Barrera vs Ayala should go the distance

[almly]

Over 11.5 rounds is -260 at Olympic and I know thats alot of wood to lay but I think its a safe play. Ayala is a very good fighter but is pretty much a finesse boxer. He cant knock Barrera out. On the other hand Ayala does have a great chin which I think he proved against Morales. I dont see Barrera knocking him out either. This fight should go the distance. The only thing is what if Barrera just goes balls to the wall to make a point after what happened against Manny and the rumors that maybe he should retire? Possible, but I have alot of respect for Paulies chin.

Barrera should win by decision but who knows, maybe Paulie can suprise us. I dont know why he took all of that time off though - he might have some rust. Anyway, over 11.5.

 

[almly]

Dios mio I just went to Pinnacle for like the second time in my life to check some lines and I am drooling. First of all they have the over 11.5 on Barrera vs Ayala at -229. I really like that. Then they have Raul Marquez at +700 vs Taylor. I see that as a hell of a value play. I know this guy comes out of the locker room bleeding but lets just say he doesnt, I think he has a damn good chance if he's not stopped on cuts. I think theres a good chance of him being stopped on cuts whenever he fights but at +700 I like him against the green Taylor.

Freitas +120 vs Corrales. I'll take it. Under
9.5 rounds at +111, I'll take it. Corrales can outbox him for awhile but he cant take Freitas's punch. When he catches him its over. Gatti -170 vs Dorin. Thats the LAST fuking straw. Somebody tell me how solid these guys are. Are they good to send 5 dimes or so to?

 

[elgordo+]

You could send 50 dimes to pinnacle and not sweat it.

 

[almly]

Cool, I just opened an account with them. Do you know their 800 number?

 

[Mr NJ Sports]

Ayala will win. Barrera is done. you do not take a beating like he did vs Pacquiao and come back from it.

 

[almly]

Does anybody cap boxing on this board anymore?
Where the hell is everybody? Spinch, youre capping friggin UFC but not this fight? Youre killing me.

 

[almly]

Does anybody cap boxing on this board anymore? Where the hell is everybody? Spinch, youre doing writeups on that joke of a sport UFC but not for this fight? You guys are killing me.

I took Marquez for 2 bills to try and get $1400 and put $1500 on the over 11.5 in Barrera vs Ayala.

Jesus, I forgot to bet the under in Marquez/Taylor. What an idiot. I gotta feeling that if its not stopped on cuts someone will get kod.

 

[almly]

OK Im done. Im horrible.

 

[Mr NJ Sports]

wow! my ayala selection was beyond bad...

 

[franks.]

I am not or am I trying to sound like an expert
but, me thinks a word or two regarding the "line" may be in order here. I say this basically in regards to almly's posts. Some folks will see a-200 and get the impression that that's probably going to be the winner as
thay are the "favorite". For me, the line IS NOT a handicap, but the oddsmakers' interpretation of what he thinks the bettors
think is the favorite and sets the number accordingly. An oddsmaker may actually feel
personally that the dog has a better chance in
a particular contest, but will make the other
guy the chalk because the "public" is most likely thinking just that. The line is designed
to mimic the publics' state of mind and to manipulate thinking. The oddsmakers work for the bookmakers. My point is DO NOT be influenced by the number. As they say, think outside the box. Look at the facts. The posted line is not the facts, but is at best an arbitrary and capricious figure designed to dupe the public. Sure, chalk does win, but look at the past year in boxing. Betting dogs
would have payed off the mortgage and then some.

 

[Gillian]

I agree. Lately, with boxing, what you think is going to happen, never does.

Can you say: Gatti

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by franks.:
I am not or am I trying to sound like an expert
but, me thinks a word or two regarding the "line" may be in order here. I say this basically in regards to almly's posts. Some folks will see a-200 and get the impression that that's probably going to be the winner as
thay are the "favorite". For me, the line IS NOT a handicap, but the oddsmakers' interpretation of what he thinks the bettors
think is the favorite and sets the number accordingly. An oddsmaker may actually feel
personally that the dog has a better chance in
a particular contest, but will make the other
guy the chalk because the "public" is most likely thinking just that. The line is designed
to mimic the publics' state of mind and to manipulate thinking. The oddsmakers work for the bookmakers. My point is DO NOT be influenced by the number. As they say, think outside the box. Look at the facts. The posted line is not the facts, but is at best an arbitrary and capricious figure designed to dupe the public. Sure, chalk does win, but look at the past year in boxing. Betting dogs
would have payed off the mortgage and then some.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

 

[almly]

This website is weird. I didnt mean to make that one post twice, it told me it didnt work the first time.