[h=1]Chalk Points: CFB season betting nuggets[/h]
David Purdum, ESPN Staff Writer
Chalk points are quick-hitting betting nuggets, meant to both inform casual fans and assist bettors.
Point of interest
• Nevada sportsbooks have never had a losing September on football -- NFL and college combined -- since gaming control began tracking sports betting in 1988. Tread lightly to begin.
Top 5 coaches in their career against the spread (min. three years):
1. Hugh Freeze, Mississippi: 34-16 (68 percent)
2. David Shaw, Stanford: 34-20 (62.9 percent)
3. Urban Meyer, Ohio State: 98-61 (61.6 percent)
4. Gus Malzahn, Auburn: 24-15 (61.5 percent)
5. Jim McElwain, Florida: 22-14 (61.1 percent)
Worst 5 coaches against the spread (min. three years):
1. Doug Martin, New Mexico State: 40-59 (40.4 percent)
2. Joey Jones, South Alabama: 16-22 (42.1 percent)
3. Dana Holgorsen, West Virginia: 22-29 (43.1 percent)
4. Ron Turner, Florida International: 54-68 (44.2 percent)
5. Rich Rodriguez, Arizona: 70-88 (44.3 percent)
Top 5 active coaches with most career covers:
1. Frank Beamer: 179-151 ATS (54.2 percent)
2. Steve Spurrier: 162-133 ATS (54.9 percent)
3. Bill Snyder, Kansas State: 157-107 ATS (59.4 percent)
4. Gary Pinkel, Missouri: 150-122 (55.1 percent)
5. Nick Saban, Alabama: 131-104 (55.7 percent)
Las Vegas sportsbooks' weekly football line release times
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<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; border-left-width: 1px; border-left-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-left-style: solid; border-right-width: 1px; border-right-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-right-style: solid; border-top-width: 1px; border-top-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-top-style: solid; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-weight: 600; height: 39px; line-height: 32px; margin: 0px; padding: 3px 12px; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; background: rgb(221, 221, 221);">Weekly Football Line Release Times</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box; border-width: 1px 0px 1px 1px; border-top-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-bottom-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-left-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-top-style: solid; border-bottom-style: solid; border-left-style: solid; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 10px; font-weight: 600; line-height: 10px; margin: 0px; padding: 6px 12px; text-transform: uppercase; background: rgb(242, 242, 242);">
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</tbody></aside>Top 5 teams by money wagered to win national title at Westgate SuperBook
1. Ohio State
2. Baylor
3. Auburn
4. Georgia
5. Notre Dame
Top 5 teams by number of bets to win the national title at Westgate SuperBook
1. Michigan State
2. Ohio State
3. Auburn
4. USC
5. Notre Dame
Biggest Golden Nugget line movement
The Golden Nugget sportsbook posted point spreads on more than 250 college football games in late June. Here are the games that attracted the most lopsided action, resulting in the largest line movements:
<aside class="inline inline-with-table" style="box-sizing: border-box; border: 1px solid rgb(221, 221, 221); clear: both; margin: 6px 0px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 570px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;"><header class="inline-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 12px; overflow: hidden;">[h=1]Biggest Line Movements: 'Games of the Year'[/h]*Golden Nugget Casino
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</tbody></aside>Notable big-game lines [lines courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Aug. 31]
• Oregon at Michigan State minus-3, Sept. 12
• Alabama minus-3 at Georgia, Oct. 3
• Oklahoma minus-5.5 vs. Texas, Oct. 10
• USC at Notre Dame minus-1, Oct. 17
• Florida State at Clemson minus-4, Nov. 7
• Georgia at Alabama minus-5.5, Nov. 14
• Michigan State at Ohio State minus-13, Nov. 21
• Baylor at TCU minus-4.5, Nov. 27
• UCLA at USC minus-4.5, Nov. 28
• Ohio State minus-13.5 at Michigan, Nov. 28
• Alabama minus-2 at Auburn, Nov. 28
Odds to win the national championship
<aside class="inline inline-with-table" style="box-sizing: border-box; border: 1px solid rgb(221, 221, 221); clear: both; margin: 6px 0px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 570px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;"><header class="inline-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 12px; overflow: hidden;">[h=1]Odds to win 2015-16 national championship[/h]*According to Nevada sportsbook operator CG Technology
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</tbody></aside>Book points
• The MGM Mirage took a $3,000 bet on Stanford at 100-1 to win the national championship from a house player in August. The same bettor also put approximately $1,750 on Boise State to win it all at 175-1.
