Best way to hedge Oregon @ 85:1 national title

[knickfan]

Here's what I'm looking at risk 5* win 425* oregon national title.

what's the greatest number I can guarantee myself?

I think the futures market has too much juice built in so I should do game by game.... the big variable is does SC have a chance?

Gonzaga would be -160 vs Oregon
and SC would be +130 vs. Oregon

UNC is -200 vs Oregon (but I'm sure you can all see that)

 

[919]

When was Oregon 85-1?

 

[JF711]

You can't lock in a lot without giving up all the upside so....

25* on NC -200. If NC wins you pick up 20*

if they lose, you now have 55 invested to get 425 so

Gonz would be -170 against Oregon let's say and you take gonz for 100*. If gonz wins you bet 45*. If Oregon wins you win 200*

If SC beats the Zags you are in an even better position and hedge SC at plus money

adjust accordingly but that's the basic idea

 

[Haystacks]

When was Oregon 85-1?

Apparently, at the time he placed the bet. Not too far fetched before they kicked it into gear. Heck they were 30-1 before the tourney

 

[Forcelite]

No way SC wins it all, hedge on the other teams
Force

 

[tmader7]

No way SC wins it all, hedge on the other teams
Force

And how old are you??? 1983, NCState beat Phi Slama Jama. In 1985, Rollie pulled a rabbit out of his hat to beat a heavily favored John Thompson. In 1988, Danny Manning singly handed a heavily favored OU team a loss. Don't tell us it can't be done, I've watched it happen.

~T~

 

[DoubleJ]

And how old are you??? 1983, NCState beat Phi Slama Jama. In 1985, Rollie pulled a rabbit out of his hat to beat a heavily favored John Thompson. In 1988, Danny Manning singly handed a heavily favored OU team a loss. Don't tell us it can't be done, I've watched it happen.

~T~

+1 -- good God it's happened in far more surprising situations than SC would be this year!

 

[919]

Apparently, at the time he placed the bet. Not too far fetched before they kicked it into gear. Heck they were 30-1 before the tourney

they were 11-1 at the beginning of the season when I bet it...that's why I asked

11/11/16 12:00pm Basketball NCAA Men's Basketball National Champion 2016/17 - Oregon +1100*

 

[Haystacks]

Hopefully you me and knickfan are all gonna look like geniuses

 

[Forcelite]

And how old are you??? 1983, NCState beat Phi Slama Jama. In 1985, Rollie pulled a rabbit out of his hat to beat a heavily favored John Thompson. In 1988, Danny Manning singly handed a heavily favored OU team a loss. Don't tell us it can't be done, I've watched it happen.

~T~

Look betting is by its very nature gambling. If your gonna pick a hedge, I am on betting against SC. We can all come back in a week and see who was right .
Force

 

[Loves2kickass]

85-1? Maybe he meant Oregon State? lol

 

[varkeyboy]

85-1? Maybe he meant Oregon State? lol

.....or......SC!!!........lol!

 

[knickfan]

Hopefully you me and knickfan are all gonna look like geniuses

hope so... I'm letting it ride vs UNC I think... hedging is too expensive.... may take a small piece off like 50*ish win 25* or something

 

[919]

Hopefully you me and knickfan are all gonna look like geniuses

I've got enough riding for a decent hedge. If they can get up early I may take some live UNC...

 

[pistol495]

hope so... I'm letting it ride vs UNC I think... hedging is too expensive.... may take a small piece off like 50*ish win 25* or something

Definitely consider halftime or in game wagering to try and hedge