Belterra 5-28-2017

[Prof_Factor]

Belterra Park 5-28-2017


race #1 - 6f
#5 5-1 HAIFA - speedy
#1 7-2 HUGINN - logical contender, trainer Smith is 56% with new claims. That's a big number.
#2 9-2 SPIRIT FINGERS - 3yo returns with improved works.

race #2 - 8f
#6 5-2 GENUINE HAPPINESS - logical
#1 12-1 HARD TO PICTURE
#8 9-2 MADDIE'S FUTURE

race #3 - 6f
#5 5-2 ROCKSTAR DAY
#1 7-2 DIAKON
... pass.

race #4 - 5.5f
#5 6-1 LOVE THE POWER (FR)
#7 3-1 SCOTCH IS MY CANDY
#1 8-1 TRULY VAL

race #5 - 6f
#1 12-1 WALT - don't like the post so need the price.
#8 3-1 VALIDATED BLARNEY - most logical
.... this is a crazy race if the fav misfires. Bomb alerts #3,#10,#12.

race #6 - 8.5f turf
#1 12-1 GASPROM
#6 10-1 SPECTACULARXCHANGE
#8 10-1 TIZTIME TO ELEVATE
... MSW with alot of first time turfers. Rain is possible as well.

race #7 - 8.5f turf
#3 4-1 TOUGH IT UP
#1 5-1 STRIKE YOUR LIGHT
#4 5-2 CAKE POP - logical fav

race #8 - 8f
#11 12-1 PETEINTHEHALL
#13 12-1 OWL CREEK
#10 8-1 SQUEEZE THE KING
#8 3-1 WICKED CHEER - will try and milk an easy lead


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!

 

[Lt1]

Good luck Prof.:toast: I like playing this trk but so many races don't have internal fractions. Did they ever fix the timing problem?.

 

[Prof_Factor]

No. They still have some times missing or just wrong. It's better than last year when they didn't have any.
It doesn't make sense because all the races have fractionals displayed during the running of the race.I make my own figures and stuff. My computer program allows me to quickly spot and correct incorrect final times or fractional times when I'm making figs. I can generally get it within one-fifth without replay help.

 

[Lt1]

What a same a new trk being messed up like that.

 

[Saddlesore]

:smoking: Professor i am seriously considering playing a super in the 8th race in this mediocre horse track...I've looked at your picks and i like where your going at...Now i have to figure who is going to dump and what long shots that have a chance...What usually happens the long shot that makes no sense fires away...I still have some time to think about it but i would rather have some kind of divine intervention to talk me out of it...Lol

 

[Prof_Factor]

There is really no speed in the 8th race.
The morning line favorite #8 (3-1) WICKED CHEER will take the lead if handed it but the horse really can't duel with anybody if challenged. The #2 (30-1) DOUBLE DERINGER could possibly try and go from inside, or any other head strong jock for that matter.
Anybody that takes back is done.
You're right, anything can happen in here without pace.
I haven't been playing this track enough to know which jocks will do what with any certainty.
Super will pay nicely regardless.

 

[Prof_Factor]

#12 is warming up solo so he might be sent.

 

[Saddlesore]

There is really no speed in the 8th race.
The morning line favorite #8 (3-1) WICKED CHEER will take the lead if handed it but the horse really can't duel with anybody if challenged. The #2 (30-1) DOUBLE DERINGER could possibly try and go from inside, or any other head strong jock for that matter.
Anybody that takes back is done.
You're right, anything can happen in here without pace.
I haven't been playing this track enough to know which jocks will do what with any certainty.
Super will pay nicely regardless.

:hahahahah...There's Your Exacta Right above me....183.20

 

[Saddlesore]

:smoking:...Yeah that 8th race speed held up pretty well....Yes the 2 made the Super but know matter my horses did nothing....Outside horses probably got eaten up...The 10 horse stumbled out of the gate which means the kiss of death in a speed bias race...I gave the 10 a second chance cause he was a claiming horse beaten favorite figuring the backstretch would figure late...So much for my brilliant analysis