knee injury wasn't back to where it needs to be yet during last Sunday's game. His status for this week's game remains unknown. Also not participating in Wednesday's practice were DT Nick Fairley, LB Stephone Anthony, CB Sterling Moore and WR Jake Lampman. My Bet New Orleans + 2 1/2 + Money Line +$125
Patriots covering spreads each and every week, ~Magic Tom~ back, books are forced to use big numbers on spreads on the Patriots. -6 or -6 1/2 could be a trap. in this divisional game. This game could have public repeatedly betting line up on Patriots. Belichick and the Patriots with Magic Tom will want revenge for there home week 4 loss that Patriots got crushed. Belichick was outcoached by Rex Ryan and the Bills. Knowing Belichick he will come out with a great game plan. His coaching staff is far superior then the Bills. Way to many injuries to Buffalo in this match-up. all I see is this line moving up toward game time maybe 7 or 7 1/2 even 8?. I won't bore you with stats because they are off the charts with NE++++ . RB LeSean McCoy (hamstring) is not playing this Sunday and could miss more time thereafter, depending on healing.Tevin Coleman injured and will not play against the Patriots this Sunday also. Can the BUF defense stop Brady and the Patriots ? BIG NO is the answer. BUF will have utlize there running game and time of position to keep the Patriots off the field to have any chance of winning this game. I think Patriots will out score the Bills in every aspect . Our Power rating has the Patriots + 10 or more. Offense + 12 point margin & Defense +7 point margin. My Bet -6 Patriots
My other Bet > 7 Point Two Team Teaser> NO +9 1/2 With NE +1
Way To Many Injuries!!!!!!!> BUFFALO BILLS (4-3)


OUT
S Aaron Williams - Neck (DNP)
WR Marquise Goodwin - Concussion (DNP)



DOUBTFUL
RB LeSean McCoy - Hamstring (DNP)



QUESTIONABLE
DT Corbin Bryant - Shoulder (LP)
TE Charles Clay - Knee (LP)
DT Marcell Dareus - Hamstring (LP)
T Cordy Glenn - Ankle (LP)
RB Mike Gillislee - Foot (LP)
LB Jerry Hughes - Hand (LP)
LB Lerentee McCray - Knee (LP)
G John Miller - Shoulder (LP)
WR Robert Woods - Foot (L



NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (6-1)



OUT
No Players Listed.



DOUBTFUL
No Players Listed.



QUESTIONABLE
TE Martellus Bennett - Ankle (DNP)
CB Jonathan Jones - Hip (LP)
WR Julian Edelman - Foot (LP)
DL Woodrow Hamilton - Shoulder (LP)
WR Malcolm Mitchell - Hamstring (LP)
LB Elandon Roberts - Ankle (LP)
DL Vincent Valentine - Back (LP)


Hårr¥THëHÄT

PS. Stats taken from many Sports Sources & Sports News Media & Power Rating Analysis from 'The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders' the group causing or relating to a complete change relating to the point spread in team match-ups with there analysis. Statistics that break down every single play of the NFL season, a outstanding tool we use with our power ratings that gives us a edge in picking games we bet.




Im sorry Harry but Tevin coleman plays for the Falcons, Gluck to you.
 
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Tevin Coleman
[Atlanta Falcons running back] That was error of me. Should have been> before I listed the injuries > Marquise Goodwin [WR] OUT Goodwin (concussion) is out for Sunday's game against New England
 
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Vegas insider.com

FROM VEGAS INSIDER.COM[ UPDATED ]
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
TeamsWin-LossStreak OpenCurrentSpreadMoneyO/U
259 New England (6-1) (3-0 A) W-3 -4-682%80%54%
260 Buffalo (4-3) (2-1 H) L-1 47.047.518%20%46%
Line Movements · Preview · BT Movements · Weather · Injuries
Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints
1:00 PM Game TimeRecordLine Betting Trend
TeamsWin-LossStreak OpenCurrentSpreadMoneyO/U
257 Seattle (4-1) (1-1 A) T-1 -3-255%51%69%
258 New Orleans (2-4) (1-2 H) L-1 48.04845%49%31%
Line Movements · Preview · BT Movements · Weather · Injuries

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos
4:05 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
TeamsWin-LossStreak OpenCurrentSpreadMoneyO/U
267 San Diego (3-4) (1-3 A) W-2 4543.549%55%86%
268 Denver (5-2) (3-1 H) W-1 -6.5-3.551%45%14%
Line Movements · Preview · BT Movements · Weather ·


Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
8:30 PM Game TimeRecordLineBetting Trend
TeamsWin-LossStreak OpenCurrentSpreadMoneyO/U
273 Minnesota (5-1) (2-1 A) L-1 -4.5-4.573%74%37%
274 Chicago (1-6) (1-2 H) L-3 41.040.527%26%63%
Line Movements · Preview · BT Movements · Weather · Injuries ·


 
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Updated Odds: Sun, Oct 30 10:26 AM EDT [ Vegas Insider]

NFL SPREAD
freeodds_hdr_vegas2_nfl.gif
10/30 9:30 AM
251 Washington
252 Cincinnati

49½u-10
-3 -10

49u-10
-3 -10

49½u-10
-3 -10

49½u-10
-3 -10

49½u-10
-3 EV

49½u-10
-3 -10

49u-10
-3 -10

50u-10
-3 EV

49u-10
-3 -10
TV: FOX | PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 62, RH 96%

10/30 4:25 PM
253 Green Bay
254 Atlanta

52½u-10
-3 -05

52½u-10
-3 -10

52½u-10
-3 -10

53u-10
-3 -10

52u-10
-3 -10

52½u-10
-3 -10

52½u-10
-3 EV

52u-10
-3 EV

52u-10
-3 EV
Time-change to 04:25pm EDT | ATL-RB-Devonta Freeman-Probable | TV: FOX, DTV: 709 | Dome

