Best Bets For Wednesday April 14th - MLB - NBA -NHL !

[CNOTES]

NBA ATS


NBA > (509) UTAH@ (510) HOUSTON | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON HOUSTON using the against the spread in Home games after a non-conference game
The record is 22 Wins and 6 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.4 units)


NBA > (525) DENVER@ (526) GOLDEN STATE | 04/15/2015 - 10:35 PM
Play ON GOLDEN STATE using the against the spread in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 20 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.5 units)


NBA > (517) BOSTON@ (518) MILWAUKEE | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST MILWAUKEE using the against the spread in Home games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 17 Wins and 44 Losses for the since 1992 (-31.4 units)


NBA > (505) ATLANTA@ (506) CHICAGO | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON ATLANTA using the against the spread in All games in all games
The record is 49 Wins and 29 Losses for the this season (+17.1 units)


NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (505) ATLANTA@ (506) CHICAGO | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON ATLANTA using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 26 Wins and 9 Losses for the this season (+20.85 units)


NBA > (517) BOSTON@ (518) MILWAUKEE | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON MILWAUKEE using the money line in All games against Atlantic division opponents
The record is 14 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+13.75 units)


NBA > (519) DETROIT@ (520) NEW YORK | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST DETROIT using the money line in All games after a division game
The record is 10 Wins and 21 Losses for the last two seasons (-24.95 units)

NBA > (509) UTAH@ (510) HOUSTON | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON HOUSTON using the money line in Home games after a non-conference game
The record is 23 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.9 units)


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (503) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (504) MINNESOTA | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA in the first half in All games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 8 Wins and 27 Losses for the this season (-21.7 units)


NBA > (511) SAN ANTONIO@ (512) NEW ORLEANS | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON SAN ANTONIO in the first half in All games second half of the season
The record is 25 Wins and 7 Losses for the this season (+17.3 units)


NBA > (505) ATLANTA@ (506) CHICAGO | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON ATLANTA in the first half in Road games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 23 Wins and 6 Losses for the last two seasons (+16.4 units)


NBA > (509) UTAH@ (510) HOUSTON | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON UTAH in the first half in All games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 33 Wins and 11 Losses for the last three seasons (+20.9 units)

NBA > (515) ORLANDO@ (516) BROOKLYN | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST ORLANDO in the first half in All games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 9 Wins and 27 Losses for the last two seasons (-20.7 units)


NBA > (507) PORTLAND@ (508) DALLAS | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST DALLAS in the first half in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 6 Wins and 19 Losses for the this season (-14.9 units)


NBA > (521) INDIANA@ (522) MEMPHIS | 04/15/2015 - 09:35 PM
Play AGAINST INDIANA in the first half in All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 12 Wins and 31 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.1 units)


NBA TOTALS


BA > (511) SAN ANTONIO@ (512) NEW ORLEANS | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the total in Road games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 9 Overs and 35 Unders for the last two seasons (+25.1 units)


NBA > (517) BOSTON@ (518) MILWAUKEE | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER BOSTON on the total in All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 24 Overs and 54 Unders for the this season (+27.6 units)


NBA > (521) INDIANA@ (522) MEMPHIS | 04/15/2015 - 09:35 PM
Play UNDER MEMPHIS on the total in Home games second half of the season
The record is 1 Overs and 12 Unders for the this season (+10.9 units)


NBA > (505) ATLANTA@ (506) CHICAGO | 04/15/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the total in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 12 Overs and 30 Unders for the this season (+16.8 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB MONEYLINE


MLB > (957) MILWAUKEE@ (958) ST LOUIS | 04/15/2015 - 08:15 PM
Play ON MILWAUKEE using the money line in Road games in April games
The record is 12 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.35 units)


MLB > (969) NY YANKEES@ (970) BALTIMORE | 04/15/2015 - 07:05 PM
Play ON BALTIMORE using the money line in All games in night games
The record is 75 Wins and 41 Losses for the last two seasons (+39.1 units)


MLB > (975) WASHINGTON@ (976) BOSTON | 04/15/2015 - 01:35 PM
Play AGAINST BOSTON using the money line in All games at home with a money line of -100 to -125
The record is 5 Wins and 17 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.7 units)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) MINNESOTA | 04/15/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the money line in Road games in night games
The record is 41 Wins and 20 Losses for the last two seasons (+23.7 units)


MLB > (961) COLORADO@ (962) SAN FRANCISCO | 04/15/2015 - 10:15 PM
Play AGAINST COLORADO using the money line in Road games against right-handed starters
The record is 15 Wins and 46 Losses for the last two seasons (-27.68 units)


MLB RUNLINES


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) MINNESOTA | 04/15/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the in All games when playing with a day off
The record is 18 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+16.45 units)


MLB > (961) COLORADO@ (962) SAN FRANCISCO | 04/15/2015 - 10:15 PM
Play ON SAN FRANCISCO using the in All games when playing on Wednesday
The record is 22 Wins and 8 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.7 units)


MLB TOTALS


MLB > (971) OAKLAND@ (972) HOUSTON | 04/15/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play OVER OAKLAND on the total in All games in April games
The record is 45 Overs and 18 Unders for the last three seasons (+27.25 units)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) MINNESOTA | 04/15/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in All games in April games
The record is 22 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+15.15 units)

MLB > (979) SEATTLE@ (980) LA DODGERS | 04/15/2015 - 10:10 PM
Play OVER LA DODGERS on the total in Home games in games played on a grass field
The record is 53 Overs and 29 Unders for the last two seasons (+24.3 units)


MLB TOP POWERLINES


MLB > (975) WASHINGTON @ (976) BOSTON | 04/15/2015 - 01:35 PM
Line: BOSTON -130 BTB PowerLine: BOSTON 123
Edge On: BOSTON (33)


MLB > (969) NY YANKEES @ (970) BALTIMORE | 04/15/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: BALTIMORE -125 BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE -170
Edge On: BALTIMORE (45)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY @ (974) MINNESOTA | 04/15/2015 - 08:10 PM
Line: MINNESOTA +108 BTB PowerLine: MINNESOTA 155
Edge On: MINNESOTA (27)


MLB > (979) SEATTLE @ (980) LA DODGERS | 04/15/2015 - 10:10 PM
Line: LA DODGERS -135 BTB PowerLine: LA DODGERS -172
Edge On: LA DODGERS (37)


MLB > (959) ARIZONA @ (960) SAN DIEGO | 04/15/2015 - 10:10 PM
Line: SAN DIEGO -145 BTB PowerLine: SAN DIEGO 106
Edge On: SAN DIEGO (31)


MLB > (961) COLORADO @ (962) SAN FRANCISCO | 04/15/2015 - 10:15 PM
Line: SAN FRANCISCO -135 BTB PowerLine: SAN FRANCISCO 115
Edge On: SAN FRANCISCO (30)

 

[CNOTES]

NHL MONEYLINE


NHL > (7) CALGARY@ (8) VANCOUVER | 04/15/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play ON CALGARY using the money line in Road games vs. division opponents
The record is 10 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+9.75 units)


NHL PUCKLINE


NHL > (7) CALGARY@ (8) VANCOUVER | 04/15/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play ON CALGARY using the in Road games vs. division opponents
The record is 10 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+9.75 units)


NHL TOTALS


NHL > (1) OTTAWA@ (2) MONTREAL | 04/15/2015 - 07:05 PM
Play UNDER MONTREAL on the total in All games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game
The record is 14 Overs and 33 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.3 units)

NHL > (5) CHICAGO@ (6) NASHVILLE | 04/15/2015 - 08:35 PM
Play OVER NASHVILLE on the total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 13 Overs and 4 Unders for the this season (+9.6 units)


NHL > (7) CALGARY@ (8) VANCOUVER | 04/15/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play UNDER CALGARY on the total in All games when playing with 3 or more days rest
The record is 2 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+9.1 units)

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's NHL Playoffs betting cheat sheet


Apr 14, 2015


Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens (-150,5)


With respect to Devan Dubnyk, Carey Price and Andrew Hammond arguably were the two most discussed goaltenders in the NHL this season. A Vezina Trophy favorite and likely Hart Trophy candidate, Price looks to guide the Atlantic Division-champion Montreal Canadiens past the upstart Ottawa Senators when the teams open their Eastern Conference first-round series at the Bell Centre on Wednesday.


