I have been using a system I created for about two weeks now which earns between $5 - $6 every game played. It doesn't matter who wins, it still earns that much per game played. The idea is combining a Martingale system, while playing both sides in every game (don't stop reading just yet, its not quite Martingale). It works, however, because lines are adjusted according to favs/dogs, which drives the risk down, thus separating it from a Martingale system. It assumes every team will win eventually. Even if a team like the Nationals loses 10 in a row, you're always getting + odds on them, and they're changing opponents over that streak. It sounds confusing, and it kind of is as it took me awhile to work out the details and I don't really know how to explain it. Either way, it works.
The system does have its downfalls. First, you must play every game, every day. Second, at the end of the season, decisions have to be made when to close teams out and not to use them in the rotations anymore. These decisions will be based on scheduling and we will eliminate bad teams first, and keep teams in playoff contention. The system can go awry if say a team like the Cubs loses 10 straight. However, I'd adjust before it ever got to that point.
Obviously, the following dollar amounts can be adjusted. I am using this system to win $5 - $6 every game. (It depends on what I will call the "juice gap"). If the juice gap is 20 cents (both teams are -110, or one team is -130 and the other is +110 etc.), you will earn $5.25 per game. If the juice gap is 40 cents, (on team is -400, the other is +360), you will earn $6 on that game...and so on. Most days will be profitable, but not to the exact amount of the $5 per game. For example, if we make 15 bets, we may only make $50 instead of the $75 expected. This difference, however is made up when we close teams out. If you wish to bet more per game, then just take my units and double it to whatever you wish to win. I HIGHLY RECOMMEND that you only play what I am playing. So far, my biggest bet on one team has been $67.94. However, I expect that to increase depending on teams winning/losing streaks (like the Mets will be almost $150 tomorrow). My largest total amount risked for one day to date has been $265.17. I expect that to increase as well. I have set aside a large sum of money to work with this, so as always, follow at your own risk.
There are approximately 32.5 games left for every team this year. We will start eliminating teams from contention with about 10 games to go depending on current streaks and scheduling. I estimate that we will be able to play about 25 games on average for each team. That amounts to 25 games x 30 teams = 750 games. That means there will be 375 wins and 375 losses (based on the fact that we are only playing about 25 out of 30+ remaining games). We should earn on a low estimate $5 a game. $5 x 375 wins = $1875 by the end of the season (since it doesn't matter who wins). I have no idea if we will get there or not, as this is somewhat speculative, but I'm fairly certain I have covered all the angles. It is my belief that if you start with around $1875 for this system, we will at least double that by the end of the year.
I am running this here so I can track it, because I can apply a similar system to hockey, and can use this for the entire baseball season next year. I can't stress this enough...play at your own risk, this is experimental.
Past 6 days results (Total Risked amount, Result for the day)...
Tuesday - Risked 42.56 total, Result + 8.89
Wednesday - Risked 115.58, Result +29.60
Thursday - Risked 204.72, Result +24.81
Friday - Risked 142.49, Result +51.36
Saturday - Risked 247.85, Result +40.25
Sunday - Risked 265.17, Result -2.55
Therefore, last 6 days, Total Risked 1018.37, Result +152.36, ROI 14.96%
The above results will not be included in the tracker forum as they were not posted. As you will see, the wager amounts and win amounts should cyclically rise and fall with winning/losing streaks. The system 'officially' starts for Monday's games. The picks that will be tracked from now on are as follows in the posts below...
The system does have its downfalls. First, you must play every game, every day. Second, at the end of the season, decisions have to be made when to close teams out and not to use them in the rotations anymore. These decisions will be based on scheduling and we will eliminate bad teams first, and keep teams in playoff contention. The system can go awry if say a team like the Cubs loses 10 straight. However, I'd adjust before it ever got to that point.
Obviously, the following dollar amounts can be adjusted. I am using this system to win $5 - $6 every game. (It depends on what I will call the "juice gap"). If the juice gap is 20 cents (both teams are -110, or one team is -130 and the other is +110 etc.), you will earn $5.25 per game. If the juice gap is 40 cents, (on team is -400, the other is +360), you will earn $6 on that game...and so on. Most days will be profitable, but not to the exact amount of the $5 per game. For example, if we make 15 bets, we may only make $50 instead of the $75 expected. This difference, however is made up when we close teams out. If you wish to bet more per game, then just take my units and double it to whatever you wish to win. I HIGHLY RECOMMEND that you only play what I am playing. So far, my biggest bet on one team has been $67.94. However, I expect that to increase depending on teams winning/losing streaks (like the Mets will be almost $150 tomorrow). My largest total amount risked for one day to date has been $265.17. I expect that to increase as well. I have set aside a large sum of money to work with this, so as always, follow at your own risk.
There are approximately 32.5 games left for every team this year. We will start eliminating teams from contention with about 10 games to go depending on current streaks and scheduling. I estimate that we will be able to play about 25 games on average for each team. That amounts to 25 games x 30 teams = 750 games. That means there will be 375 wins and 375 losses (based on the fact that we are only playing about 25 out of 30+ remaining games). We should earn on a low estimate $5 a game. $5 x 375 wins = $1875 by the end of the season (since it doesn't matter who wins). I have no idea if we will get there or not, as this is somewhat speculative, but I'm fairly certain I have covered all the angles. It is my belief that if you start with around $1875 for this system, we will at least double that by the end of the year.
I am running this here so I can track it, because I can apply a similar system to hockey, and can use this for the entire baseball season next year. I can't stress this enough...play at your own risk, this is experimental.
Past 6 days results (Total Risked amount, Result for the day)...
Tuesday - Risked 42.56 total, Result + 8.89
Wednesday - Risked 115.58, Result +29.60
Thursday - Risked 204.72, Result +24.81
Friday - Risked 142.49, Result +51.36
Saturday - Risked 247.85, Result +40.25
Sunday - Risked 265.17, Result -2.55
Therefore, last 6 days, Total Risked 1018.37, Result +152.36, ROI 14.96%
The above results will not be included in the tracker forum as they were not posted. As you will see, the wager amounts and win amounts should cyclically rise and fall with winning/losing streaks. The system 'officially' starts for Monday's games. The picks that will be tracked from now on are as follows in the posts below...
