BEST BET MONDAY 12/8 EARLY BIRD

OccamsRazor · Dec 8, 2003

RECORD YTD 10-3
SIDES 7-2
TOTALS 3-1

Won last night with the UNDER in the Laker/Utah game.

Will this be the night that Orlando snaps its losing streak? Looking around the Net a great deal of bettors belive so. To break their losing streak, Orlando is going to have to play defense. Playing defense and Mcgrady’s struggles from the floor point me to an UNDER bet.

From the Net: “McGrady's continued to struggle shooting from the field as the Magic dropped a 110-97 decision to the Mavericks for their 19th consecutive loss. McGrady connected on only nine of 24 field goal attempts, and now has shot a mere .337 from the floor in his last four games.”

These two met up earlier in Phoenix and the Total was 185. Linesmaker put out an 197 that’s been bet up to 198. 197 opening is based on the high Totals this series has resulted in when playing in Orlando.

Orlando tonight will be playing with a lot of determination in order to avoid humiliation and embarrassment. (DEFENSE) McGrady’s resent struggles from the floor though give me a comfort zone to the UNDER. My figures have the TOTAL landing in a 180-190 range.

UNDER 198 ORLANDO/PHOENIX.

simplyjim1976 · Dec 8, 2003

a person after my own heart. i believe all games are under until proven otherwise especially games in the 195 and up range.

OccamsRazor · Dec 8, 2003

Pinnacle line now down to 196' Not a good sign here. I like to be on the opposite side of a line move. When the line at Pinnacle moves in the direction that I bet; (ie I like the UNDER and the line goes lower or I like the OVER and the line goes higher) is an indication that I'm on the side that the money is flowing in from. Whether is public money or sharp money makes no difference.(I don't think that there is a way to tell public money or sharp money apart unless you are on the other side of the counter taking the bet and you know know who your sharp players are.) Today's move is indicative that a lot of money is coming in been on the UNDER since the line was at 198.

OccamsRazor · Dec 8, 2003

My fears realized after the first quarter.Orlando didn't show up defensively. Seems lots and lots of people on the UNDER and on Orlando. Still time though...

OccamsRazor · Dec 8, 2003

Looking better at the half. Tracy done his part so far (1-7) Orlando's cut down the lead (10) to managable proportions. Hope Orlando realizes the win awaits on the defensive end of the court.

OccamsRazor · Dec 8, 2003

Well congrats to Orlando. Unfortunatly here, they decided to play defense after the first Qtr. Still not enough to overcome the 40something by Phoenix in the 1st. Tracy did his part 22% shooting. Still not enough here.