Price led the league with a franchise-best 44 wins while his goals-against average (1.96) and save percentage (.933) were second to none in the NHL. The 27-year-old Price was less than spectacular while splitting his two decisions versus Ottawa while the Senators emerged victorious in the two other meetings. Ottawa, which resided 14 points out of a playoff berth on Feb. 10, posted a 23-4-4 mark to secure the top wild-card position - and Hammond (20-1-2, 1.79 GAA, .941 save percentage) played an integral role in that surge. The first-year sensation won his first start with a 4-2 triumph over Montreal on Feb. 18 and became the first goaltender in the NHL's modern era to earn at least one point in each of his first 12 career road starts, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.


TRENDS:


*Over is 5-0-4 in Canadiens last 9 overall.
*Senators are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.
*Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
*Home team is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings.


New York Islanders at Washington Capitals (-145,5)


The Washington Capitals claimed home-ice advantage over the New York Islanders on the final day of the regular season, and that edge could prove pivotal as the Metropolitan Division rivals open their Eastern Conference first-round series at the Verizon Center on Wednesday. The home team won each of the four meetings this season, with Washington captain Alex Ovechkin scoring four goals against New York and 53 overall to become the sixth player in league history with at least six 50-goal campaigns.


Ovechkin also added an assist against the Islanders, who ventured into overtime before winning both of their home meetings with the Capitals. Captain John Tavares matched Ovechkin by recording five points (two goals, three assists) - including an overtime tally on Nov. 26 - and his career-high 86 points fell one shy of Dallas' Jamie Benn for league lead in that department. Both goaltenders etched their names into their respective franchise's record books, with Washington's Braden Holtby (41-20-10, 2.22 goals-against average, .921 save percentage) matching Olaf Kolzig in wins and appearances (73) while tying Jim Carey's single-season mark with nine shutouts. New York's Jaroslav Halak (38-17-4, 2.43, .917) set the franchise record in wins and recorded 11 more than his previous career high, which was set with St. Louis in 2010-11.


TRENDS:


*Islanders are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
*Capitals are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
*Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
*Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Washington.




Chicago Blackhawks at Nashville Predators (-115,5)


The Chicago Blackhawks stumbled to the finish line during the regular season but will head into the playoffs on an upbeat note after learning that All-Star forward Patrick Kane will return to the lineup for Wednesday's playoff opener at the Nashville Predators. Chicago scored only five goals during a season-ending four-game skid to finish in third place in the Central Division - two points behind the Predators, who enter the postseason riding a six-game losing streak.


Kane was tied for the league lead in scoring and was among the front-runners for MVP honors when he suffered a broken collarbone on Feb. 24 - an injury that was expected to sideline him for 12 weeks. "He was having an MVP-type of season," Blackhawks coach Joel Quenneville said. "Getting him back just makes you have so many more options. His versatility in all areas certainly enhances our team." Nashville owned the league's best record for much of the season and was running away with the Central until dropping 15 of its last 21, a stretch that featured a pair of six-game slides. The Predators have lost nine of 11 (2-6-3) at home in that span, including four in a row.


TRENDS:


*Blackhawks are 4-0 in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
*Predators are 0-6 in their last 6 overall.
*Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
*Over is 5-1-3 in Predators last 9 overall


Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks (-150,5)


After closing out the regular season with a three-game winning streak that helped them secure second place in the Pacific Division, the Vancouver Canucks attempt to continue their successful ways when they host the Calgary Flames in the opener of their first-round playoff series Wednesday. Vancouver - which ranked second in the league on the penalty kill - wrapped up the campaign with a three-game homestand and made the most of it, defeating Los Angeles, Arizona and Edmonton by a combined 12-6 score.


The Flames finished strong to qualify for the playoffs for the first time since 2009, winning five of six contests before dropping a 5-1 decision at Winnipeg in the season finale. After falling to Vancouver in the 2014-15 opener, Calgary finished the season series 2-0-1 - coming up short in overtime before posting a pair of one-goal victories. The Canucks and Flames have met six times - all in the first round - in the postseason, with Calgary capturing four series. The Flames won the most recent matchup in 2004, emerging victorious in seven games and advancing all the way to the Stanley Cup final before losing to Tampa Bay.


TRENDS:


*Canucks are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Pacific.
*Flames are 7-20 in the last 27 meetings in Vancouver.
*Under is 6-0 in Flames last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
*Over is 4-1-2 in Canucks last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

 

[CNOTES]

Kane to return to Hawks' lineup for Game 1 vs. Preds


Chicago sniper Patrick Kane told reporters Tuesday that he will participate in Game 1 of the Blackhawks' first round Stanley Cup Playoffs matchup against Nashville on Wednesday.


The 26-year-old has surgery on Feb. 25 to repair a fractured left clavicle. His initial recovery time was projected to be up to 12 weeks, but the Buffalo native healed much sooner than the club projected.


Kane had 64 points in 61 games this season. Chicago is currently -105 on the moneyline for the postseason matchup.

 

[CNOTES]

Canucks may start Lack in goal for Game 1 vs. Flames


It hasn't been made official yet, but all signs are pointing to netminder Eddie Lack getting the start in between the pipes for the Vancouver Canucks in Game 1 of their conference quarterfinal clash with Calgary Wednesday.


Starting goaltender Ryan Miller came back in the team's regular season finale against Edmonton on Saturday - his first start in over seven weeks due to a knee injury - but told reporters Tuesday he's not quite his normal self.


"I'm not 100 percent yet," Miller said. "I still have about 10 or 15 percent to go."


In Miller's absence, Lack went 11-5-1 with a 2.51 GAA and 0.921 save percentage. The 'Nucks are presently -150 home moneyline favorites for the tilt.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL betting road map: Canadiens quiet about Pacioretty


Apr 13, 2015


Moneyline/Puckline Watch

Team to fade this week: Pittsburgh Penguins


We learned a lot about the Pittsburgh Penguins the last few weeks of the season. We learned that it is not a team that is destined to be in the playoffs for very long this spring.


Still a betting favorite, books and sharps are going to have to sour on the Penguins this pot-season. Until that happens, bet against the injury struggling Penguins team. Aside from top end centers in Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin, the Penguins are woefully thin at most every other position and especially on the back end.


First year head coach Mike Johnson isn’t exactly someone you want to bet on as he goes head-to-head with the President’s Trophy winning New York Rangers. This is arguably the biggest mismatch in round one of the playoffs.


Team to bet this week: Tampa Bay Lightning


The Lightning won a league high 32 games at home this season and should have no trouble getting up early on the Detroit Red Wings. It could be called the “Steve Yzerman series” for many reasons but maybe first and foremost is the fact that his team is just better in almost every capacity here.


It went under the radar a little bit at the end because of all the craziness of the Ottawa Senators run but we shouldn’t forget that Detroit barely made it into the post season and an epic collapse it would have been.


Keep in mind that Lightning goalie Ben Bishop was 3-1 with a 1.97 goals against average and .921 save percentage in four games against the Red Wings this season.


Last year Tampa Bay bowed out early because of a team crippling, season ending injury to Ben Bishop. You can bet this year that the Lightning will be determined to make amends for that.

Total Watch: Sports books line watch


The playoffs are notorious for low scoring, tight-checking games but the first round can be tricky to navigate because the teams are the healthiest they will be all postseason.


Usually as the post season moves on, the teams start to really make adjustments for their opponents and the games become even tighter. You will see shops set lines at 4.5 goals which we would never see in the regular season.


The greatest-and toughest part of the playoffs is that it turns out to be a war of attrition and teams can look and play extremely different from one series to the next depending on injuries that ultimately occur to every team.


