Baseball Talk... On going Record....Tips on capping the game

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I do not bet * or **
Only *** and target for the season is 80%

dad
 

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So does that mean "no Play"?
 

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WED ** SL -185
You might look at Under 7'

dad


we have diff/ways some days...i'm 75% d3 after may15....right now I'm 40% 60%
I have my rules...you are not betting SL but you say its the best edge of the day
I see what you see
and you have alway said it does not matter if you lay high juice if it win 75% of the time...

my rule is not to bet over a -155...if I do I would bet this game on the run line -1.5 +115

but

I see the total at 7.5....if it was 8 or more I would bet it...if it was 7 or less I would not...its right in the middle for me

if you put *** on it...it would have been a small play for me


This is to show the poster how two players see the same system a diff/way

are record show 3-0 for you and 8-3 ....I play more game...you play less game... two diff road....but you can bet that we both will win at the end of the season....

Dad.... you ask something in a e-mail....answer google "winningpoint" been looking at those MLB sheets for the last 3 years....lots of work...but it give me a edge until may 15

love you DAD

Ace
 

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Thanks again Dad for the picks. I have been playing all your picks, just adjusting the units per stars. I've been doing really well doing that. As far as today's pick if I'm reading you right, this would be a 3* pick if the price was lower.
Thanks again for your insite.
 

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we have diff/ways some days...i'm 75% d3 after may15....right now I'm 40% 60%
I have my rules...you are not betting SL but you say its the best edge of the day
I see what you see
and you have alway said it does not matter if you lay high juice if it win 75% of the time...

my rule is not to bet over a -155...if I do I would bet this game on the run line -1.5 +115

but

I see the total at 7.5....if it was 8 or more I would bet it...if it was 7 or less I would not...its right in the middle for me

if you put *** on it...it would have been a small play for me


This is to show the poster how two players see the same system a diff/way

are record show 3-0 for you and 8-3 ....I play more game...you play less game... two diff road....but you can bet that we both will win at the end of the season....

Dad.... you ask something in a e-mail....answer google "winningpoint" been looking at those MLB sheets for the last 3 years....lots of work...but it give me a edge until may 15

love you DAD

Ace

Ace, I don't understand this comment: "you are not betting SL but you say its the best edge of the day." You mean you Dad is NOT playing St. Louis today? Then why does he post it?
 

EX BOOKIE
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Ace, I don't understand this comment: "you are not betting SL but you say its the best edge of the day." You mean you Dad is NOT playing St. Louis today? Then why does he post it?

read dads 1st posted in this thread....only *** is a bet for him...stl is his best edge today....he the man that show me how to beat MLB..... He the one that said it was the best edge of the day
 

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ACE - I liked the under in SL since they just do not have any offense. I listed SL as my bb after much deliberation pitting it vs the under and also NYY.

You are correct in showing how the same things can bring about different conclusions.
I am sure we will be more together as the stats increase and D3 also increases.

dad
 

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wow so much insight into mlb, and i'm new to this too

Yes there is a lot of insight. But MLB is the best sport to bet since it follows form more than any other. If you want to get crazy w/ statistics there are so many and you can devise on your own, as I have, certain situations which also follow form. Such as a good tm home vs a bad tm away, 1st gm of series. So far this yr 4/1.
Or good tm home 1st gm of series vs non-bad or non-good tm - in other words a middle of the road tm. This is 4/0 this season. Now 8/1 ain't bad.

I like NFL but I love MLB. These are the only 2 sports I REGULARLY bet on. Some boxing, some ice hockey - especially the NCAA playoffs. North Dakota opened at +125, -125 yesterday and today +100. It jumped back due to middles.

Word to the Wise - I have been doing this for many yrs. Believe me the most important thing is money management. I firmly believe bet selection is only 40% while money management is 60%. So be careful and don't fly off the handle. There is no such thing as a lock today altho I had one in the early 60s. Like the Johnny Walker ads say: Drink Moderately.

dad
 

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White Sox, the Nationals are a big under dog so you can always look at the odds to help you better.
 

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Dad another winner... Thank you!!!
My strongest play was on the under of that same game so it was a good game all the way around.
Work is done for the day on to tomorrow's card.

Thanks again, any tidbits you give I will take to better improve my capping.
 

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