I take a long hard look at pitching staffs, especially bullpens. With so much player movement there is no way to compare last years staffs with the this years. I also look into how projected starters come out of the gate. Many pitchers are slow to come around and are good bet againsts in April, natrually others are the opposite. A good example is Wade Miller starting right hander for the Houston Astros. The last two years in April (combined) he went 0-5 with an ERA over 7:00 and an opponets batting ave. over 3:00. Painstaking a bit, but still worth the effort imo.
wil.