Baltimore -3.5 vs Oakland??

[3peet]

is the wrong team favored here or is it a set up? Baltimore ranks in the bottom tiers offensively. 26th total offense, 26th rushing, and 28 passing. They have a very flimsy 3-0 record. They've scored 4 total touchdowns in 3 games!!!

I know Oakland's defense is ranked last in the league but I can't imagine Oakland unable to outscore Baltimore's paltry offense.
I see a 28-24 out come unless Carr & Co. really goes off.

Am I wrong here?

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I thought the line should be Ravens -4.5, & when it got vet down to -3, was shocked.

No way should the Raiders be favored at Baltimore.......Raiders are flying east again for the 2nd str week unless they stayed out east.

Raiders ate 3-9 ATS past 12 vs Ravens, 0-6 ATS past 6 at Baltimore.......some big money moved the line down to -3, so maybe the Raiders do win........I don't like either side.

My guess would be a Ravens 3 point win.

 

[Biz]

Line should have opened around Baltimore -2 when comparing power ratings and home field. Baltimore at around -3 or a bit less is where the line should be.

 

[cashflow50]

I got this line at pickem and getting 3-3.5. I'll probably take the ML. There's small value on the raiders here. Second straight back to back road game to the east coast. It will be a total of 3. Their bodies should get acclimated quickly. Although i might be wrong and get blasted for this post.

 

[Huego]

The raiders are playing a 2nd road game after covering the 1st. I think the situation favors the home team, covering 2 consecutive road games is difficult. I'm passing.

But I agree, raiders are a better team when we don't factor the spot.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Ravens are something like 49-16 SU at home under Harbaugh, 4 of those losses came last season.......

I don't see why everyone is saying the Raiders should be the fav or this line should be under 3........the Ravens could lose SU, but the Ravens aren't getting any respect here for how they've played at home under Harbaugh.

Again, Raiders could blast them, just sharing a trend.......

 

[halekulani]

i think line will go to -3 and bmore will still win and cover

they are 3-0 and everyone is knocking them for being the worst 3-0 team

they will continue to shed the hate and go 4-0

 

[eventhorizon]

The line looks right. 3 1/2 or 4 was the right price. Oakland's point differential is about even and they have given up more yds than they gain. A team like that is not going to be a road fav over a team with a winning record.

 

[3pointdog]

I heard an interview that Oakland did go back west and will fly out end of the week to the east again. Don't know why they would not stay out east.

 

[MalikSealy]

Look at who the Ravens have played this year...Their opponents record is 1-8 and all the games were close. Sure, they are beating who they have on the schedule as they should, but it's really not impressive at all. Their opponents and the way they are winning, in the eye of the public it's not that impressive.
Raiders are everyones fav to have a resurgence this year...so for me, I would think the line would be a little lower. Kind of telling that they have it so high...

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Look at who the Ravens have played this year...Their opponents record is 1-8 and all the games were close. Sure, they are beating who they have on the schedule as they should, but it's really not impressive at all. Their opponents and the way they are winning, in the eye of the public it's not that impressive.
Raiders are everyones fav to have a resurgence this year...so for me, I would think the line would be a little lower. Kind of telling that they have it so high...

OAK opponents are 2-7.... the two wins are from ATL. Over NWO and... OAK. So bringing up who these teams have played is mute here.

If TEN had any offense, OAK would be 1-2 right now. And if it wasnt for a 2pt conv vs a terrible defense they could easily be 0-3. The fact that OAK went for the 2-pt vs NWO tells you a lot about what they think of their own D.

Also, OAK has divisional home games on tap.

 

[Slurve~Ball]

OAK opponents are 2-7.... the two wins are from ATL. Over NWO and... OAK. So bringing up who these teams have played is mute here.

If TEN had any offense, OAK would be 1-2 right now. And if it wasnt for a 2pt conv vs a terrible defense they could easily be 0-3. The fact that OAK went for the 2-pt vs NWO tells you a lot about what they think of their own D.

Also, OAK has divisional home games on tap.

Edit... TEN won vs DET. OAK opponents are 3-6

 

[sportsfantatic44]

Does anyone know if Dixon is playing? They have got nothing going on the running game and he might be the lead guy if he is back from injury.

Also, this is Oakland's 3rd road game in 4 weeks (at New Orleans, at Tennessee, now at Baltimore). Lots of mileage early on.

 

[wizardofodd]

no way can Oakland be favored at Baltimore. Right team is favored. If anything Balty might even be a -1 at Oakland IMO.

 

[3peet]

Baltimore has scored 4 TD's in 3 games. They sure have a helluva lot of FGs though. That's what eeks them through these wins.