• In July, the South Point sportsbook opened Ohio State as a 10-1 underdog to go undefeated and win the national championship. Heading into Week 1, the Buckeyes' odds of going 15-0 have been bet down to 7-2. "We stand to lose a little bit if they do it," Jimmy Vaccaro of the South Point said.
• More than 1,000 bets have been placed on Ohio State to win the national championship at the MGM sportsbook. Next closest is TCU with 675. Marshall and BYU have attracted the fewest bets. Both teams had fewer than 10 as of Monday.
• 15 percent of the total amount of money wagered on Nevada sportsbook William Hill's odds to win the national championship is on Ohio State.
• Ohio State, Georgia and Notre Dame are top five in money wagered at both William Hill and the SuperBook.
• The biggest long shots to win a Power 5 conference title game at the SuperBook: Vanderbilt plus-500 and Wake Forest plus-500.
Talent points
• Ole Miss has more eligible 2016 NFL draft prospects than any other team with 15, according to ESPN's Todd McShay.
• TCU has the second most with 14.
• Utah, with 13, has as many draft prospects as Alabama or Ohio State, according to McShay.
• Texas has four NFL draft prospects. Western Kentucky has five. Duke has six.
• Kansas, Indiana and Iowa State each have three draft prospects, the fewest among Power 5 teams.
Coaching points
• Ohio State coach Urban Meyer is 35-9 ATS in with more than one week to prepare, including 7-3 ATS in season openers.
• Hawaii coach Norm Chow is 2-29 straight-up as an underdog. Urban Meyer is 16-8 straight-up as an underdog.
• Texas coach Charlie Strong is 11-22 against the spread at home in his career, but 18-7 ATS on the road.
• Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh went 28-21 ATS at Stanford and 40-28-4 in the NFL with the San Francisco 49ers. Combined, Harbaugh's teams have covered the spread in 58.1 of games.
• Since returning as Kansas State coach for the 2009 season, Bill Snyder is 37-14-1 ATS in Big 12 play.
• Kentucky is 5-11 ATS in SEC play under coach Mark Stoops.
• Coach Kevin Wilson's Indiana teams are 31-16 over/under.
• 64.3 percent of UTSA's Larry Coker's games as a head coach have stayed under the total.
5-year breakdown
• In the past five seasons, college football underdogs have gone 2,113-2,066 against the spread (50.6 percent).
• In the past five seasons, college football road teams 1,951-1,879 against the spread (50.9 percent).
• In the past five seasons, college football home underdogs are 579-639 against the spread (47.5 percent).
• Teams are 20-35 against the spread the game after playing Oregon in the past five seasons.
• Teams are 34-22 against the spread in the game after playing Alabama in the past five seasons.
• No. 1-ranked teams are 33-34 against the spread in the past five seasons.
• Baylor is 30-13-1 over/under in Big 12 play in the past five seasons.
Top 5 teams ATS off of a loss (past five years)
1. Louisville: 14-4
2. Kansas State: 12-4
3. LSU: 8-3
4. Missouri: 13-5
5. USC: 14-6
Worst 5 teams ATS off of a straight-up win (past five years)
1. Eastern Michigan: 2-12
2. Indiana: 3-12
3. Army: 4-13
4. Kansas: 3-9
5. Idaho: 3-6
Top 5 home teams ATS (past five years)
1. Baylor: 24-8
2. Arkansas: 20-8 3. Rice: 17-8-2
4. Central Florida: 21-10
5. Arkansas State: 19-10
Worst 5 road teams ATS (past five years)
1. Army: 5-20
2. Colorado: 7-20
3. Kansas: 7-18-1
4. UConn: 7-18-1
5. Kentucky: 7-16-1
Top 'over' teams (past five years)
1. Baylor: 43-19-1
2. Indiana: 38-21
3. Arizona State: 41-23
4. E. Michigan: 36-21
5. Ohio State: 41-25-1
Top 'under' teams (past five years)
1. South Florida: 21-38-1
2. Boston College: 22-38-2
3. Notre Dame: 24-40-1
4. Miami (Ohio): 23-38
5. Wake Forest: 23-37
Conference-vs.-conference ATS records
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David Purdum, ESPN Staff Writer
Chalk points are quick-hitting betting nuggets, meant to both inform casual fans and assist bettors.
Point of interest
• Nevada sportsbooks have never had a losing September on football -- NFL and college combined -- since gaming control began tracking sports betting in 1988. Tread lightly to begin.