Injury Watch: Patrick Kane of the Chicago Blackhawks


I said it last week and it turned out I was right about the Chicago Blackhawks’ inability to score goals down the stretch without star Patrick Kane. It is not going to get any easier in their first round matchup with Central Division foes the Nashville Predators.


There are rumours that Kane could be back for the first round of the playoffs and that will have to be closely monitored. He has arguably been the biggest difference maker in the entire league the last four Stanley Cup Playoffs.


Kane had surgery for a broken clavicle and was supposed to be out 12 weeks but has been seen skating with his team since week 5 of the injury.


Chicago could sure use him as the team scored just five goals in the final four games of the season in games that the team could have procured home ice advantage but just couldn’t score enough goals.

Playbook: Montreal Canadiens


Teams are pretty tight-lipped about injuries at this time of year and rightfully so with every team looking to exploit weakness in the other side.


Montreal hasn’t said much about an injury that kept leading scorer Max Pacioretty out of the final games of the regular season. Rumour has it the “upper body injury” could both be a concussion or a neck and shoulder related problem. Either way, this could drastically change the way Canadiens play.


Pacioretty is the teams’ leading scorer with 37 goals this year and any time without him could prove costly for a Habs team that doesn’t have a lot of star power up front.


Last season we saw the Habs struggle to win without all-star goalie Carey Price and it will be interesting to see how the team plays if it has to do without its leading scorer.

 

[CNOTES]

Team Open Line Movements Current Puck Line Scores




7:05 PM EDT
1 OTTAWA SENATORS 5u25 5u25 +1.5(-240)
2 MONTREAL CANADIENS -150 -145 / -140 / -145 -150 -1.5(+200)
OTT-G-Andrew Hammond-Probable | MON-G-Carey Price-Probable | TV: NHL, DTV: 215
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7:05 PM EDT
3 NEW YORK ISLANDERS 5o40 5o40 +1.5(-245)
4 WASHINGTON CAPITALS -150 -125 / -130 / -136 -135 -1.5(+205)
NYI-G-Jaroslav Halak-Probable | WAS-G-Braden Holtby-Probable | TV: USA, DTV: 242
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8:35 PM EDT
5 CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS 5 5 +1.5(-315)
6 NASHVILLE PREDATORS -120 -120 -115 -1.5(+260)
CHI-G-Corey Crawford-Probable | CHI-RW-Patrick Kane-Probable | NAS-G-Pekka Rinne-Probable | TV: NBCS, DTV: 220
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10:05 PM EDT
7 CALGARY FLAMES 5o40 5o40 / 5o30 5o25 +1.5(-240)
8 VANCOUVER CANUCKS -145 -140 / -145 / -150 -140 -1.5(+200)
CAL-G-Jonas Hiller-Probable | VAN-G-Eddie Lack-Probable | TV: USA, DTV: 242
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[CNOTES]

The five NBA teams sportsbooks fear most during the playoffs


Apr 14, 2015

The Golden State Warriors entered the 2014-15 NBA season with little respect from oddsmakers. Now, in the final week of the regular season and with the NBA Playoffs just around the corner, the Warriors have sportsbooks shaking in their boots when it comes to their NBA Championship futures odds.


Books across the gambling landscape – be it online, overseas or in Las Vegas – have one thing in common: they’re cheering against Golden State this postseason. The Warriors opened as big as 25/1 at some sportsbooks and have been bet down as low as 3/2, with money coming in on Golden State at every stop.


“We have twice as many wagers on Golden State (to win the NBA title) than we do any other NBA team,” Nick Bogdanovich, US director of trading for William Hill sportsbooks in Nevada, tells Covers. “And it’s not just in (Las Vegas), we have books up north (close to the Bay Area) as well so there’s a lot of action there. They walked them down. It was all gradual and we just eased them (Golden State's odds) down each week and they got lower and lower. It looks like they’re backing a winner.”


Online, at Sportsbook.ag, the action on Golden State picked up when they hired Steve Kerr as their head coach in May 2014. According to oddsmaker Peter Childs, the Warriors were trimmed from 20/1 to 15/1 upon hiring Kerr and the book welcomed the action on Golden State, thinking they had a tough road ahead in the Western Conference.


“Boy, were we wrong,” Childs says of the Warriors’ dominance in the West, taking a NBA-best 66-15 record into their final regular season game against the Denver Nuggets Wednesday.


Fellow online sportsbook, SportsInteraction.com, hung the Warriors as high as 25/1 at the start of the year, and now offer Golden State at 3/1, just behind the Cleveland Cavaliers (who we’ll get to) at +275.


“For the Warriors, we saw significant action in the offseason at 25/1,” Greg Sindall, of Sports Interaction, tells Covers. “We also have some liability on them at 8/1 but the bulk of the action on the Warriors is at around 4/1.”


The Warriors aren’t the only NBA team that can do some serious damage to the futures books this spring. Here are four other NBA teams books fear the most this postseason:


Cleveland Cavaliers (Biggest odds: 60/1, Current odds: 2/1)


Before LeBron James announced his homecoming, and before the Cavs drafted No. 1 overall pick Andrew Wiggins then subsequently traded him to Minnesota for Kevin Love, the Cavaliers were just a bottom-rung Eastern Conference team.


Oddsmakers opened Cleveland as high as 60/1 to win the NBA title but knew in the back of their minds that James could opt out of his deal with Miami and return to his home town. The possibility was enough for bettors to take a flyer on Cleveland and that early money moved the Cavaliers to 40/1 a week before the rumor mill really started gaining speed.


In the next seven days, Cleveland would go to as low as 10/1 to win the NBA title then plummet to 9/2 in the minutes after James officially announced his decision to leave Miami and go back to Cleveland. The public would pile on the Cavs and drove their futures price as low as 5/2 before the start of the season. But by that time, the damage had already been done.


“Man, we’re looking so bad on our NBA futures. Total shit show,” admits Childs. “We wrote a few bets (on Cleveland) at 60/1, some decent action at 50/1 and lots and lots of action at 30/1 all the way down to 10/1. As the speculation became reality, our exposure on the Cavs was in the 500K mark.”


Childs says over the course of the season, the futures book has whittled down the exposure on Cleveland quite a bit but had to offer juicer odds on teams like Chicago and San Antonio to draw money away from the Cavaliers (and Warriors).


San Antonio Spurs (Biggest odds: 10/1, Current odds: 3/1)


It seems like every year the Spurs hold liability for the books as the playoffs draw near and 2014-15 is no different. San Antonio opened around 3/1 to defend its NBA title and a sudden swoon in February dropped the Spurs as far as 10/1.


But like almost every year, San Antonio rallied and takes an 11-game winning streak into its final regular season game versus New Orleans Wednesday. That streak has the Spurs back down around 3/1 to win its second straight NBA title.


“The Spurs were all over the place,” says Bogdanovich. “They've looked like an old team at times this season but look like the ’72 Lakers with the way they're playing right now. We have more money bet on San Antonio than any other team.”


Memphis Grizzlies (Biggest odds: 50/1, Current odds: 30/1)


With the Warriors and Spurs drawing the majority of the futures action in the Western Conference, value opened up on the other contenders in the West and sharps bettors jumped on the Grizzlies at those discount prices.


Memphis opened around 40/1 and jumped to as high as 50/1 before wise guys bet the Grizzlies as low as 14/1. But with action siding on the other teams in the West, and Memphis stumbling a bit after the All-Star break, the Grizz can be had around 30/1 in the final week of the season, if you shop around.


“From the sharp side of things, we took a few four-figure bets on Memphis around +4,000 so we certainly have some liability there,” John Lester of Bookmaker.eu tells Covers. “We are currently offering the Grizz at +1,950.”


Toronto Raptors (Biggest odds: 50/1, Current odds: 50/1)


The Raptors' NBA futures odds are a peculiar line move, opening at 50/1 last spring and playing their way down to as low as 12/1 just before the New Year. However, the Raptors have hit a late-season skid and are now back up to their original odds to win the title at some books.