 

[justanobserver]

Well that last Oakland game was in the central time zone, and here are the stats for teams from the west coast playing central then east in consecutive weeks:

season >= 2002 and o:time zone = E and time zone = P and po:time zone = C
SU: 65-62-0 (-1.24, 51.2%) Teaser Records ATS: 62-64-1 (-0.60, 49.2%) avg line: 0.6 +6: 84-38-5 (68.9%) -6: 39-86-2 (31.2%) +10: 103-24-0 (81.1%) -10: 28-97-2 (22.4%) O/U: 64-61-2 (0.42, 51.2%) avg total: 43.0 +6: 47-79-1 (37.3%) -6: 86-39-2 (68.8%) +10: 33-90-4 (26.8%) -10: 98-28-1 (77.8%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.4 114.1 32.3 19.9 215.1 1.6 4.4 5.8 4.3 6.5 21.1 Opp 27.0 110.9 35.7 22.2 239.2 1.6 4.4 7.3 3.8 6.7 22.3
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Jan 06, 2013 Sunday 18 2012 Seahawks Redskins away 0-14 13-0 0-0 11-0 24-14 -3.0 46.0 10 7 -8 -0.5 -7.5 W W U 0 Jan 20, 2013 Sunday 20 2012 Fortyniners Falcons away 0-10 14-14 7-0 7-0 28-24 -3.5 48.5 4 0.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 W W O 0 Sep 15, 2013 Sunday 2 2013 Chargers Eagles away 3-3 10-7 7-10 13-10 33-30 7.0 52.0 3 10.0 11.0 10.5 0.5 W W O 0 Oct 06, 2013 Sunday 5 2013 Seahawks Colts away 12-7 7-10 9-6 0-11 28-34 -2.5 43.5 -6 -8.5 18.5 5.0 13.5 L L O 0 Oct 27, 2013 Sunday 8 2013 Fortyniners Jaguars away 14-0 14-3 7-7 7-0 42-10 -16.0 40.0 32 16 12.0 14.0 -2.0 W W O 0 Oct 27, 2013 Sunday 8 2013 Raiders Steelers home 14-0 7-3 0-0 0-15 21-18 2.5 40.5 3 5.5 -1.5 2.0 -3.5 W W U 0 Nov 03, 2013 Sunday 9 2013 Seahawks Buccaneers home 0-0 7-21 7-3 10-0 27-24 -15.5 41.0 3 -12.5 10.0 -1.2 11.2 W L O 1 Nov 25, 2013 Monday 12 2013 Fortyniners Redskins away 7-0 3-6 14-0 3-0 27-6 -5.5 47.0 21 15.5 -14.0 0.8 -14.8 W W U 0 Dec 01, 2013 Sunday 13 2013 Chargers Bengals home 0-0 7-7 0-7 3-3 10-17 1.0 48.5 -7 -6 -21.5 -13.8 -7.8 L L U 0 Dec 08, 2013 Sunday 14 2013 Raiders Jets away 0-10 3-10 14-10 10-7 27-37 3.0 40.0 -10 -7.0 24.0 8.5 15.5 L L O 0 Jan 05, 2014 Sunday 18 2013 Chargers Bengals away 7-0 0-10 10-0 10-0 27-10 6.5 46.0 17 23.5 -9.0 7.2 -16.2 W W U 0 Jan 12, 2014 Sunday 19 2013 Fortyniners Panthers away 6-0 7-10 7-0 3-0 23-10 -1.5 41.5 13 11.5 -8.5 1.5 -10.0 W W U 0 Sep 21, 2014 view Sunday 3 2014 Raiders Patriots away 3-0 0-10 6-0 0-6 9-16 14.0 47.0 -7 7.0 -22.0 -7.5 -14.5 L W U 0 Oct 26, 2014 view Sunday 8 2014 Seahawks