Betting streaks

[jjlollipops]

As we all know, baseball can be fairly unpredictable at times. It is my least followed sport, but have noticed it is extremely streaky. Has anyone ever tried a system something like the following:

If a team wins 4 games in a row, you start betting them and continue to bet them until they lose. So, don't bet them until their 4th straight win, then bet them the 5th game. If they win the 5th, bet them again the 6th and so on until they lose. Upon a loss you would stop betting them.

Then also the opposite of above. If a team loses 4 in a row, you bet against them on their 5th game. If they lose the 5th game, you continue to bet against them until they win.

Just and observation that this may do well in bringing a profit. The only negative I can think towards this system is the lines will get higher and higher the longer you go.

Let me know if any of you have done something similar and if so what the results were like. Thanks!!

 

[bones1980]

So today u would play Houston and dodgers to win

 

[jjlollipops]

Yes. And the yankees because the orioles have lost 7 in a row. Which I would have started at their 4 loss mark if I was doing this all year.

 

[Salsantorre]

Might be a good think to track.

 

[Salsantorre]

did a quick search of this I think with mixed results. I just check the month of May. 19-18 off losses, 20-18 off wins. Did not figure in lines but, I believe it wouldn't make much difference either way. I reckon you could go through and check this. It's pretty easy.

 

[jjlollipops]

Looks like a 2-1 day. I'll post for tracking purposes only. Not saying I played these. Let's just see what happens. I'll use pinnacle lines and all to win one unit.

Today was
yankees -102
astros -117
dodgers -102

+0.98 units

 

[jjlollipops]

todays plays:

Dodgers -117 to win 1u
Padres +125 risk 1u to win 1.25u

 

[bones1980]

Houston should still be a play

 

[varkeyboy]

What an amazing comeback by Houston!!! That team is winning it all this year.......

 

[powerz]

The only problem I can see in your theory is that as team goes on a winning streak you'll start betting into bad lines, (juiced over the true line). Although the old saying goes there is no bad line as long as it wins.

GL with your plays

 

[ChugsMcGee]

Baseball is very streaky. I've never actually tracked it but have rode hot streaks/cold streaks before, and will use W/L streak as a last qualifier if I'm debating on a game. If you ride a streak, you can only lose once; try to buck a streak and you can only win once.

 

[jjlollipops]

Thanks bones. My apologies.

Add astros +101. Risk 1u to win 1.01

 

[Tj2ks]

As we all know, baseball can be fairly unpredictable at times. It is my least followed sport, but have noticed it is extremely streaky. Has anyone ever tried a system something like the following:

If a team wins 4 games in a row, you start betting them and continue to bet them until they lose. So, don't bet them until their 4th straight win, then bet them the 5th game. If they win the 5th, bet them again the 6th and so on until they lose. Upon a loss you would stop betting them.

Then also the opposite of above. If a team loses 4 in a row, you bet against them on their 5th game. If they lose the 5th game, you continue to bet against them until they win.

Just and observation that this may do well in bringing a profit. The only negative I can think towards this system is the lines will get higher and higher the longer you go.

Let me know if any of you have done something similar and if so what the results were like. Thanks!!

You have read my mind. I was using this strategies yesterday and got 4-1 result. I just want to add one thing in this is that you should look the number of winning streak in the past to know where to stop ahead. As we already know they will turn around eventually. Ex. Houston went 5 winning streak max, therefore, today I would leave it alone. However, if they win today, I would bet on the 7 winning streaks. Hope I added something good for ya. BOL guys.

 

[Tj2ks]

Sorry if I cluttering your thread, I just want to add my teams if this strategies see if it comes out the way we think it will. Today I will pick Cleveland, Dodger, Houston Over, Baltimore and Pitt.

 

[jjlollipops]

​feel free to add anything you want to this thread guys. All just trying to help each other out. Good luck today. Thanks for your input.

 

[jjlollipops]

3-0 night. +3.26units
YTD 5-1 +4.24units

Todays plays:

Astros (waiting on a line)
Indians -145. 1.45u to win 1u,
Padres +165. 1u to win 1.65u
Dodgers +120 1u to win 1.2u

 

[jjlollipops]

Astros line -125. 1.25u to win 1u

 

[RussellPeters]

Astros and Padres cash! 2-0 early. Great job! Good luck on the Indians and Dodgers.

 

[bones1980]

What if both teams 4 game losing streak ? Take home team ?!!

 

[jjlollipops]

hey bones. If there are two teams that contradict each other then its a no play. Meaning teams playing each other that both have 4+ game winning streak or 4+ game losing streak.
started well yesterday and ended 2-2.

yesterday 2-2 with a tiny profit of +0.20
YTD 7-3 +4.44units

Todays Plays:
Angels -114. Risk 1.14u to win 1u
Mariners -136. risk 1.36u to win 1u.
Marlins +113. risk 1u to win 1.13u.

Good luck today everyone.