“The two teams that would do the most damage if they win the championship are Golden State and Toronto,” says Sindall, who currently has Toronto at 33/1 to win the NBA title. “Most of the money on the Raps is at about 25/1 but there is some early action at 40/1 as well.”

 

[CNOTES]

NBA Western Conference betting road map: Value with Jazz


Apr 14, 2015

The curtain is just about closed on the NBA's regular season and the playoffs are right around the corner. Covers Expert Steve Merril takes a look at four Western Conference teams to keep an eye on this week.


Spread Watch


Utah has been one of the best teams in the NBA since the All-Star break.The Jazz are 18-9 SU and 15-10-2 ATS in their 27 games since February 20th.


Utah has two remaining games in their season, and they will face two playoff bound opponents. The Jazz will host Dallas on Monday night; the Mavericks have nothing to play for.


Utah ends their season in Houston on Wednesday night and since the Rockets are battling the Grizzlies for the No. 5 seed, that line is likely to be inflated based on Houston's needs. Utah will likely be a value side play in their final game of the season.


Total Watch


Minnesota's season will mercifully come to an end on Wednesday night. The Timberwolves come into this week with a pathetic 16-64 SU record.


Ironically, Minnesota will face New Orleans on Monday night and Oklahoma City on Wednesday night; the Pelicans and Thunder are fighting for the eighth and final spot in the Western Conference playoffs.


The Timberwolves play zero defense; they've allowed 100 points or more in 20 of their last 23 games. Minnesota will be all offense in their remaining games, so a pair of high-scoring games are likely this week.


Injury Impact


Sacramento will likely play their final two games of the season without their top three scorers. DeMarcus Cousins (24.1), Rudy Gay (21.1), and Darren Collison (16.1) are not expected to return to the court according to head coach George Karl.


"DeMarcus is done for the year," Karl said. "I don't think as an organization we're going to take a chance on Darren. I would say Rudy is borderline out for the season, too."


Sacramento will play the Lakers in both games, and with Los Angeles losing two more guys to injury during their Sunday night game, both teams will be playing non-NBA quality lineups this week.


Playbook


Memphis is in the playoffs, but their seeding and first round match-up is still up in the air. With two regular season games left to play, the Grizzlies currently hold onto the No. 5 seed in the Western Conference.


Memphis is in a predicament. They could move all the way up to the No. 2 seed which includes home court advantage. But they would have to rush Mike Conley, Tony Allen, and Marc Gasol back from injury.


Or will they rest those guys, and sacrifice the better seeding and home court in order to get themselves healthier for the playoffs?

 

[CNOTES]

NBA Eastern Conference betting road map: Beware the 'rest' factor


Apr 14, 2015

We're down to the final three days of the NBA regular season and there are plenty of pitfalls to avoid if you want to head into the playoffs on a high note.


Covers Expert Sean Murphy breaks down what to look for in the Eastern Conference this week.


Spread watch


The Charlotte Hornets are a losing bet on the season and certainly haven't done their backers any favors lately, going 1-4 ATS over their last five games.


Things don't figure to get any easier as the regular season draws to a close this week. Charlotte will host the Houston Rockets in a tough back-to-back spot on Monday before wrapping things up in Toronto on Wednesday night.


With injuries taking their toll and nothing left to play for but pride, there's little reason left to get behind this disappointing squad.


Total watch


Most expected the Cleveland Cavaliers to boast one of the strongest offenses of all time this season and while they have impressed, they've fallen well short of legendary status.


Not surprisingly, the Cavs have been one of the league's best 'under' bets, largely due to those lofty expectations. Things haven't changed a whole lot down the stretch as the 'under' has cashed in four of their last six games.


There are two opportunities remaining to ride that wave of 'unders', as Cleveland hosts Detroit and Washington on Monday and Wednesday. Note that Cavs home games are averaging under 199 total points this season.


Injury impact


For this section I just want to offer a word of warning as you prepare to tackle the final three cards of the NBA regular season. Don't make any moves before checking out the injury report as a number of teams will be resting players, while others on non-playoff bound teams will get shut down as a result of nagging injuries.


We've already seen the 'rest' factor come into play with the Cavs sitting LeBron James on Sunday in Boston. Expect other title contenders that are locked in playoff position to follow suit this week.


Playbook


The Atlanta Hawks aren't easing their way into the postseason. They've actually stepped up the pace in recent contests, perhaps in an effort to ramp up for the challenges they'll face in the coming weeks.


While the Hawks are the number one seed in the East, few are giving them much of a chance to reach the Finals. This isn't the type of veteran team that can let off the gas down the stretch and cruise into round one.


I expect to see Atlanta continue to force the issue in matchups with New York and Chicago this week, noting that the Hawks entered Sunday's action having gone 7-2 ATS over their last nine games. I don't believe this is the time to step in front of a team that has simply been a runaway train from an ATS perspective this season.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB Baseball Trends - Season to Date


Straight Up Trends (Won Loss)
Category Record Percent


Away Teams 65-50 56.52%


Home Teams 50-65 43.48%


Favorites 56-58 49.12%


Dogs 58-56 50.88%


Away Favorites 19-13 59.38%


Away Dogs 45-37 54.88%


Home Favorites 37-45 45.12%


Home Dogs 13-19 40.62%




Against The Spread Trends (ATS)
Category Record Percent


Away Teams 71-44 61.74%


Home Teams 44-71 38.26%


Favorites 38-77 33.04%


Dogs 77-38 66.96%


Away Favorites 16-22 42.11%


Away Dogs 55-22 71.43%


Home Favorites 22-55 28.57%


Home Dogs 22-16 57.89%


Over vs. Under Trends


Category Overs Percent Unders Percent


Extra Inning Games 10 76.92% 3 23.08%


Non-Extra Inning Games 56 57.14% 42 42.86%


All Games 66 59.46% 45 40.54%

 

[CNOTES]

Stanley Cup Best Bets


April 14, 2015




The NHL playoffs are here, with the New York Rangers coming in as the favorite with 6/1 odds to win it all. The Chicago Blackhawks are once again the favorites to win the Western Conference with 7/1 odds, but there are two other conference foes right there with them with Anaheim at 8/1 and St. Louis at 15/1. The Winnipeg Jets are the biggest longshot at 30/1 to hoist Lord Stanley's Cup in mid-June.


Odds to Win 2015 Stanley Cup per Sportsbook.ag


New York Rangers 6/1
Anaheim Ducks 8/1
Chicago Blackhawks 8/1
Minnesota Wild 8/1
St. Louis Blues 8/1
Montreal Canadiens 9/1
Nashville Predators 12/1
Tampa Bay Lightning 12/1
Ottawa Senators 16/1
Pittsburgh Penguins 16/1
Vancouver Canucks 16/1
Detroit Red Wings 18/1
New York Islanders 18/1
Washington Capitals 18/1
Calgary Flames 20/1
Winnipeg Jets 25/1


Teams to Watch


New York Rangers (6/1) - It’s never exciting to pick chalk, but this team has been absolutely dominant in the second half of the season. The Rangers are going to be fueled by last season’s defeat at the hands of the Los Angeles Kings and will look to hoist the trophy come June. LW Rick Nash (42 G, 27 A) is a different player now than he was a year ago, playing with more confidence than he did at any point last season. If he gets it going then few can get in the way of the Rangers. The addition of D Keith Yandle (6 G, 46 A) also gives this team a nearly flawless blueline. The Rangers will, however, need a healthy D Kevin Klein (9 G, 17 A) in order to win it all this season and he has not played since Mar. 11.


Chicago Blackhawks (7/1) - The Blackhawks finished the season with just the fourth most points in the Western Conference, but the team was also without RW Patrick Kane (27 G, 37 A) for a big chunk of the season. Kane, who was dealing with an upper body injury at the end of the year, was cleared for contact on Monday and should return at some point in the first round for this team. Even without their best player, the Blackhawks still finished the season with a +40 goal differential. This team is explosive offensively and G Corey Crawford (32-20-5, 2.27 GAA, 92.4 SV%) has plenty of big game experience. The Blackhawks are an excellent pick to come out of the west and win the Stanley Cup.


