Short write-up below my plays. If I have extra time to write-up I do, if I don't I don't. Simple as that! Best of luck to all of you. Football season is finally here :toast:
Thursday
GB +3 W +1 unit
Sunday
PHI -3, SEA -2.5 (-140) 7 pt. tease (+2 units)
BALT -7 (+1 unit)
BALT -0.5, DAL -1 (-130) 6.5 pt. tease (+2 units)
CLE 0, NE 0 (-120) 6 pt. tease (+1 unit)
NE under 50 (+1 unit)
This year I'm changing my strategy for weeks 1 and 2. It's just so hard to get a feel for teams in the pre-season when people are sitting starters / trying not to get hurt. I'll be playing more teasers in these weeks and adopting more of a defensive / cautious attitude toward the games until I can get a better feel for the teams. Last year was rough for me - ended up down a small amount. A combination of lazy capping, bad capping, and a lot of bad luck. Going back to what I was doing the 3 years prior to last when I was able to come out with winning seasons.
For me PHI and SEA are in the same boat. The line is a little too high for me but I think there's a very low chance of either of them losing the game = tease.
I'm big on Balt, especially against a fins team who is in total rebuild mode (traded us Tunsil, I'm in Houston now). I would be surprised to see Fitzy come out in one piece now that he will have no protection from his LT. I don't see Miami being able to stop the run either, so I see it giving Miami a lot of trouble. Teams have had trouble game planning against it in the past and I expect no different from Miami.
Dallas is going to be firing on all cylinders with Zeke back. I think they are a dark horse SB contender this year fully healthy. Love teasing them down.
CLE 0, NE 0 6 pt. tease. Basically combining any team with NE in a teaser has been a winning strategy in the Brady-Belichick era for years and years. I don't expect NE to lose their first game at home - Gillete is one of the toughest places to play combined with Ben not playing great as a road QB. I also am buying in to the hype with CLE somewhat. They are just too talented of a team to not come out guns blazing for their first game at home and I'm huge on Baker Mayfield. I think he's got a winners attitude and a lot of talent to go along with it.
NE under 50 because this defense is very much improved. Steelers defense is also very good. I think NE is gonna take away Juju and look to run the ball more with Gronk out. Steelers just dont score a lot of points on the road - looking at you Ben. Easy under for me.
BOL RX'ers!
Thursday
GB +3 W +1 unit
Sunday
PHI -3, SEA -2.5 (-140) 7 pt. tease (+2 units)
BALT -7 (+1 unit)
BALT -0.5, DAL -1 (-130) 6.5 pt. tease (+2 units)
CLE 0, NE 0 (-120) 6 pt. tease (+1 unit)
NE under 50 (+1 unit)
This year I'm changing my strategy for weeks 1 and 2. It's just so hard to get a feel for teams in the pre-season when people are sitting starters / trying not to get hurt. I'll be playing more teasers in these weeks and adopting more of a defensive / cautious attitude toward the games until I can get a better feel for the teams. Last year was rough for me - ended up down a small amount. A combination of lazy capping, bad capping, and a lot of bad luck. Going back to what I was doing the 3 years prior to last when I was able to come out with winning seasons.
For me PHI and SEA are in the same boat. The line is a little too high for me but I think there's a very low chance of either of them losing the game = tease.
I'm big on Balt, especially against a fins team who is in total rebuild mode (traded us Tunsil, I'm in Houston now). I would be surprised to see Fitzy come out in one piece now that he will have no protection from his LT. I don't see Miami being able to stop the run either, so I see it giving Miami a lot of trouble. Teams have had trouble game planning against it in the past and I expect no different from Miami.
Dallas is going to be firing on all cylinders with Zeke back. I think they are a dark horse SB contender this year fully healthy. Love teasing them down.
CLE 0, NE 0 6 pt. tease. Basically combining any team with NE in a teaser has been a winning strategy in the Brady-Belichick era for years and years. I don't expect NE to lose their first game at home - Gillete is one of the toughest places to play combined with Ben not playing great as a road QB. I also am buying in to the hype with CLE somewhat. They are just too talented of a team to not come out guns blazing for their first game at home and I'm huge on Baker Mayfield. I think he's got a winners attitude and a lot of talent to go along with it.
NE under 50 because this defense is very much improved. Steelers defense is also very good. I think NE is gonna take away Juju and look to run the ball more with Gronk out. Steelers just dont score a lot of points on the road - looking at you Ben. Easy under for me.
BOL RX'ers!