BCI Sugar Bowl game Line

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I know its is premature, and a lot can happen, but if things stay like they are: What number do you hang for USC Vs. Oklahoma on a neutral field, in the Superdome in New Orleans for the National Championship.????


wil.
 

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Good number. Most likely it will be higher because of Oklahoma's reputation, I will take 6 in a split second.


wil.
 

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Reputation? They're killing people - but maybe -9 is a little enthusiastic - however, you open them at -4.5, I'm moving all in on OU
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OKLLAHOMA - Date Opponent Result
Aug 30 North Texas Won 37-3
Sep 6 @Alabama Won 20-13
Sep 13 Fresno State Won 52-28
Sep 20 UCLA Won 59-24
Oct 4 @Iowa State Won 53-7
Oct 11 @Texas Won 65-13
Oct 18 Missouri Won 34-13
Oct 25 @Colorado Won 34-20
Nov 1 Oklahoma St. 52-9
Nov 8 Texas A&M 12:00pm
Nov 15 Baylor TBA
Nov 22 @Texas Tech TBA


USC
Aug 30 @Auburn Won 23-0
Sep 6 Brigham Young Won 35-18
Sep 13 Hawaii Won 61-32
Sep 27 @California Lost 31-34
Oct 4 @Arizona State Won 37-17
Oct 11 Stanford Won 44-21
Oct 18 @Notre Dame Won 45-14
Oct 25 @Washington Won 43-23
Nov 1 Washington State Won 43-16
Nov 15 @Arizona 6:00pm
Nov 22 UCLA TBA
Dec 6 Oregon State 4:30pm

Who has played the tougher schedule?


wil.
 

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According to the BCS poll, if you look at strength of schedule rating, OU has. And by the way, they hammered OSU today 52-9, you forgot to update that game
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Early is the operative word here. One of these teams, at least, will not even be in the game.


VVV
 

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USC Vs. UCLA may tell us something, Okla already blew out UCLA. Something USC probably won't do, although the Trojans will win the game.


wil.
 

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Yup. But USC has one major advantage OU doesn't - OU still must get to and win the Big 12 Championship game on a neutral field (here in KC!) to get there - USC doesn't have to play a championship game, where of course you risk not only injuries but an upset. Again, OU's schedule is tougher.

btw, I heard all of this back in 1999, and Florida State was what, an 11 point favorite and got totally shut down? This defense is even better - and OU has the best coaching staff in the nation. Defense wins championships, almost always (almost!).

Later, early nite for me
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The smarts will have the dog primarily regardless, I'd make OU -9.5 over USC/LSU/FSU/etc.., but the number will probably be a mere 7 to 8.5

P.S. Look at that USC schedule..cupcake & fake city!..FSU too..advantage LSU even with their average schedule to date.
 

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Wil

You are right of course! Not often that "premature" is a good thing, according to research that I have done.


VVV
 

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SC will get a lot of action, glamour team with what many thought was the best team last year. Their alums move a lot of money. Not that OU doesn't generate a lot of action, but just a feeling SC money will scare books into posting a number between 3 and 6, especially in Vegas where the number would be shaded even lower. I think the teams are fairly even with OU a slightly better defense and they will have played more "big" games in the season. Not to mention SC struggles when the running game isn't going, they really start overusing that flanker screen when they can't run the ball and with the oportunistic OU defense waiting for that I could see some defensive scores. Still not an easy game to pick, will depend on the number. I do think it is very likely though these two will play.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Jazz:
Yup. But USC has one major advantage OU doesn't - OU still must get to and win the Big 12 Championship game on a neutral field (here in KC!) to get there - USC doesn't have to play a championship game, where of course you risk not only injuries but an upset. Again, OU's schedule is tougher.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

I imagine Oklahoma will play in the title game even if they lose in the Big 12 Championship game. They shouldn't drop below 3rd in the coaches poll if they lose, and the computers will likely keep them at #1.

My line would be OU -8.
 

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