Beating the odds

EverFresh · Oct 25, 2014

Can sports betting be profitable in the long term using ML only?

Betallsports · Oct 25, 2014

I've seen it done, but Not in the long term

2 gamblers that I know would Only bet ML's, sure they went on a couple of runs. But they got caught "speeding" and got crushed.

those -600+ wind up catching up to you after a while

tatehill2000 · Oct 25, 2014

EverFresh said:
Can sports betting be profitable in the long term using ML only?

Betall is right.. betting ml parlas would probably be a fair answer but again.. you'll need a good book that won't cut u off after a few big wins. Lol

EverFresh · Oct 25, 2014

tatehill2000 said:
Betall is right.. betting ml parlas would probably be a fair answer but again.. you'll need a good book that won't cut u off after a few big wins. Lol

who do you reccomend?

Keef · Oct 25, 2014

For me, and my opinion, betting either high priced favorites or dogs is burning money. Yes you will no doubt hit a string if winners on the favorite side but no doubt, you will get smashed on that one game. Same on betting high priced dogs, you will lose and lose and lose, then may make it up on that one win.

I think the only spot to play money line is on the plus side of line 2.5 or less and the only time to play the favorite is the Super Bowl as usually there is value on the money line for say a 7 point favorite (money line is usually about -240 when it should be 280 to 300).

Speaking football here and from a long term and serious perspective. For sure there are party nights where I take a plus 500 for shits and giggles but that IOC course is just for fun.

Lastly, parlaying huge money line favorites is not 'getting around it'. I have read several times how parlaying favorites is doing just that. Even read how using a -1000 favorite in a parlay with your straight bet is getting around the vig. It's just not so.

now, I have used -5000 favorites to parlay with my straight bet, as a second bet, to circumvent maximums. And yes. Have gotten stung with that on one occasion.

Keef · Oct 25, 2014

Seriously, why do people think parlaying high priced favorites is better than playing straight up? Why do they think they are not playing it straight up to begin with?

The Guesser · Oct 25, 2014

PatsFan1283 · Oct 25, 2014

Was better with matchbook around....you could bet MLs of major sports at like 1-2% juice. Was pretty awesome

ML parlays awful bets unless they are correlated

RenoChazz · Oct 25, 2014

Keef said:
For me, and my opinion, betting either high priced favorites or dogs is burning money. Yes you will no doubt hit a string if winners on the favorite side but no doubt, you will get smashed on that one game. Same on betting high priced dogs, you will lose and lose and lose, then may make it up on that one win.

I think the only spot to play money line is on the plus side of line 2.5 or less and the only time to play the favorite is the Super Bowl as usually there is value on the money line for say a 7 point favorite (money line is usually about -240 when it should be 280 to 300).

Speaking football here and from a long term and serious perspective. For sure there are party nights where I take a plus 500 for shits and giggles but that IOC course is just for fun.

Lastly, parlaying huge money line favorites is not 'getting around it'. I have read several times how parlaying favorites is doing just that. Even read how using a -1000 favorite in a parlay with your straight bet is getting around the vig. It's just not so.

now, I have used -5000 favorites to parlay with my straight bet, as a second bet, to circumvent maximums. And yes. Have gotten stung with that on one occasion.