HOU +3 (-105) +2 units
GB -3 (-120) +1 unit
Slam dunk play for me. Both this game and the Packers game (for packers) really stand out to me on this weeks card. I love taking road underdogs late in the season especially for under-valued teams makes it that much more enticing. Houston has the stats advantage and the best defense statistically in the league. Matt Cassel will be the back-up for Titans from what I've read. I have him and Savage pretty equal. I think both quarterbacks are average and the one that they will struggle the most will be against teams with solid defenses, and that would be Cassel. Cassel has thrown a little over 100 touchdowns and has around 80 picks. Not that great of a ratio. In summary, I like having the better team, taking the points, and I always love taking a team who's defense is playing lights out especially against average quarterbacks who are mistake prone.
Late into the year the public values favorites even more than they normally do and they place too much importance on home field, especially for a struggling titans team with their leader Mariota out. Books capitalize on public perception and I expect the public to undervalue the Texans.
If you're wondering about whether or not the Texans will rest guys, I'd like to throw in that Bill O'Brian has a lot of faults but one of them is not letting up toward the end of the season to rest starters. It looks like he's shooting for a 10 win season. He tries to copy Belicheck a lot and one thing he copies that works to his advantage is encouraging his team to play to win. Not that it always works. Here's a few quotes from the press conference if you're on the fence about who will and won't play.
""We're playing to win," O'Brien said. "We're not even talking about that. We've got a chance to win 10 games. I don't know how many double-digit win seasons the Texans have had, but I think that's important. I think every game counts."Anytime you line up in this league, I think it's really just out of respect for the National Football League and football in general, you play to win. You know, we're going to go out there and do the best we can to try to win, and I think that it's a very difficult opponent, and that's what we're studying right now."
Edit: Meant plays in the title.
GB -3 (-120) +1 unit
Slam dunk play for me. Both this game and the Packers game (for packers) really stand out to me on this weeks card. I love taking road underdogs late in the season especially for under-valued teams makes it that much more enticing. Houston has the stats advantage and the best defense statistically in the league. Matt Cassel will be the back-up for Titans from what I've read. I have him and Savage pretty equal. I think both quarterbacks are average and the one that they will struggle the most will be against teams with solid defenses, and that would be Cassel. Cassel has thrown a little over 100 touchdowns and has around 80 picks. Not that great of a ratio. In summary, I like having the better team, taking the points, and I always love taking a team who's defense is playing lights out especially against average quarterbacks who are mistake prone.
Late into the year the public values favorites even more than they normally do and they place too much importance on home field, especially for a struggling titans team with their leader Mariota out. Books capitalize on public perception and I expect the public to undervalue the Texans.
If you're wondering about whether or not the Texans will rest guys, I'd like to throw in that Bill O'Brian has a lot of faults but one of them is not letting up toward the end of the season to rest starters. It looks like he's shooting for a 10 win season. He tries to copy Belicheck a lot and one thing he copies that works to his advantage is encouraging his team to play to win. Not that it always works. Here's a few quotes from the press conference if you're on the fence about who will and won't play.
""We're playing to win," O'Brien said. "We're not even talking about that. We've got a chance to win 10 games. I don't know how many double-digit win seasons the Texans have had, but I think that's important. I think every game counts."Anytime you line up in this league, I think it's really just out of respect for the National Football League and football in general, you play to win. You know, we're going to go out there and do the best we can to try to win, and I think that it's a very difficult opponent, and that's what we're studying right now."
Edit: Meant plays in the title.
