Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Redskins 12/9/2012

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Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 48% of simulations, and the Washington Redskins 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 79% when they take care of the ball. The Washington Redskins wins 67% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ray Rice is averaging 67 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Alfred Morris is averaging 63 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (25% chance) then he helps his team win 73%.
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