BIG's TNF

[bradyisgod]

First real play of the year:

Under 40.5 (+2 units)


Feel pretty strongly about this play with how well good defenses play against rookie QB's. Biggest factor at play here is how well the Texans defense is going to play on the road. Going to state the obvious, Gronk being out should really limit this third string rookie QB's options. As far as the side goes, I just couldn't make up my mind and when that happens I'm just going to pass the side. Especially when there are a lot of unknowns with a rookie and a second year Brock Osweiler. I also am seeing very good cappers on both sides. So unknowns + conflicting factors + good cappers on both teams and still cant make up my mind after a lot of thought = probably should pass this game. I think the Texans defense will be the deciding factor in me not choosing a side and going with the total instead. A road game for the Texans against a team who plays very well in Foxborough is not something I really want to try to put a lot of money on. On the flip side, I really don't want to put much money on a third string rookie I've never seen playing his first game against a great defense with one of the best pass rushes in the league. Patriots winning will not surprise me at all as this is the first road game of the season for the Texans. Possibility of a let down for the Texans but it seems svery unlikely since coach O'Brian has this once circled as do the Texans wanting to beat a team that has won the past 4 meetings. So many conflicting factors and unknowns at play here.

Best of luck to both sides and over/under guys too. Enjoy the game!

 

[Saints2016]

Good luck and thanks for posting!

 

[indiana]

Brady...........good luck tonight and BOL with your season.............indy

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight my friend!!!

 

[3pointdog]

Well played.

 

[KingEleven]

congrats

:toast:

 

[chonce]

Great pick.

That NE D (and special teams -- especially the punter) cam through huge. I actually considered betting NE OVER 19.5 for the game, but I just had no idea what the pacing would be. So I just stuck with my 2 NE bets (first half, game). And honestly, 14 of the 27 points came from turnovers (if memory serves) deep in Houston side of the field, so you capped this one perfectly. The 27 number doesn't really pain the picture of how these offenses produced.

Ryan Allen really helped -- every punt was within the 20 and several within the 10 (one at the 4). You could argue he was the player of the game because the NE game plan was to limit deep balls and play bend, don't break. And Houston could get 2 or 3 first downs (they had more 1st downs, yards, completions etc... than NE) and still stall out at the 40 and punt it. It was a brilliant, if simple game plan from BB.

 

[BobbySteelz]

Nice play. Go Pats!

 

[varkeyboy]

Nice call!

 

[Saints2016]

Good call!

 

[bradyisgod]

Thanks guys. Posting less volume this year and I'm just going to post the ones I feel really good about. I hope everyone cashed. That was a tough one to watch.