Panthers away 0-3 3-3 3-0 7-3 13-9 -4.5 44.5 4 -0.5 -22.5 -11.5 -11.0 W L U 0 Nov 16, 2014 view Sunday 11 2014 Fortyniners Giants away 3-7 6-0 7-3 0-0 16-10 -4.0 44.0 6 2.0 -18.0 -8.0 -10.0 W W U 0 Nov 30, 2014 view Sunday 13 2014 Chargers Ravens away 7-10 3-6 3-7 21-10 34-33 5.5 46.0 1 6.5 21.0 13.8 7.2 W W O 0 Dec 21, 2014 view Sunday 16 2014 Raiders Bills home 0-7 13-3 6-0 7-14 26-24 6.0 41.0 2 8.0 9.0 8.5 0.5 W W O 0 Jan 10, 2015 view Saturday 19 2014 Seahawks Panthers home 7-0 7-10 0-0 17-7 31-17 -12.5 40.5 14 1.5 7.5 4.5 3.0 W W O 0 Feb 01, 2015 view Sunday 22 2014 Seahawks Patriots home 0-0 14-14 10-0 0-14 24-28 1.0 48.0 -4 -3.0 4 0.5 3.5 L L O 0 Sep 20, 2015 view Sunday 2 2015 Fortyniners Steelers away 0-8 3-21 0-0 15-14 18-43 6.0 46.0 -25 -19.0 15.0 -2.0 17.0 L L O 0 Oct 04, 2015 view Sunday 4 2015 Chargers Browns home 7-3 6-10 7-3 10-11 30-27 -5.5 45.0 3 -2.5 12 4.8 7.2 W L O 0 Oct 05, 2015 view Monday 4 2015 Seahawks Lions home 0-0 10-3 3-0 0-7 13-10 -9.5 43.0 3 -6.5 -20.0 -13.2 -6.8 W L U 0 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Fortyniners Giants away 3-3 3-10 7-7 14-10 27-30 7.0 43.5 -3 4 13.5 8.8 4.8 L W O 0 Nov 08, 2015 view Sunday 9 2015 Fortyniners Falcons home 0-3 17-10 0-0 0-3 17-16 7.5 43.5 1 8.5 -10.5 -1.0 -9.5 W W U 0 Nov 22, 2015 view Sunday 11 2015 Raiders Lions away 0-6 0-3 13-0 0-9 13-18 -0.0 48.5 -5 -5.0 -17.5 -11.2 -6.2 L L U 0 Nov 29, 2015 view Sunday 12 2015 Chargers Jaguars away 0-6 21-3 3-3 7-13 31-25 5.0 47.0 6 11.0 9.0 10.0 -1.0 W W O 0 Dec 13, 2015 view Sunday 14 2015 Fortyniners Browns away 0-7 3-3 0-7 7-7 10-24 2.5 42.0 -14 -11.5 -8.0 -9.8 1.8 L L U 0 Dec 13, 2015 view Sunday 14 2015 Seahawks Ravens away 7-0 7-6 7-0 14-0 35-6 -11.5 42.0 29 17.5 -1.0 8.2 -9.2 W W U 0 Dec 20, 2015 view Sunday 15 2015 Chargers Dolphins home 6-0 17-0 0-7 7-7 30-14 -2.0 45.5 16 14 -1.5 6.2 -7.8 W W U 0 Jan 17, 2016 view Sunday 19 2015 Seahawks Panthers away 0-14 0-17 14-0 10-0 24-31 2.5 42.5 -7 -4.5 12.5 4.0 8.5 L L O 0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Chargers Jaguars home 7-0 14-0 14-0 3-14 38-14 -3.0 47.5 24 21.0 4.5 12.8 -8.2 W W O 0 Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Raiders Falcons home 0-0 7-13 7-8 14-14 28-35 -4.0 47.5 -7 -11.0 15.5 2.2 13.2 L L O 0 Oct 02, 2016 view Sunday 4 2016 Raiders Ravens away 3.5 46.0

