Big Bowl Spreads

[jwunderdog]

This year their seems to be a lot of spreads over 6, is this just a poor memory or are the bowl spreads a little higher then normal across the board?

 

[KMAN]

I've noticed that also. This year I really like a bunch of Dogs, which is kind of weird for me.


KMAN

 

[jwunderdog]

Does anyone know where I can find ats and other stats on the last couple years in bowl games?

 

[KMAN]

I'm not sure where to find those stats but me and a buddy of mine have this theory that betting every dog in the bowls is very profitable atleast that's the way it has been the past couple of years.

GL,
KMAN

 

[jwunderdog]

I am actually looking for Moneyline dogs I would be intersted to see how you would have done if you would have taken all the ML dogs the last couple of years.

 

[SixthSense]

All dogs since 1991

Year Wins Losses Ties
1991 10 8 0
1992 9 8 0
1993 9 9 0
1994 5 10 2
1995 8 8 1
1996 7 10 0
1997 4 15 1
1998 12 9 1
1999 17 6 0
2000 16 8 0
2001 12 10 0

TOTAL 110 101 5

And greater than 9 point dogs on Non-New Year's Day bowls (also does not include Jan. 2, 3 and 4th games)

Year Wins Losses Ties
1991 2 0 0
1992 1 0 0
1993 2 1 0
1994 0 1 1
1996 1 1 0
1997 1 1 0
1998 4 0 0
1999 1 0 0
2000 1 1 0
2001 1 1 0

TOTAL 14 6 1

Hope that helps some. I don't have moneylines attached.

 

[SixthSense]

Also average lines since 1991.

Year AvgOfLINE
1991 5.36
1992 4.65
1993 8.44
1994 6.09
1995 4.97
1996 5.97
1997 6.85
1998 7.14
1999 4.89
2000 5.25
2001 5.84
2002 6.82

Prior to this year, I didn't include any pick 'em games in the averages so the averages would actually be just a little bit lower, but not that much. So, to answer your question, this is the fourth highest average line in the past 12 years. I didn't double check these averages so they could be off but I think they are probably pretty close.

Also, looking back to the three highest lined years (1993, 1997 and 1998) the dogs didn't do anything special, including doing horrible in 1997.

 

[jwunderdog]

Where are you getting these stats? Do you know what the median line has averaged?

 

[SixthSense]

They are from my database. Here are the averages and medians.

Year Bowls Count Mean Median
1991 18 18 5.4 5.0
1992 18 17 4.6 3.5
1993 19 18 8.4 7.0
1994 19 17 6.1 7.0
1995 18 17 5.0 4.0
1996 18 17 6.0 5.5
1997 20 20 6.9 6.8
1998 22 22 7.1 6.3
1999 23 23 4.9 4.0
2000 25 24 5.3 4.8
2001 25 22 5.8 4.5
2002 28 28 6.8 6.0

The bowls and count are as follows. Where games were a pick 'em, I didn't count those games. I won't bore you with why but for me to do this very fast, it was easier to leave those out. So, for 2001, there were three games that I had lines of pick 'em (or 0 for this study). You could multiply the 5.8 times the 22 and then divide by 25 to get a better average.

Actually I just figured the new mean with the pick 'em games. Here are those numbers.

Year New Mean
1991 5.4
1992 4.4
1993 8.0
1994 5.4
1995 4.7
1996 5.6
1997 6.9
1998 7.1
1999 4.9
2000 5.0
2001 5.1


Again, this was all done pretty quick but I think it's prett accurate.

 

[AC]

thanks for the stats

AC

 

[KMAN]

Sixth Sense - Thanks for all of the info.

KMAN

 

[GreenDrake]

Games with lines above 6:

1999 7 out of 23
2000 8 out of 25
2001 8 out of 25
2001 11 out of 28


Dogs:
Pre New Years Day
1999 11-4
2000 11-6
2001 10-7

Dogs
New Years Day and Beyond
2000 2-6
2001 2-6

 

[GreenDrake]

Forgot 1999 New Years and Beyond

1999 big dog year as they went 5-3 on NY Day

 

[jwunderdog]

I appreciate you taking the time to share. AGain though does anyone know staight up wins for dogs.And even better straight up wins at different point level or ML level if have it.Again thanks.

 

[jwunderdog]

Bump

 

[jwunderdog]

Something to keep in mind for next year, If you would have bet $100 on every ML Dog in bowls this year your would have won approx. $1680 this year on 27 bowls. The line only came into play twice.

 

[GreenDrake]

You are right on the money about dogs not only covering but winning outright. I will have to go back in past years to see if this trend was as strong in previous years as it was this year.

And once again if you would have bet all dogs pre New Years and the favs New Years and beyond you would have been doing very well:

This year (using opening lines):

Pre New Years Dogs:

14wins 6losses (12 out of 14 outright wins)

New Years and beyond Dogs (one pick game NC St ND)

2wins and 4 losses

 

[jwunderdog]

This was pretty good info from last year.