Tampa Bay Lightning (12/1) - The Lightning are a very interesting pick to win the Stanley Cup this season, as this team is extremely well rounded. Tampa Bay finished the season with more goals than any other team in the league, putting in 262 on the year. C Steven Stamkos (43 G, 25 A) is one of the league’s most dominant players when he gets it going and the Lightning also have guys like C Tyler Johnson (29 G, 43 A), RW Ryan Callahan (24 G, 30 A) and C Brian Boyle (15 G, 9 A) who bring a bit of everything to this lineup. Tampa Bay has the perfect mix of scoring and toughness and will be a tough out for many in the postseason. The Lightning also went 32-8-1 at home this season, so it will not be easy for their opponents to win when they’re not on their home ice.


Washington Capitals (20/1) - The Capitals are one last team that would be a good pick to win the Stanley Cup out of the Eastern Conference. The Caps are getting very favorable odds and were one of the hottest teams in the league to end the season. From the start of December until the end of the season, Washington went 35-18-7. LW Alex Ovechkin (53 G, 28 A) is still the toughest player in the entire league to stop on offense and he will make it so that opposing teams are always keeping an eye on him. The Capitals also scored on 25.3% of their power-play opportunities this season, and that type of efficiency will make them very tough to beat in the postseason.


Calgary Flames (25/1) - The Flames won five of their past seven games heading into the postseason and that was ultimately the reason they were able to take the final spot in the Western Conference playoffs. This team is not considered threatening by many, but it can really light it up offensively. The Flames are averaging 2.9 goals per game (6th in NHL) and scoring on 18.8% of their power-play opportunities (13th in NHL). LW Jiri Hudler (31 G, 45 A), LW Johnny Gaudreau (24 G, 40 A) and C Sean Monahan (31 G, 31 A) are all very talented offensive players and if they can get hot, the Flames could make an improbable run to the Stanley Cup Finals. This team is a longshot to win, but is worth a small play at 25-to-1 based on talent alone.

 

[CNOTES]

Playoff Cheat Sheet - West


April 12, 2015




Eastern Conference


Anaheim Ducks vs. Winnipeg Jets


2014-15 Head to Head Record: Ducks lead 3-0, Over 2-1
JetsLost 2 meetings as a Home Favorite
Ducks 5-2 All-Time vs Jets since 2011


Anaheim Ducks
(Record: 51-24-7, 109 Pts; Won Pacific Division Title & #1 Seed)
O/U Record: (1 Over at 6/ 22-35 at 5.5/ 12-8-4 at 5)
Power Play: (15.7%; Ranked #28)
Penalty Kill: (81%; Ranked #15)
Number of OT/SO Games: 23


Last Playoff Appearance: 2014
(Beat Dallas in 6, Lost to Los Angeles in 7)
10-10 SU, 8-7-5 O/U & 7-11 ATS Last 3 series


Current Form: On a 9-4 SU & 5-6-2 O/U run
Scored 2 or More Goals in 12 of their Last 13 Games
Only 1 Power-Play Goal in their last 23 Chances (4.3%)


Winnipeg Jets
(Record: 43-26-13, 99 Pts)
O/U Record: (24-16 at 5.5/ 18-18-6 at 5)
Power Play: (17.8%; Ranked #17)
Penalty Kill: (81.8%; Ranked #12)
Number of OT/SO Games: 24


Last Playoff Appearance: None as the Winnipeg Jets
Made Postseason as Atlanta Thrashers in 2007


Current Form: Won 4 of their Last 5, 6-2 SU Last 8 at Home


St. Louis Blues vs. Minnesota Wild


2014-15 Head to Head Record: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 O/U
Home Teams & Favorites split
Blues 7-3 SU Last 10 Meetings


St. Louis Blues
(Record: 51-24-7, 109 Pts; Won Central Division Title)
O/U Record: (17-14 at 5.5/ 18-16-16 at 5 /1 Over at 4.5)
Power Play: (22.3%; Ranked #3)
Penalty Kill: (83.7%; Ranked #8)
Number of OT/SO Games: 21


Last Playoff Appearance: 2014 (Lost to Chicago in 6)
8-13 SU, 9-11-1 O/U & 6-15 ATS Last 3 years


Current Form: On a 6-4 SU & 3-5-2 O/U Run
G Jake Allen 4-1 SU Last 5 Starts
PK Unit: 19 Kills / 20 Chances Last 7 Games


Minnesota Wild
(Record: 46-28-8, 100 Pts)
O/U Record: (9-17 at 5.5/ 21-21-14 at 5)
Power Play: (15.8%; Ranked #27)
Penalty Kill: (86.3%; Ranked: #1)
Number of OT/SO Games: 16


Last Playoff Appearance: 2014
(Beat Colorado in 7, Lost to Chicago in 6)
7-11 SU, 9-7-2 O/U & 9-9 ATS Last 3 series


Current Form: On a 2-4 SU & 2-2-2 O/U run
Won 12 of their last 13 Road Games


Chicago Blackhawks vs. Nashville Predators


2014-15 Head to Head Record: Hawks lead 3-1, 1-3 O/U
Favorite won in 3 of 4 meetings, Home team won 3 of 4
Blackhawks: 9-5 SU Last 14 meetings since 2013 Lockout Season
Predators: Lost 2010 Western Conf. Quarterfinal to Chicago in 6 Games


Nashville Predators
(Record: 47-25-10, 104 Pts)
O/U Record: (11-19 at 5.5/ 21-18-13 at 5)
Power Play: (16.2%; Ranked #25)
Penalty Kill: (80.8%; Ranked #18)
Number of OT/SO Games: 24


Last Playoff Apperance: 2012
(Beat Detroit in 5, Lost to Phoenix in 5)
5-5 SU, 5-2-3 O/U and 5-5 ATS in 2012 Playoffs


Current Form: On an 0-6 SU & 4-2 O/U run
Allowed 3 or More Goals in 7 consecutive games


Chicago Blackhawks
(Record: 48-28-6, 102 Pts)
O/U Record: (1 over at 6 /14-32 at 5.5/ 11-12-12 at 5)
Power Play: (17.6%; Ranked #20)
Penalty Kill: (83.4%; Ranked #10)
Number of OT/SO Games: 18


Last Playoff Appearance: 2014 (Beat St. Louis in 6,
Beat Minnesota in 6, Lost to Los Angeles in 7)
29-19 SU, 22-19-7 O/U & 24-24 ATS Last 3 Years
0-9 SU in 1st Road Game of a Series since 2010 Cup Final


Current Form: On a 0-4 SU run after a 4 game winning streak
3-8-3 O/U Last 14 Games; 3/23 on the Power-Play Last 10 games


Calgary Flames vs. Vancouver Canucks


2014-15 Head to Head Record: 2-2 SU, 1-2-1 O/U
Favorite Covered in 3 of the 4 Meetings
Canucks: 14-6 SU Last 20 vs Flames


Vancouver Canucks
(Record: 48-29-5, 101 Pts)
O/U Record: (16-25 at 5.5/ 19-10-12 at 5)
Power Play: (19.3%; Ranked #10)
Penalty Kill: (85.7%; Ranked: #2)
Number of OT/SO Games: 16


Last Playoff Appearance: 2013 (Lost to San Jose in 4)
(0-4 SU, 2-1-1 O/U & 1-3 ATS in that series)


Currently on a 5-2 SU & 3-3-1 O/U Run
Won 4 of their last 5 games as an Underdog


Calgary Flames
(Record: 45-30-7, 97 Pts)
O/U Record: (16-31 at 5.5/ 19-7-7 at 5/ 1 Under at 4.5)
Power Play: (18.8%; Ranked #13)
Penalty Kill: (80.6%; Ranked #20)
Number of OT/SO Games: 20


