This play would be a GOY type of play if I wasn't stil trying to get a good feel on this game. The thing that scares me the most is the possibility of OT in a game of two evenly matched, defense-minded teams. However, it is stil the best play on the board today imo. We have here two teams playing the slow pace, ranked top 5 in many defensive categories, and bottom 3 in many offensive categories. The under is 7-0 and 9-1 in their recent hth meetings. Indiana is also #2 in defensive blocks, #2 in steals and Washington is #1 in defensive rebounds which gives very few second chance points to their opponents. Also, these two teams are #12 and #13 in offensive as/to which shows us that they do not have a very good flow offensively. I'm stil testing if the 'GOLDEN' mlb system can be applied to other leagues, but so far it looks it can be applied to many leagues inlcuding the WNBA. For those who didn't ream my posts in the mlb forum it consists in playing unders if we have a road dog (or small fave) with big majority of public on them and over 51% of bets on over. My play here is Under 140.
Houston +5.5 This team plays very good defense as they are #3 in def. FG%, #3 in steals and #2 in rebounds against. Phoenix plays no defense and they are dead last in points allowed, #11 in steals, #14 in rebounds against and so on. Phoenix allowed at least 79 pts in all 17 games this season and usually Houston only needs to get in high 60's or low 70's to win. They are 7-0 in last 7 when reaching at least over 68.
Conn. +4.5 Both teams are struggling but I like Conn. in revenge mode here especially as a dog following a loss as they are 13-3 ATS in last 16 in this situation. Detroit's recent SU and ATS slide is probably due to their crazy schedule. Since the start of the season, they have not played two games in a row in one same building. They had to travel for 17 straight games, this being their 18th in a row. I know they've been at home last 4-5 days but stil, that can also be a distraction after such a season. They started the season 6-2 ATS in first 8 games but since then they are 3-7 against the spread.
Also playing: Under 148 SAN and Under 144 SAC
Houston +5.5 This team plays very good defense as they are #3 in def. FG%, #3 in steals and #2 in rebounds against. Phoenix plays no defense and they are dead last in points allowed, #11 in steals, #14 in rebounds against and so on. Phoenix allowed at least 79 pts in all 17 games this season and usually Houston only needs to get in high 60's or low 70's to win. They are 7-0 in last 7 when reaching at least over 68.
Conn. +4.5 Both teams are struggling but I like Conn. in revenge mode here especially as a dog following a loss as they are 13-3 ATS in last 16 in this situation. Detroit's recent SU and ATS slide is probably due to their crazy schedule. Since the start of the season, they have not played two games in a row in one same building. They had to travel for 17 straight games, this being their 18th in a row. I know they've been at home last 4-5 days but stil, that can also be a distraction after such a season. They started the season 6-2 ATS in first 8 games but since then they are 3-7 against the spread.
Also playing: Under 148 SAN and Under 144 SAC