10/30 1:00 PM
255 Detroit
256 Houston

46½u-10
-1½ -10

46u-10
-2 -10

46½u-10
-1½ -10

46u-10
-1½ -10

47u-10
-2 -10

46u-10
-1½ -10

47u-10
-2 -10

46½u-10
-2 -10

47u-10
-1½ -10
TV: FOX, DTV: 710 | SUNNY, EAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 82, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 84 (NRG STADIUM ROOF MAY CLOSE IN HOT WEATHER)

10/30 1:00 PM
257 Seattle
258 New Orleans

-2 -10
48½u-10

-1½ -10
48u-10

-1 -10
48½u-10

-2 -10
48u-10

-1½ -10
48½u-10

-1½ -10
48u-10

-1 -10
48u-10

-1 -10
49u-10

-1½ -10
48½u-10
TV: FOX, DTV: 711 | Dome

10/30 1:00 PM
259 New England
260 Buffalo

-6 -10
48u-10

-6 -10
47½u-10

-6 -10
47½u-10

-7 -10
47½u-10

-6½ -10
48u-10

-6½ -15
47½u-10

-6 -10
48u-10

-6½ -10
48u-10

-6½ -10
47½u-10
BUF-RB-LeSean McCoy-Doubtful | TV: CBS, DTV: 705 | CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 49, RH 63%

10/30 1:00 PM
261 N.Y. Jets
262 Cleveland

-2½ -10
45u-10

-2½ -10
44½u-10

-2½ -10
44u-10

-2½ -10
44u-10

-2½ -10
45u-10

-2½ -15
44u-10

-2½ -10
45u-10

-2½ -10
45u-10

-2½ -10
45u-10
NYJ-QB-Ryan Fitzpatrick-Probable | CLE-QB-Josh McCown-Probable | CLE-QB-Cody Kessler-Doubtful | CLE-QB-Robert Griffin III-OUT | TV: CBS, DTV: 706 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY. NORTH WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 53, RH 93%

10/30 1:00 PM
263 Oakland
264 Tampa Bay

-1½ -10
49½u-10

-1 -10
49u-10

-1½ -10
49u-10

-1½ -10
49½u-10

-2 -10
49u-10

-1½ -10
49½u-10

-1½ -10
49u-10

-2 -10
50u-10

-2½ -10
49½u-10
TV: CBS, DTV: 708 | SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 84, RH 50% HEAT INDEX 86

10/30 1:00 PM
265 Kansas City
266 Indianapolis

-3 -05
50u-10

-3 -10
49½u-10

-2½ -10
50u-10

-2½ -10
50u-10

-3 EV
50u-10

-3 EV
50u-10

-3 EV
50u-10

-2½ -20
50u-10

-3 EV
49½u-10
TV: CBS, DTV: 707 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SPRINKLES. NORTHWEST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 64, RH 70% (LUCAS OIL STADIUM ROOF MAY CLOSE IN WET WEATHER)

10/30 4:05 PM
267 San Diego
268 Denver

43½u-10
-4 -10

43½u-10
-4 -10

43u-10
-4 -10

44u-10
-5 -10

43½u-10
-3½ -10

43½u-10
-4 -10

43½u-10
-3½ -10

43u-10
-3½ -10

43½u-10
-4 -10
SD-WR-Keenan Allen-OUT | TV: CBS, DTV: 712 | PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 74, RH 25% WIND CHILL 0

10/30 1:00 PM
269 Arizona
270 Carolina

46½u-10
-3 -05

47u-10
-2½ -10

46½u-10
-2½ -10

48u-10
-3 -10

46u-10
-2½ -10

46½u-10
-2½ -10

46½u-10
-2½ -10

46u-10
-2½ -10

46½u-10
-2½ -10
Time-change to 01:00pm EDT | TV: FOX, DTV: 713 | SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 81, RH 40% HEAT INDEX 81

10/30 8:30 PM
271 Philadelphia
272 Dallas

43u-10
-5½ -10

43½u-10
-5½ -10

43u-10
-5 -10

42½u-10
-5 -10

43u-10
-5 -10

43½u-10
-5 -10

43u-10
-5 -10

43u-10
-5 -10

43u-10
-5 -10
DAL-QB-Tony Romo-OUT | TV: NBC | CLEAR, SOUTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 81, RH 52% HEAT INDEX 82 (A T and T STADIUM ROOF MAY CLOSE IN HOT WEATHER)

10/31 8:30 PM
273 Minnesota
274 Chicago

-4½ -10
40½u-10

-4½ -10
40½u-10

-5 -10
40½u-10

-5 -10
41u-10

-5 -10
40½u-10

-5 -10
41u-10

-4½ -10
41u-10

-5½ -10
40½u-10

-5 -10
40½u-10
MIN-RB-Adrian Peterson-OUT | MIN-QB-Teddy Bridgewater-OUT | CHI-QB-Jay Cutler-Probable | TV: ESPN, DTV: 206 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 15-25, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 65, RH 75%

Updated: Sun, Oct 30 10:26 AM EDT
 

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Harry, You ARE the man! Denver gets it, we bringing home the extra thick cut bacon. All this even though 5Ho's phucked me out of a point and a half on the Saints, LOL.

~T~
 
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Harry, You ARE the man! Denver gets it, we bringing home the extra thick cut bacon. All this even though 5Ho's phucked me out of a point and a half on the Saints, LOL.

~T~
Thank you tmader7 and very good luck to you in the NFL season buddy!!!!@
 

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