Current Form: On a 4-2 SU & 5-8 O/U Run


Flames have committed 1 penalty or less in 8 of their last 13 games,
with 4 of those contests penalty-free


Last Playoff Apperance: 2009 (Lost to Chicago in 6)
(2-4 SU, 3-3 O/U & 4-2 ATS in that series)


Game 7 Notes


Home teams have won 12 of the last 22 Game 7's


2015 Playoff Teams with Most Game 7's Since 2011
Rangers (6; 5-1)
Canadiens (4; 1-3)
Red Wings (3; 1-2)
Blackhawks (3; 1-2)
Penguins (2; 1-1)
Ducks (2; 0-2)


Overtime Notes


2014
26 OT Games
14 in Round 1
5 in Round 2
4 in Conference Finals
3 in Stanley Cup Final


2013
27 OT Games
17 in Round 1
5 in Round 2
2 in Conference Finals
2 in Stanley Cup Final


2012
25 OT Games
16 in Round 1
5 in Round 2
2 in Conference Finals
2 in Stanley Cup Final


2011
22 OT Games
14 in Round 1
6 in Round 2
1 in Conference Finals
1 in Stanley Cup Final


2015 Playoff Teams Overtime Records Since 2011


Western Conference
Blackhawks (12-8)
Predators (2-2)
Blues (3-4)
Wild (3-4)
Canucks (4-5)
Flames (NA)
Ducks (2-5)
Jets (NA)

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Steph Curry recently made 77 straight 3-pointers at practice. 77. In a row.

-- Mets lost David Wright (hamstring) for a while; Eric Campbell comes up from AAA to take his place on roster, if need be.

-- Happy belated 74th birthday to Pete Rose; hsi birthday was yesterday.

-- Miami Heat are first defending champs to miss NBA playoffs since '05 Lakers.

-- Oakland A's are 4-0 when they score in first inning, 1-4 when they don't.

-- Justise Winslow leaves Duke after one season; he is the 34th undergraduate to enter the NBA Draft- there are only 60 picks in the whole draft.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Some mid-week thoughts........

13) On Steph Curry making 77 3-pointers in a row at a Warriors' practice; long time ago, I rebounded for a guy who made 106 foul shots in a row. As student manager of the basketball team in college, rebounding for shooters was part of the job, actually one of the better parts, unless it was a bad shooter, then it was too damn much running for this rebounder, even at age 20.

Anyway, this got boring real fast; all I did was hold my right hand under the basket and flip the ball back to him, 106 times in a row. He was a player who never played a significant minute during games, I wanted to go home (this was right before end of practice), but it was cool to see how someone could shoot the ball so well. Practice makes perfect.

12) Milt Pappas went 209-164 during a 17-year pitching career that ended in 1973; he was on the Cubs' TV broadcast last night, before he sang Take Me Out to the Ballgame during the 7th inning stretch.

Pappas sparked a quick, interesting discussion about whether pitchers get hurt a lot these days because they do too much weightlifting. he seemed adamant that they do, but half-inning ended before they could get too much more into the subject. Too bad, it was a different perspective that deserves to be heard.

11) Kid from Arizona named Markus Howard is going to finish his high school years at Findlay Prep in Las Vegas, to enhance his basketball career. Who do these kids live with when they move to another state for high school? Giving up your senior year in high school at home is a big sacrifice, I would think.

10) Can you imagine the internal discussions in San Diego that apparently are going on about trading Philip Rivers for a draft pick? Peoples' jobs are on the line with a move like this; Rivers doesn't want to move his family to LA if the Chargers move there, which is partially sparking this debate.

9) Wisconsin-Green Bay hired Linc Darner as its new basketball coach; he comes to Green Bay from Northern Florida, where he won the national title in D-II this season. This is the opposite of Bobby Hurley winning the weather lottery, going from Buffalo to Arizona State; Lakeland, FL to Green Bay is one of the worst weather trades you can make. Good luck recruiting, coach.

8) Russell Wilson's agent must get an angina attack every time he sees his client wearing a baseball uniform. Wilson played 93 games over two summers in Class A ball for Colorado farm teams; he hit .229, so he's not a major league prospect, seeing as this was 4-5 years ago. Why he would risk injury before he gets his big payday is a mystery to me.

7) Christian Yelich of the Marlins made a great catch in leftfield Monday night in Atlanta, which the Braves stupidly challenged, even though it was obvious on the replay that Yelich caught the ball. Doesn't every team have an eye in the sky to advise on replay reviews? Atlanta might not have one, for sure and if they do, they need a new one.

6) It is amazing to me how many people are talking SEC football.....in April. On the SEC Network, there is this radio show and the guy talks about football 364 days a year. They discuss Ole Miss special teams or Florida's lack of depth on the offensive line all spring/summer and they know a lot of stuff. It is intense.

5) Saskatchewan Roughriders of the CFL have training camp in Florida; is it still snowing in Regina? It can't still be snowing there, can it?

4) Dick LeBeau was forced out as defensive coordinator of the Steelers; their defense is going to be a lot younger this season. Five defenders who played 200+ plays LY have already departed Steel City and three of the five retired. As for LeBeau, he has moved on to coach the defense with the Tennessee Titans- he has been in the NFL as a player or coach for the last 56 years.

3) Actor Kevin James is a huge Met fan; he even wore a Mets road jersey to the Hollywood premiere of **** Cop 2. If there is a God in heaven, there will be no **** Cop 3; America can have only so much fun.

2) I watch the A's every night on DirecTV; I'm trying to figure out how Seattle and Arizona fired Bob Melvin as manager. He is really good, very calm and his teams reflect that. Platooning drives me nuts a little but it is what the A's do and it has been mostly very good for them. They're lucky to have Melvin.

1) NHL playoffs start tonight, the best playoffs of any sport. 7-game series are better in hockey than the NBA, with so many more variables in a single game because of the bouncing puck. Takes 16 wins to win the Cup; its a grind.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 154

National League
Marlins @ Braves
Haren is 0-1, 2.50 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four.

Stults is 1-0, 1.96 in his last three starts; four of his last five home starts went over the total.

Miami lost five of last seven games with Atlanta; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Marlins lost six of first eight games; Braves won six of first eight, with four of last five games going over total.

Phillies @ Mets
Buchanan is 0-2, 6.60 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Harvey is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts; under is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

Mets won eight of last ten games with Philly (over 6-3-1). Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Phils games- they've scored 21 runs in 3-5 start, are 0-7-1 in first five innings. Five of last six Met games went over the total. New York won its last three games, allowing eight runs.

Reds @ Cubs
Marquis is 0-3, 12.42 in his last seven starts; eight of last ten went over.

Wood is 0-3, 8.83 in his last four starts; six of his last nine stayed under.

Home side is 9-3 in last 12 Cincinnati-Cub games; Chicago won six of last nine meetings. Cubs won four of last six games overall. Reds lost three of last four after a 4-0 start.

Brewers @ Cardinals
Peralta is 2-1, 1.82 in his last five starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Lynn is 0-3, 2.62 in his last seven starts, five of which stayed under; St Louis scored 13 runs in those seven games.

Milwaukee lost seven of last ten games with St Louis; three of last four meetings stayed under total. Brewers are off to 2-5 start; four of their last five games went over. Cardinals are off to a 3-3 start, with three of last four games going over total.

Diamondbacks @ Padres
Anderson is 1-1, 5.57 in his last four starts; over is 8-1-1 in his last ten.

Morrow is 0-1, 4.30 in his last three starts.

San Diego lost five of last seven games with Arizona (over 5-2). Padres won four of last five games, scoring 25 runs- over is 6-3 in their games.

Rockies @ Giants
Matzek is 4-2, 1.61 in his last seven starts, six of which stayed under.

Luncecum is 1-1, 4.91 in his last three starts.

Road team won seven of first eight Colorado (6-2) games. Rockies are 8-4 in last dozen games with the Giants. SF lost its last five games, outscored 23-7. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

American League
Bronx @ Baltimore
Eovaldi is 0-4, 5.45 in his last six starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. .

