Yesterdays game went nothing like I expected. Who would have guessed Schilling gets shelled and Mussina pitches perfect. Seemed like ump didn't give Schilling anything close and rung up Boston's hitter on the close pitches. Godzilla hit a tough pitch for a double. I should have added Boston over as a play.
Back when I did tons of handicapping in baseball I almost always just played totals. I am going to mainly stick to the totals with opinions on the games.
Houston-St. Louis
Impression is the total is too high, my opinion is toward the under. With Stl the heavy favorite and a line of 10.5 it means the teams have to score 1.23 runs per inning if the game only goes 8.5 innings which seems to high to me. In regard to the side, Stl is probably the right side but there is no way I would lay 240.
Boston-NYY
My opinions of totals is as follows: the line is based on the pitchers. My theory is I will make my wager based on the team first and the pitchers second. Those of you who have played baseball know that hitting is contagious. When guys are hitting it seems like everyone hits and when noone is hitting, the team can't buy a hit. I had one of my best streaks ever playing Colorado of all teams under the total they went under 23 straight games home and away. On the pitcher I look at how they do as a pitcher not era. Woody Williams a few years ago went 22-3 or some crazy number to the under. He pitched good enough to stay under and got terrible run support. Which brings us to tonight. Boston 19-3 to the over last 22 games, NYY 10-9 the last 19 to the over, Pitchers are both 6-4 last 10, Martinez 12-7 last 19 to over including 4-0 last 4.
You will never see me endorse the evil empire in any game even if it is the right side. Last week I loved NYY in first five against twinkies and didn't play it and it won. Yankees are everything wrong in baseball and their fans are a pain in the ass. They can brag when they win the world series on a payroll of $50,000,000 like Minnesota, Milwaukee, Cincy, Oakland or Kansas City are trying to do. Yankees have great sucess against Martinez and he seems to tire late in the yearwhich should help our over.
Plays
4* Boston over 10 (I can only hope it gets there with Boston scoring 11 runs al by themselves)
1* fun parlay Boston over 10 / Houston Under 10.5
Be Like The Three Wise Men and Follow the Northern Star
Back when I did tons of handicapping in baseball I almost always just played totals. I am going to mainly stick to the totals with opinions on the games.
Houston-St. Louis
Impression is the total is too high, my opinion is toward the under. With Stl the heavy favorite and a line of 10.5 it means the teams have to score 1.23 runs per inning if the game only goes 8.5 innings which seems to high to me. In regard to the side, Stl is probably the right side but there is no way I would lay 240.
Boston-NYY
My opinions of totals is as follows: the line is based on the pitchers. My theory is I will make my wager based on the team first and the pitchers second. Those of you who have played baseball know that hitting is contagious. When guys are hitting it seems like everyone hits and when noone is hitting, the team can't buy a hit. I had one of my best streaks ever playing Colorado of all teams under the total they went under 23 straight games home and away. On the pitcher I look at how they do as a pitcher not era. Woody Williams a few years ago went 22-3 or some crazy number to the under. He pitched good enough to stay under and got terrible run support. Which brings us to tonight. Boston 19-3 to the over last 22 games, NYY 10-9 the last 19 to the over, Pitchers are both 6-4 last 10, Martinez 12-7 last 19 to over including 4-0 last 4.
You will never see me endorse the evil empire in any game even if it is the right side. Last week I loved NYY in first five against twinkies and didn't play it and it won. Yankees are everything wrong in baseball and their fans are a pain in the ass. They can brag when they win the world series on a payroll of $50,000,000 like Minnesota, Milwaukee, Cincy, Oakland or Kansas City are trying to do. Yankees have great sucess against Martinez and he seems to tire late in the yearwhich should help our over.
Plays
4* Boston over 10 (I can only hope it gets there with Boston scoring 11 runs al by themselves)
1* fun parlay Boston over 10 / Houston Under 10.5
Be Like The Three Wise Men and Follow the Northern Star