Top 5 coaches in their career against the spread (min. three years):
1. Hugh Freeze, Mississippi: 34-16 (68 percent)
2. David Shaw, Stanford: 34-20 (62.9 percent)
3. Urban Meyer, Ohio State: 98-61 (61.6 percent)
4. Gus Malzahn, Auburn: 24-15 (61.5 percent)
5. Jim McElwain, Florida: 22-14 (61.1 percent)
Worst 5 coaches against the spread (min. three years):
1. Doug Martin, New Mexico State: 40-59 (40.4 percent)
2. Joey Jones, South Alabama: 16-22 (42.1 percent)
3. Dana Holgorsen, West Virginia: 22-29 (43.1 percent)
4. Ron Turner, Florida International: 54-68 (44.2 percent)
5. Rich Rodriguez, Arizona: 70-88 (44.3 percent)
Top 5 active coaches with most career covers:
1. Frank Beamer: 179-151 ATS (54.2 percent)
2. Steve Spurrier: 162-133 ATS (54.9 percent)
3. Bill Snyder, Kansas State: 157-107 ATS (59.4 percent)
4. Gary Pinkel, Missouri: 150-122 (55.1 percent)
5. Nick Saban, Alabama: 131-104 (55.7 percent)
Las Vegas sportsbooks' weekly football line release times
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| SPORTSBOOK | NFL | COLLEGE FOOTBALL |
|---|---|---|
| Aliante | 10 a.m., Monday | Noon, Monday |
| Boyd Game (Orleans) | 6 p.m., Sunday | Noon, Monday |
| CG Technology | 3 p.m., Sunday | 11 a.m., Monday |
| Caesars | 11 a.m., Monday | 11 a.m., Monday |
| Golden Nugget | 9 a.m., Monday | 9 a.m., Monday |
| MGM | 11 a.m., Monday | 11 a.m., Monday |
| South Point | 11 a.m., Monday | 11 a.m., Monday |
| Station | 11 a.m., Monday | 11 a.m., Monday |
| Stratosphere | 6 p.m., Sunday | 6 p.m., Sunday |
| Treasure Island | 11 a.m., Monday | 11 a.m., Tuesday |
| Westgate | 4:30 p.m., Sunday | Noon, Monday |
| William Hill | 6 p.m., Sunday | 10 a.m., Monday |
| Wynn | 3 p.m., Sunday | 3 p.m., Sunday |
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1. Ohio State
2. Baylor
3. Auburn
4. Georgia
5. Notre Dame
Top 5 teams by number of bets to win the national title at Westgate SuperBook
1. Michigan State
2. Ohio State
3. Auburn
4. USC
5. Notre Dame
Biggest Golden Nugget line movement
The Golden Nugget sportsbook posted point spreads on more than 250 college football games in late June. Here are the games that attracted the most lopsided action, resulting in the largest line movements:
<aside class="inline inline-with-table" style="box-sizing: border-box; border: 1px solid rgb(221, 221, 221); clear: both; margin: 6px 0px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 570px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;"><header class="inline-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 12px; overflow: hidden;">[h=1]Biggest Line Movements: 'Games of the Year'[/h]*Golden Nugget Casino
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| GAME | OPEN | AUG. 30 |
|---|---|---|
| Boise State at BYU, Sept. 12 | Boise State -6 | Boise State -1 |
| Georgia Tech at Notre Dame, Sept. 19 | Notre Dame -2 | Notre Dame -9.5 |
| Colorado vs. Colorado State, Sept. 19 | Colorado -1.5 | Colorado -6 |
| USC at Utah, Oct. 24 | USC -7 | USC -12 |
| Auburn at Arkansas, Oct. 24 | Arkansas -6 | Arkansas PK |
| BYU vs. Missouri, Nov. 14 (at Kansas City) | Missouri -12 | Missouri -4 |
| North Carolina at North Carolina State, Nov. 28 | NC State -6 | NC State -1 |
| Vanderbilt at Tennessee, Nov. 28 | Tennessee -17 | Tennessee -23 |
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• Oregon at Michigan State minus-3, Sept. 12
• Alabama minus-3 at Georgia, Oct. 3
• Oklahoma minus-5.5 vs. Texas, Oct. 10
• USC at Notre Dame minus-1, Oct. 17
• Florida State at Clemson minus-4, Nov. 7
• Georgia at Alabama minus-5.5, Nov. 14
• Michigan State at Ohio State minus-13, Nov. 21
• Baylor at TCU minus-4.5, Nov. 27
• UCLA at USC minus-4.5, Nov. 28
• Ohio State minus-13.5 at Michigan, Nov. 28
• Alabama minus-2 at Auburn, Nov. 28
Odds to win the national championship