Norris is 4-1, 4.50 in his last seven starts; seven of his last ten went over.

Bronx lost six of last eight games at Camden Yards; four of last five in series went over total. Six of last seven Bronx games went over total. Orioles lost four of last six games; over is 5-2-1 in their first eight games this season.

Rays @ Blue Jays
Ramirez is making first '15 start; he is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts- four of his last six starts stayed under.

Buehrle is 3-1, 2.85 in his last six starts- four his last five went over total; he got his 200th career win in his last start.

Road team won eight of last nine Tampa-Toronto games, with Rays winning four of last five; Tampa won five of last six games overall. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Toronto games. Blue Jays lost three of last four games.

White Sox @ Indians
Danks is 2-1, 2.92 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Bauer didn't allow hit in first '15 start, throwing 111 pitches, only six of which were hit in fair territory; overall, he is 1-1, 4.37 in his last six starts, with three of last four going over the total.

Cleveland won six of last eight games with the White Sox; eight of last nine stayed under the total. Indians lost last four games overall, allowing 29 runs- their bullpen threw nine innings last night, after Carrasco was injured.

Angels @ Rangers
Rucinski is making first MLB start; he's allowed four runs in 9.1 IP in his four MLB appearances- he was 10-6, 3.15 in 26 AA starts LY.

Martinez is 3-1, 1.44 in his last four starts; four of his last five starts at home stayed under the total.

Road team won nine of last twelve Angel-Ranger games; Angels are 8-4 in those twelve games, with five of last six going over. Angels lost four of last five games overall, giving up 30 runs- five of their last six went over. Texas lost three of its last five games.

A's @ Astros
Pomeranz is 1-0, 0.52 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

McHugh is 6-0, 1.96 in his last six starts; six of his last seven stayed under. .

Oakland won four of its last five games in Houston. Four of last five A's-Astros games stayed under. Six of last seven Oakland games went over. Six of first eight Astro games stayed under. Houston lost last four home games. A's are 1-4 when they score less than eight runs.

Royals @ Twins
Volquez is 3-1, 2.38 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight.

Gibson is 2-3, 7.00 in his last five starts; six of his last nine went over.

Kansas City won its first seven games this year; they've won eight of last ten games with Minnesota. Twins stumbled out of gates with a 1-6 start- they got booed at their home opener. Five of last seven Royal games went over.

Interleague
Tigers @ Pirates
Simon is 3-1, 3.26 in his last five starts, last three of which went over.

Liriano is 4-0, 1.59 in his last eight starts (under 5-2-1). He was on paternity list over the weekend, hasn't pitched in nine days.

Tigers won seven of first eight games, scoring 52 runs; four of their last five went over the total. Pittsburgh won three of last five games. Home side won seven of last eight Detroit-Pittsburgh games; Pirates won six of last nine series games.

Nationals @ Red Sox
Strasburg is 4-3, 2.29 in his last eight starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Masterson is 2-2, 5.68 in his last five starts; his last three stayed under.

Boston won six of its first eight games this year; eight of last ten games with the Nationals went over. Nats lost five of last six games- they've led six of eight games after five innings, but won only three of the eight.

Mariners @ Dodgers
Walker is 1-2, 6.35 in his last three starts; he allowed nine runs in 3.1 IP in his first '15 outing.

Oft-injured Anderson is 1-0, 1.84 in his last five starts; three of his last four starts that weren't in Colorado stayed under total.

Seattle played in extra innings three of last four days, blew lead in 9th inning in the other; they're 5-4 in last nine games at Dodger Stadium, but lost last four games overall with LA. Last six Mariner games went over total.

Umpires
-- Mia-Atl-- Favorites won seven of last eight Porter games.
-- Phil-NY-- Six of last eight Bellino games went over.
-- Cin-Chi-- Last three Fletcher games went over total.
-- Mil-StL-- Four of last five Hoye games stayed under.
-- Az-SD-- Underdogs are 12-7 in last nineteen Johnson games.
-- Col-SF-- Underdogs won three of last four Carlson games.

-- Chi-Cle-- Underdogs won nine of last thirteen Carapazza games.
-- NY-Balt-- Eight of last eleven Barber games stayed under.
-- TB-Tor-- 11 of last 13 Nelson games stayed under total.
-- LA-Tex-- 12 of last 15 Iassogna games stayed under.
-- A's-Hst-- Six of last seven TWelke games stayed under.
-- KC-Min-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.

-- Wsh-Bos-- Over is 14-5-1 in last 20 Schrieber games.
-- Det-Pitt-- Home side won seven of last eight Layne games.
-- Sea-LA-- Eight of last ten Hudson games stayed under.

 

[CNOTES]

Team Open Line Movements Current Moneyline Halftime Scores




7:05 PM EDT
501 CHARLOTTE HORNETS 195.5 195.5 / 196.5 197.5
FREE
502 TORONTO RAPTORS -11.5 -11.5 / -11 -10.5 HOT PICK
Time-change to 07:05pm EDT | CHA-F-Al Jefferson-Doubtful | TV: ESPN, DTV: 206
FREE MATCH UP5-STAR PICKSTOP POWER LINESVEGAS ODDSFREE PICKSBOX SCORERECAPPROJECTIONSBET NOW




