A massive factor in your percentage is LBJ's health.
Not only did he walk slowly off the court after the game was over, but I read on another site that he had ice packs all over his body and was trying to get cooled down from "overheating." No more info available.
I'm sure we'll see more in the next few days...but I'd obviously wait until I see that before I put my mortgage on them to win.
Not only did he walk slowly off the court after the game was over, but I read on another site that he had ice packs all over his body and was trying to get cooled down from "overheating." No more info available.
I'm sure we'll see more in the next few days...but I'd obviously wait until I see that before I put my mortgage on them to win.
im sure he'll play.. mayb he a little banged . nevertheless he is the king n will be there and will drop a ton. i rkon this series will play out a little like the celtics series. cavs go into cleveland 1-1, get a game back n home court back by game 5. but i mean as far as adjuments by both teams are being made, i hav no clue who will win this series.. im takin orlando though
Lebron went 20/30 for 49 points and Cleveland loses...
Did anyone else watch this game? NO ONE ELSE on that team can ball other than lebron...
Not to mention all the dumps to Varajao and kick outs to Mo Williams and Delante West
Additionally Clev had 5 TOs to Orlandos 13... Equal in offensive boards + 8-1 in Blocked Shots
Other than LeBron... orlando is better in all other positions including the bench.
The line is coming in at +9.... ML isn't going to be that good.
You'll probably win but i can think of better spots to put your money
Did anyone else watch this game? NO ONE ELSE on that team can ball other than lebron...
Not to mention all the dumps to Varajao and kick outs to Mo Williams and Delante West
Additionally Clev had 5 TOs to Orlandos 13... Equal in offensive boards + 8-1 in Blocked Shots
Other than LeBron... orlando is better in all other positions including the bench.
The line is coming in at +9.... ML isn't going to be that good.
You'll probably win but i can think of better spots to put your money
I would say there is a good 75% chance that they take Game 2. With that said, I would be extremely worried if I was the Cavs. They obviously match-up horribly with the Orlando Magic, and match-ups are the most important thing in this league. Big Z is basically worthless in this series, he can't stop Dwight and his shooting is inconsistent. Pietrus, Hedo, and Lewis can all defend LeBron pretty well. Game 2 will depend on shooting, Orlando shot the ball very well tonight and that's why they won.
No offense.. you need a better conceptual grasp here. I'm not saying i'm "right" about this situation.. but you really don't even understand the math behind this.
I'm seeing Clev ML tomorrow at -800...
This means u need Cleveland to win this game EIGHT times before you can lose once just to BREAK EVEN. So if u think Clevland wins 8/9 times in this situation and you make this bet its only EVEN estimated value. Meaning if cleveland wins 8/9 in this situation.. and you bet this situation a infinate ammount of times (hypothetical, obviously)... you would make 0 bucks, and lose 0 bucks
ONLY IF U FEEL ORLANDO will win MORE than 8/9 times in situation is it a POSITIVE estimated value move.
I personally don't feel u can say a team that JUST LOST, when the sux in 4/5 positions and have a shithole bench against a highly motivated Dwight that has beaten you 2/3 times this year... will win more than 8/9... I feel its somewhere around 3/4 (75%)...
NOTE: Lets saying we KNOW cleveland wins 3/4 times and bet this ML.. you will PROBABLY make MONEY, in fact exactly 75% of the time, but in the LONG RUN this was, frankly, a bad bet.
So if you do decide to parlay this 2morrow.. keep in mind unless u feel clev will win 8/9 times in this situation or have an 88% chance of winning.... its mathematically a stupid move. Of course.. Clevland will PROBABLY win and this won't matter but realize your getting NEGATIVE estamated value... and if u get wagering like this, in situations like this it WILL catch up to you... cause that 1 times it loses.. is gonna a BITCH to your bankroll, while the wins are small gains.
Also, about times... -2300 lines doesnt making a BETTER situation... that saying u gotta win 23/24 times.. honestly i'll take my odds the dude gets injuried 1/24 times and that doesn't go along with the fact he may LOSE.
HONESTLY, if you take this tomorrow there is very little POTENTIAL value... you feel me? Rarely does an NBA team beats any other NBA team 8/9 times.. and if they do... your value is too little... BIG risk, little reward.
Just my 2cents.
So take a math class before the next time you tell what is or isn't a "better stop" when you can't even understand the grounds in which I am talking about.
Well said Dan... Believe me I know the math. All I'm saying is in this exact situation I believe Cavs will NOT lose this game. I'm not planning on money lining the Cavs in any other game except in game 2 because of the situation. When the Cavs win tomorrow thats all that counts to me and my roll. It's 1 and done. Orlando may win game 3, 4, & 5 for all I care.
