Baseball - 951 New York Mets/Florida Marlins over 8½ -125 for Game

[douglas]

FLORIDA is 45-22 OVER against division opponents over the last 2
seasons.........

26-9 @ home for the last two seasons................

I hit this yesterday on a error in the 9th .....IMO it wont take that long today

bol to all ..........
an as always comments an opinions are welcome in all my post ..........
Douglas .......

 

[douglas]

Yesterday 0-1 posted
- 105

 

[Primož]

GOOD LUCK DOUGLAS:toast:

 

[douglas]

thanks primoz ......gonna have to make this work with a bad ump in my corner .........oh well lets go mets go ! .....

 

[Mr.Cover123]

I like the play too. Mets should score at least 6 runs and I don't think Pedro will be back to his dominate self this year.

 

[DRays82]

Gl..I had the over yesterday as well at 8..got the lucky run in the 9the for the cash. Think the over will cash again.

 

[powerz]

Gl...Douglas

Had the over yesterday as well


will sit tight today

 

[nsight]

thanks primoz ......gonna have to make this work with a bad ump in my corner .........oh well lets go mets go ! .....

Umpire Jeff Kellogg
21-14 for the home team
19-15 Under
9.26 runs per game
62.03 K%
HR's 2.0 per game.
12.1 K's to 6.7 walks.

Stats
The over is 23-13 the last 36 between these teams.
The over is 13-5 the last 18 at Florida in this series.
Home favorites 181+ were 5-0 with Jeff Kellogg last year

Last year the over was 4-1 for Kellogg when the total was 8.5.

 

[douglas]

Insight .....thanks for the info ....was looking @ covers for the ump.....

Under is 5-1 in Kelloggs last 6 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Kelloggs last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.


Also a friend of mine just posted this in another room about the over ... GONZALEZ is 26-7 OVER after scoring 2 runs or less as the manager of FLORIDA....


* Over is 7-1 in NYM last 8 road games.
* Over is 13-3-1 in NYM last 17 overall.
* Over is 13-3-1 in NYM last 17 on grass.

 

[nsight]

Jeff Kellogg is an umpire that can confuse pitchers.
He seems to hurt a lot of good pitchers.
Last year when the total was 8.5. He was 4-1 over.
They dont set low totals for bad pitchers.
Those pitchers get 10, 10.5 and 11 run totals.
But he seems to love the bad pitchers.

In 07 if the total was ....
11.5 = 1-0 Under
11.0 = 2-0 Under
10.5 = 3-0 Under

If you notice with a lot of bad pitchers. They have few pitches to work with. They can hit 90+ on the gun, but offer very little of anything else.
If Pedro has lost a few mph on the fastball, then he is in for a long day.
When you get umps that don't have a 2-1 ratio on K's to BB's, then you force pitchers to throw done the center of the plate. If they cant power thru the zone,then its going to be a long day.

 

[douglas]

Barring a storm ........we have a winner !

 

[nsight]

Congrats douglas nice call :toast:

 

[FlakesNoSugar]

We have a winner for those of us on the over!!! I could care less who scores. I got my line at 8.5....i hope some of you guys didn't get it at 9 like my buddy.