8:05 PM EDT
503 OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -13.5 -05 -14 -02 / -14 +02 / -13.5 -05 -14 -1600
504 MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES 215.5 215.5 / 214.5 213.5 +1075
OKC-F-Serge Ibaka-OUT | OKC-F-Kevin Durant-OUT | MIN-G-Kevin Martin-? | TV: FS-North, FS-Oklahoma, DTV: 668, 676
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8:05 PM EDT
505 ATLANTA HAWKS 194.5 196 / 196o25 / 197.5 199
506 CHICAGO BULLS -3 -7 / -6.5 -05 / -6.5 -7
ATL-F-Paul Millsap-Probable | TV: CSN-Chicago, SportsSouth, DTV: 646, 665
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8:05 PM EDT
507 PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS 206 206 / 206.5 207.5
508 DALLAS MAVERICKS -6 -6 -7
POR-F-LaMarcus Aldridge-Probable | POR-SG-Wesley Matthews-OUT | DAL-F-Chandler Parsons-Doubtful | TV: FS-Southwest, DTV: 676
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8:05 PM EDT
509 UTAH JAZZ 194 194 / 195 / 195.5 195
510 HOUSTON ROCKETS -9.5 -11 -15 / -11 -19 / -11.5 -11.5 -15
UTA-F-Gordon Hayward-OUT | TV: FS-Southwest, ROOT-Northwest, DTV: 676, 687
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8:05 PM EDT
511 SAN ANTONIO SPURS -4.5 -05 -5 -15 / -5.5 -08 / -5.5 -06 -5.5 -215
512 NEW ORLEANS PELICANS 196 196 / 195 193.5 +193
NWO-G-Jrue Holiday-Probable | TV: FS-Southwest, DTV: 676
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8:05 PM EDT
513 WASHINGTON WIZARDS 194 194 195.5
514 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -10 -10 -05 / -9.5 -05 / -9 -8.5
CLE-G-Kyrie Irving-? | CLE-F-LeBron James-? | TV: CSN-DC, FS-Ohio, DTV: 643, 661
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8:05 PM EDT
515 ORLANDO MAGIC 203 203 +311
516 BROOKLYN NETS -8 -05 -8 +01 / -8 -02 / -8 EVEN -8 -357
TV: FS-Florida, YES, DTV: 631, 654
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8:05 PM EDT
517 BOSTON CELTICS 198 198 / 199.5 200
518 MILWAUKEE BUCKS -4 -4 / -5.5 -6.5
TV: CSN-New Engalnd, FS-Wisconsin, DTV: 630, 669
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8:05 PM EDT
519 DETROIT PISTONS -5.5 -5.5 / -6 / -7 -7 -15
520 NEW YORK KNICKS 195.5 195.5 194
DET-G-Brandon Jennings-OUT | NY-F-Carmelo Anthony-OUT | TV: FS-Detroit, MSG, DTV: 634, 663
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9:35 PM EDT
521 INDIANA PACERS 185 185 / 186 184.5
522 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES -4.5 -3 -15 / -3 -05 / -2.5 +05 -1.5
Time-change to 09:35pm EDT | MEM-F-Marc Gasol-? | MEM-G-Mike Conley-? | TV: ESPN, FS-Indiana, SportsSouth, DTV: 206, 646, 673
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8:05 PM EDT
523 MIAMI HEAT -2.5 194 / 196.5 / 197.5 197
524 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 194 -2.5 / -3 -15 / -3 -2.5
MIA-F-Chris Bosh-OUT | PHI-G-Tony Wroten-OUT | TV: SunSports, DTV: 653
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10:35 PM EDT
525 DENVER NUGGETS 220 220 219
526 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -11.5 -11.5 / -11.5 -06 / -11 EVEN -10.5
TV: Altitude, CSN-Bay, DTV: 681, 696
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10:35 PM EDT
527 SACRAMENTO KINGS 205 205
528 LOS ANGELES LAKERS -3.5 -3.5
SAC-C-DeMarcus Cousins-OUT | SAC-F-Rudy Gay-OUT | SAC-G-Darren Collison-OUT | LAL-G-Kobe Bryant-OUT | TV: CSN-California, DTV: 698
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[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (33 - 48) at TORONTO (48 - 33) - 4/15/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 160-200 ATS (-60.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 37) at MINNESOTA (16 - 65) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-45 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 326-386 ATS (-98.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 181-232 ATS (-74.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 42-55 ATS (-18.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (60 - 21) at CHICAGO (49 - 32) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (51 - 30) at DALLAS (49 - 32) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (38 - 43) at HOUSTON (55 - 26) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (55 - 26) at NEW ORLEANS (44 - 37) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 99-85 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 405-339 ATS (+32.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 73-53 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 323-268 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 186-230 ATS (-67.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 8-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (46 - 35) at CLEVELAND (52 - 29) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (25 - 56) at BROOKLYN (37 - 44) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 34-47 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 8-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (39 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (41 - 40) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 45-33 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
BOSTON is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 50-70 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 327-392 ATS (-104.2 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 48-80 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 74-102 ATS (-38.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (31 - 50) at NEW YORK (17 - 64) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 34-45 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (38 - 43) at MEMPHIS (54 - 27) - 4/15/2015, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (36 - 45) at PHILADELPHIA (18 - 63) - 4/15/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (30 - 51) at GOLDEN STATE (66 - 15) - 4/15/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 111-80 ATS (+23.0 Units) in April games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-46 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-6 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-8 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (28 - 53) at LA LAKERS (21 - 60) - 4/15/2015, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SACRAMENTO is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 158-200 ATS (-62.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 138-177 ATS (-56.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 54-83 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 8-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 15

Hot Teams
-- Raptors won three of their last four games.
-- Chicago won its last three games by 11-7-27 points.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games.
-- Jazz won four of last five games (4-0-1 vs spread). Houston won five of its last seven games.
-- Spurs won their last 11 games (9-2 vs spread). Pelicans are 7-3 in last ten games, make playoffs with win here.
-- Wizards won five of their last seven games. Cavaliers are 7-3 in last ten games, covered one of last five.
-- Celtics won/covered their last five games. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games.
-- Knicks won last two games by total of five points.
-- Pacers won last six games; they need win to make playoffs.
-- Warriors won eight of last ten games, covered one of last five.

Cold Teams
-- Hornets lost last five games (1-3 vs spread last four).
-- Thunder lost five of their last seven games. Minnesota lost 10 of last 11 games, is 3-2 vs spread in last five.
-- Hawks lost last two games, by 4-9 points.
-- Portland lost four of its last five games.
-- Orlando lost last three games by total of ten points. Nets lost three of last four games to jeopardize playoff slot.
-- Pistons lost five of last seven games.
-- Memphis lost last two games, is 4-6 in its last ten.
-- Heat lost six of last eight games, has been eliminated. 76ers lost last nine games (3-6 vs spread).
-- Denver lost six of its last eight games (3-1 last four vs spread).
-- Kings lost eight of their last ten games. Lakers lost seven of last eight games.

Series Records
-- Hornets won six of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Thunder won last six games (4-2 vs spread) with Minnesota.
-- Hawks beat Chicago this season by 7-8 points, after losing six in row to Bulls before that.
-- Mavericks are 5-3 in last eight games with Portland.
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games with Utah.
-- Spurs won six of last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Cavaliers won seven of last ten games with Washington.
-- Nets won eight of last ten games with Orlando.
-- Bucks won six of last eight games with Boston.
-- Knicks lost three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Pacers lost seven of last ten games with Memphis.
-- Heat won seven of last ten games with Philly (4-5-1 vs spread).
-- Warriors covered seven of last ten games with Denver.
-- Home side won last five Sacramento-Laker games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Charlotte-Toronto games went over.
-- Six of last nine Thunder games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Dallas games went over; four of Portland's last five stayed under.
-- Last five Utah games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Washington-Cleveland tilts stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Orlando games stayed under.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under; three of Bucks' last four games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Detroit-NY games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Indiana-Memphis stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Miami games went over total.
-- Three of last four Denver games went over total.
-- Three of last four Laker games went over the total.

East vs West
SU: West 242-177 ATS: West 214-202-3
East teams HF vs West: 56-57
East teams HU vs West: 46-52
West teams HF vs East: 81-79-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-21

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, April 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Spurs at Pelicans
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans (OFF, OFF)

The New Orleans Pelicans are facing a must-win in the final game of the regular season as they attempt to hold off the Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference. The Pelicans won’t get much sympathy on Wednesday from the visiting San Antonio Spurs, who are fighting for the No. 2 spot.

New Orleans is tied with the Thunder but owns the head-to-head tiebreaker, meaning the Pelicans get the spot opposite top-seeded Golden State in the first round if both win on Wednesday. Anthony Davis helped ensure New Orleans would control its own destiny by putting up 24 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks in a 100-88 win at Minnesota on Monday. “We know that we’ve got the upper hand,” Davis told reporters. “We know if we tie we are in (the playoffs) so we just need to go out there and play. The pressure is really on (the Thunder).” Just going out and playing might not be enough against the Spurs, who are coming in with an 11-game winning streak.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FSN Southwest (San Antonio), FSN New Orleans

INJURY REPORT: Spurs - F Matt Bonner (Ques-Calf), C Tiago Splitter (Out-Calf) Pelicans - G Jrue Holiday (Prob-Leg)

POWER RANKINGS: Spurs (-11.2) + Pelicans (-6) + Homecourt (-3) = Pelicans +2.2

ABOUT THE SPURS (55-26 SU, 41-38-2 ATS 38-43 O/U): San Antonio was battling for the No. 7 seed at the end of February but has since won 21 of 24 to reestablish itself as a title contender. The Spurs are battling the Los Angeles Clippers, Houston Rockets and Memphis Grizzlies for the second-best record in the West and can lock up homecourt advantage in the first round with a win on Wednesday. San Antonio is riding 38-year-old Tim Duncan of late, and the future Hall of Famer has responded with 51 points on 19-of-26 shooting, 20 rebounds and five blocks combined in the last two games.

ABOUT THE PELICANS (44-37 SU, 44-37 ATS, 41-40 O/U): New Orleans has won seven of its last 10 games to put itself in this position, but those three losses have all come against West teams above it in the standings. Those three all came on the road, however, and the Pelicans have taken four straight in their own building. “We’re learning how to win big games and we have a chance to do something that this group hasn’t done before, and that’s play in the playoffs,” guard Quincy Pondexter told reporters. “It’s (Davis’) first time and a couple other guys’ first time, so they just need to embrace the moment, have fun with it and hopefully we make it.”

TRENDS:

*Home team is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
*Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
*Under is 6-1 in Pelicans last 7 overall.
*Over is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 games following a ATS loss.