BC Distaff Discussion

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Let's put some picks together. I play a number of styles: Beyers, track biases, Pval bias!, and P3/P4.
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http://www.drf.com/news/article/50892.html

Feeling lore of stars, lure of longshots
By ANDREW BEYER

ARCADIA, Calif. - The Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships have a 19-year history of producing dramatic upsets. Longshots such as Arcangues ($269.20), Wild Again ($64.60), and last year's Classic winner, Volponi ($89), are as much a part of the event's lore as the superstars who have won it.
Surprises occur frequently in the Breeders' Cup because almost all of the entrants have talent, and in a 14-horse field some will inevitably go off at sky-high odds. When a race looks evenly matched, or when a favorite appears vulnerable, it makes sense to take a chance with a plausible longshot. And that is what I will be doing in several spots Saturday at Santa Anita. Here are my selections:

Distaff

Even if the defending horse of the year, Azeri, had been in the field, Sightseek was going to win. But with Azeri sidelined by an injury, the Bobby Frankel-trained Sightseek, winner of four straight Grade 1 stakes, is the day's only favorite who looks unbeatable.
 

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I was hoping Azeri would run as I thought she was alittle over the top and the odds would be better on Sightseek, looking now on paper Sightseek looks unbeatable but I may try and beat her if thats possible with Take Charge Lady, although trainers always speak highly of their charges, Kenny McPeak was interviewed yesterday on TVG and he believes she is the best shes ever been and thinks she will run very big, will that be enough? Hopefully.

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2nd (10:20)
Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1)
Distance: 1 1/8 Miles Surface: Dirt Fillies and Mares Age: 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes
Purse $2,000,000.
Prg.# PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Take Charge Lady Prado E S McPeek Kenneth G 123 0 L 8-1
2 2 Adoration Valenzuela P A Hofmans David 123 0 Blk-Off L 20-1
3 3 Lady Tak Day P Asmussen Steven M 119 0 L 12-1
4 4 Buy the Sport Velazquez J R Barbara Robert 119 0 L 20-1
5 5 Sightseek Bailey J D Frankel Robert 123 0 L 6-5
6 6 Elloluv Nakatani C S Dollase Craig 119 0 L 9-2
7 7 Got Koko Solis A O Headley Bruce 123 0 L 2-1


$1 EXACTA / $1 TRIFECTA / $1 SUPERFECTA WAGERING
$1 PICK 3 WAGERING (RACES 2,3,4)
$2 DAILY DOUBLE WAGERING
$2 HEAD2HEAD WAGERING #1 VS. #6
 

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Sightseek seems like the best place of the day for a single in P3's. Or play against with some big odds. Thinking out loud....
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