<aside class="inline inline-with-table" style="box-sizing: border-box; border: 1px solid rgb(221, 221, 221); clear: both; margin: 6px 0px 18px; padding: 15px; width: 570px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px;"><header class="inline-header" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 12px; overflow: hidden;">[h=1]Odds to win 2015-16 national championship[/h]*According to Nevada sportsbook operator CG Technology
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| TEAM | OPEN | AUG. 26 | OPEN | AUG. 26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 10-1 | 15-2 | Nebraska | 100-1 | 100-1 |
| Arizona State | 50-1 | 70-1 | North Carolina | 300-1 | 250-1 |
| Arizona | 100-1 | 100-1 | Notre Dame | 20-1 | 20-1 |
| Arkansas | 30-1 | 40-1 | Ohio State | 4-1 | 27-10 |
| Auburn | 20-1 | 10-1 | Oklahoma | 15-1 | 25-1 |
| Baylor | 13-1 | 18-1 | Oklahoma State | 75-1 | 75-1 |
| Boise State | 250-1 | 200-1 | Ole Miss | 30-1 | 55-1 |
| Boston College | 200-1 | 500-1 | Oregon | 25-1 | 25-1 |
| BYU | 150-1 | 250-1 | Penn State | 100-1 | 100-1 |
| Cincinnati | 125-1 | 250-1 | South Carolina | 100-1 | 125-1 |
| Clemson | 20-1 | 26-1 | Stanford | 40-1 | 60-1 |
| Florida | 40-1 | 100-1 | TCU | 7-1 | 8-1 |
| Florida State | 30-1 | 24-1 | Tennessee | 50-1 | 60-1 |
| Georgia | 30-1 | 23-1 | Texas | 75-1 | 100-1 |
| Georgia Tech | 75-1 | 85-1 | Texas A&M | 50-1 | 50-1 |
| Iowa | 250-1 | 200-1 | UCLA | 20-1 | 26-1 |
| Kansas State | 150-1 | 100-1 | USC | 15-1 | 12-1 |
| Louisville | 125-1 | 150-1 | Utah | 100-1 | 150-1 |
| LSU | 20-1 | 20-1 | Virginia Tech | 200-1 | 100-1 |
| Miami (FL) | 125-1 | 140-1 | Washington | 100-1 | 175-1 |
| Michigan | 100-1 | 65-1 | West Virginia | 300-1 | 175-1 |
| Michigan State | 20-1 | 20-1 | Wisconsin | 50-1 | 80-1 |
| Missouri | 125-1 | 100-1 | The Field | 20-1 | 50-1 |
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• The MGM Mirage took a $3,000 bet on Stanford at 100-1 to win the national championship from a house player in August. The same bettor also put approximately $1,750 on Boise State to win it all at 175-1.
• In July, the South Point sportsbook opened Ohio State as a 10-1 underdog to go undefeated and win the national championship. Heading into Week 1, the Buckeyes' odds of going 15-0 have been bet down to 7-2. "We stand to lose a little bit if they do it," Jimmy Vaccaro of the South Point said.
• More than 1,000 bets have been placed on Ohio State to win the national championship at the MGM sportsbook. Next closest is TCU with 675. Marshall and BYU have attracted the fewest bets. Both teams had fewer than 10 as of Monday.
• 15 percent of the total amount of money wagered on Nevada sportsbook William Hill's odds to win the national championship is on Ohio State.
• Ohio State, Georgia and Notre Dame are top five in money wagered at both William Hill and the SuperBook.
• The biggest long shots to win a Power 5 conference title game at the SuperBook: Vanderbilt plus-500 and Wake Forest plus-500.
Talent points
• Ole Miss has more eligible 2016 NFL draft prospects than any other team with 15, according to ESPN's Todd McShay.
• TCU has the second most with 14.
• Utah, with 13, has as many draft prospects as Alabama or Ohio State, according to McShay.
• Texas has four NFL draft prospects. Western Kentucky has five. Duke has six.
• Kansas, Indiana and Iowa State each have three draft prospects, the fewest among Power 5 teams.
Coaching points
• Ohio State coach Urban Meyer is 35-9 ATS in with more than one week to prepare, including 7-3 ATS in season openers.
• Hawaii coach Norm Chow is 2-29 straight-up as an underdog. Urban Meyer is 16-8 straight-up as an underdog.
• Texas coach Charlie Strong is 11-22 against the spread at home in his career, but 18-7 ATS on the road.
• Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh went 28-21 ATS at Stanford and 40-28-4 in the NFL with the San Francisco 49ers. Combined, Harbaugh's teams have covered the spread in 58.1 of games.
• Since returning as Kansas State coach for the 2009 season, Bill Snyder is 37-14-1 ATS in Big 12 play.
• Kentucky is 5-11 ATS in SEC play under coach Mark Stoops.
• Coach Kevin Wilson's Indiana teams are 31-16 over/under.
• 64.3 percent of UTSA's Larry Coker's games as a head coach have stayed under the total.
5-year breakdown
• In the past five seasons, college football underdogs have gone 2,113-2,066 against the spread (50.6 percent).
• In the past five seasons, college football road teams 1,951-1,879 against the spread (50.9 percent).
• In the past five seasons, college football home underdogs are 579-639 against the spread (47.5 percent).
• Teams are 20-35 against the spread the game after playing Oregon in the past five seasons.
• Teams are 34-22 against the spread in the game after playing Alabama in the past five seasons.
• No. 1-ranked teams are 33-34 against the spread in the past five seasons.
• Baylor is 30-13-1 over/under in Big 12 play in the past five seasons.
Top 5 teams ATS off of a loss (past five years)
1. Louisville: 14-4
2. Kansas State: 12-4
3. LSU: 8-3
4. Missouri: 13-5
5. USC: 14-6
Worst 5 teams ATS off of a straight-up win (past five years)
1. Eastern Michigan: 2-12
2. Indiana: 3-12
3. Army: 4-13
4. Kansas: 3-9
5. Idaho: 3-6
Top 5 home teams ATS (past five years)
1. Baylor: 24-8
2. Arkansas: 20-8 3. Rice: 17-8-2
4. Central Florida: 21-10
5. Arkansas State: 19-10
Worst 5 road teams ATS (past five years)
1. Army: 5-20
2. Colorado: 7-20
3. Kansas: 7-18-1
4. UConn: 7-18-1
5. Kentucky: 7-16-1
Top 'over' teams (past five years)
1. Baylor: 43-19-1
2. Indiana: 38-21
3. Arizona State: 41-23
4. E. Michigan: 36-21
5. Ohio State: 41-25-1
Top 'under' teams (past five years)
1. South Florida: 21-38-1
2. Boston College: 22-38-2
3. Notre Dame: 24-40-1
4. Miami (Ohio): 23-38
5. Wake Forest: 23-37
Conference-vs.-conference ATS records
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| CONFERENCE | SEC | CUSA | BIG TEN | MAC | BIG 12 | ACC | INDY | MWC | PAC-12 | AAC | SUN BELT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CUSA | 15-21 | X-X | 8-8 | 11-10 | 13-16 | 13-13 | 10-14 | 13-9 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 16-14 |
| Big Ten | 10-15 | 8-8 | X-X | 32-29 | 9-9 | 11-5 | 14-8 | 9-7 | 13-16 | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| MAC | 13-9 | 10-11 | 29-32 | X-X | 2-11 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 4-9 | 2-1 | 4-3 | 12-7 |
| Big 12 | 11-8 | 16-13 | 9-9 | 11-2 | X-X | 8-5 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 14-8 | 5-1 | 6-9 |
| ACC | 23-20 | 13-13 | 5-11 | 10-6 | 5-8 | X-X | 18-13 | 4-3 | 5-10 | 10-4 | 8-11 |
| INDY | 2-4 | 14-10 | 8-14 | 8-12 | 4-2 | 13-19 | XX-XX | 19-17 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 5-10 |
| MWC | 3-4 | 9-13 | 7-9 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 17-19 | x-x | 24-19 | 2-2 | 2-8 |
| Pac-12 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 16-13 | 1-2 | 8-14 | 10-5 | 15-10 | 19-24 | X-X | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| AAC | 5-5 | 6-4 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 1-5 | 4-10 | 7-4 | 2-2 | 1-0 | X-X | 1-1 |
| SEC | X-X | 21-15 | 15-10 | 13-9 | 11-8 | 23-20 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 5-5 | 19-25 |
| Sun Belt | 25-19 | 14-16 | 6-6 | 7-12 | 9-6 | 11-8 | 5-10 | 8-2 | 3-0 | 1-1 | X-X |
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box; border-width: 1px 0px; border-top-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-bottom-color: rgb(221, 221, 221); border-top-style: solid; border-bottom-style: solid; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-size: 10px; font-weight: 600; line-height: 10px; margin: 0px; padding: 6px 12px; text-transform: uppercase; background: transparent;">
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box;">
</tbody>
</aside>
