FRIDAY, Oct 10
Following three selections all straight for $7 and use overnite 5Dimes prices
HAWK/RANGER Over 5.5 (+115)
NY's official Home opener here. Rangers were 14-27 last season at Home vs 5.5, but when they're on 2+ days rest, nine of 12 topped 5.5
And here they host the Hawks who last season were in bottom half of NHL defense (20th) and I think they'll be there again this season.
Past 10 at Home vs a defense in bottom half of league, Rangers saw eight top 5.5
Meanwhile, Chicago no shortage of potential scoring punch and with NY having only allowed a single goal in both of the games in Europe, they could be ready to give a pair or more tonight
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THRASHER +108 vs Cap
1) Akin to the Tor/Det Thursday game in that we ask, "Who would JohnQP put their money on? Playoff Washington team with ALEXANDER EFFIN' OVECHKIN? Or the lowly non-playoff Atlantas?
Answer = Duh
Thus hinting the Book is waving a flag to attract dollars to Caps. and so far, early returns have 62% of bettors choosing Wash
2) Among Washington pluses and minuses last season as they made their ascent into first playoff spot in quite since lockout, a glaring challenge was their play when they have 2+ days rest. They were 8-14 overall, but just 3-9 when Away in this role
Maybe they'll start to overcome that...but for tonight, we'll use it as an additional reason to tip us to Thrashers
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MIGHTY STARS -1.5 (+175) vs Jacket
Like most of you, I have a short list of teams I am forecasting to pretty much blow moosecock in the coming season. And leading the way in Western Conference is Columbus who after dealing away Federov last spring are clearly headed into some kind of low budget we're incredibly cheap rebuilding mode. Knowing specific names & talent levels is not my strong point so I rely a lot on Previews at this point in season. And all I can see budding for CBus is a (possibly) up and coming group of college age talent to go with what's left from last season.
And that was the squad that finished last in the NHL in scoring - tonight traveling into the belly of one of league's most consistently strong defenses at Dallas.
Jackets have some reasonable Past Results vs Stars in Past 10, but all of those preceded the spring 2008 trade dumps, so I'm finding it a reach to see them scoring more than once on Friday. That of course is optimal for laying the -1.5 as is the Dallas record at Home in past two seasons when playing with 2+DaysRest.
Stars have covered the -1.5 in 12 of 27 when in this role which is a fine and dandy percentage when we're offered +175
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2TeamParlay
BLUE -111 vs Predator
CANE -150 vs StinkingPanther
Lay 6
Pays 13.01
Nashville in past 12 Away with 2+DaysRest have won just four times
St Louis in past 15 Home with 2+DaysRest have won nine times
As for the Southeast Division matchup, we get one team (CAR) that we forecast as on the solid Rise for upcoming season. And we get another (FLA) that falls into that similar vision as we have for Columbus as described above.
And it's a good time of year. Since lockout, Canes are 10-4 at Home in month of October while Cats have just 4 wins in 21 Away outings in same.
Cane tender Cam Ward last season was 12-6 vs teams that did not make the playoffs, including eight wins in his last ten.
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During the coming season, my hope is to rarely Lay minus prices unless I can pair them up in a "regular" sized parlay. While I'm sure I'll get my share of 1-1 results, my overall exposure in backing these lines which handicap out well is greatly reduced - especially on those nights when I'm flubbed and miss 'em both.
Best to us all for a profitable Friday night.