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Shouldnt all the games in table above be away games?

 

[nflcapper]

This has OAK ML written all over it.

 

[justanobserver]

Shouldnt all the games in table above be away games?

You are right, i was wrong, pretty much same thing when i get it right though

season >= 2002 and o:time zone = E and time zone = P and po:time zone = C and A SU: 27-41-0 (-4.90, 39.7%) Teaser Records ATS: 32-36-0 (-1.26, 47.1%) avg line: 3.6 +6: 42-23-3 (64.6%) -6: 23-44-1 (34.3%) +10: 52-16-0 (76.5%) -10: 14-52-2 (21.2%) O/U: 35-33-0 (0.79, 51.5%) avg total: 43.1 +6: 29-39-0 (42.6%) -6: 44-23-1 (65.7%) +10: 22-44-2 (33.3%) -10: 52-16-0 (76.5%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 26.2 104.4 32.2 19.7 211.1 1.7 4.1 4.8 4.1 6.4 19.5 Opp 28.6 120.9 33.7 21.1 239.5 1.4 5.3 8.0 4.3 6.7 24.4 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Dec 21, 2008 Sunday 16 2008 Chargers Buccaneers away 7-7 13-3 0-14 21-0 41-24 4.0 42.5 17 21.0 22.5 21.8 0.8 W W O 0 Dec 28, 2008 Sunday 17 2008 Raiders Buccaneers away 0-0 14-7 0-7 17-10 31-24 11.5 39.0 7 18.5 16.0 17.2 -1.2 W W O 0 Oct 04, 2009 Sunday 4 2009 Seahawks Colts away 0-7 3-14 0-7 14-6 17-34 10.0 44.0 -17 -7.0 7.0 0.0 7.0 L L O 0 Oct 11, 2009 Sunday 5 2009 Raiders Giants away 0-14 7-17 0-10 0-3 7-44 15.5 38.5 -37 -21.5 12.5 -4.5 17.0 L L O 0 Nov 01, 2009 Sunday 8 2009 Fortyniners Colts away 7-3 7-6 0-3 0-6 14-18 12.5 45.0 -4 8.5 -13.0 -2.2 -10.8 L W U 0 Dec 06, 2009 Sunday 13 2009 Raiders Steelers away 3-3 3-7 0-0 21-14 27-24 14.5 37.0 3 17.5 14.0 15.8 -1.8 W W O 0 Dec 06, 2009 Sunday 13 2009 Chargers Browns away 10-7 3-0 14-0 3-16 30-23 -13.0 43.0 7 -6.0 10.0 2.0 8.0 W L O 0 Oct 03, 2010 Sunday 4 2010 Fortyniners Falcons away 14-0 0-10 0-3 0-3 14-16 7.0 42.5 -2 5.0 -12.5 -3.8 -8.8 L W U 0 Nov 21, 2010 Sunday 11 2010 Raiders Steelers away 3-0 0-21 0-0 0-14 3-35 8.0 41.0 -32 -24.0 -3.0 -13.5 10.5 L L U 0 Sep 18, 2011 Sunday 2 2011 Chargers Patriots away 7-7 0-13 0-0 14-15 21-35 7.0 53.5 -14 -7.0 2.5 -2.2 4.8 L L O 0 Sep 25, 2011 Sunday 3 2011 Fortyniners Bengals away 0-3 0-0 3-0 10-5 13-8 1.5 39.5 5 6.5 -18.5 -6.0 -12.5 W W U 0 Dec 04, 2011 Sunday 13 2011 Raiders Dolphins away 0-6 0-7 0-21 14-0 14-34 3.0 43.0 -20 -17.0 5.0 -6.0 11.0 L L O 0 Sep 30, 2012 Sunday 4 2012 Fortyniners Jets away 0-0 10-0 7-0 17-0 34-0 -4.0 41.0 34 30.0 -7.0 11.5 -18.5 W W U 0 Oct 07, 2012 Sunday 5 2012 Seahawks Panthers away 3-0 3-3 7-7 3-2 16-12 2.0 42.5 4 6 -14.5 -4.2 -10.2 W W U 0 Nov 11, 2012 Sunday 10 2012 Chargers Buccaneers away 14-7 7-10 0-7 3-10 24-34 3.0 47.5 -10 -7 10.5 1.8 8.8 L L O 0 Nov 25, 2012 Sunday 12 2012 Raiders Bengals away 0-14 0-10 10-0 0-10 10-34 8.0 50.0 -24 -16 -6 -11.0 5.0 L L U 0 Dec 23, 2012 Sunday 16 2012 Raiders Panthers away 0-7 3-7 0-0 3-3 6-17 9.0 46.5 -11 -2 -23.5 -12.8 -10.8 L L U 0 Jan 06, 2013 Sunday 18 2012 Seahawks Redskins away 0-14 13-0 0-0 11-0 24-14 -3.0 46.0 10 7 -8 -0.5 -7.5 W W U 0 Jan 20, 2013 Sunday 20 2012 Fortyniners Falcons away 0-10 14-14 7-0 7-0 28-24 -3.5 48.5 4 0.5 3.5 2.0 1.5 W W O 0 Sep 15, 2013 Sunday 2 2013 Chargers Eagles away 3-3 10-7 7-10 13-10 33-30 7.0 52.0 3 10.0 11.0 10.5 0.5 W W O 0 Oct 06, 2013 Sunday 5 2013 Seahawks Colts away 12-7 7-10 9-6 0-11 28-34 -2.5 43.5 -6 -8.5 18.5 5.0 13.5 L L O 0 Oct 27, 2013 Sunday 8 2013 Fortyniners Jaguars away 14-0 14-3 7-7 7-0 42-10 -16.0 40.0 32 16 12.0 14.0 -2.0 W W O 0 Nov 25, 2013 Monday 12 2013 Fortyniners Redskins away 7-0 3-6 14-0 3-0 27-6 -5.5 47.0 21 15.5 -14.0 0.8 -14.8 W W U 0 Dec 08, 2013 Sunday 14 2013 Raiders Jets away 0-10 3-10 14-10 10-7 27-37 3.0 40.0 -10 -7.0 24.0 8.5 15.5 L L O 0 Jan 05, 2014 Sunday 18 2013 Chargers Bengals away 7-0 0-10 10-0 10-0 27-10 6.5 46.0 17 23.5 -9.0 7.2 -16.2 W W U 0 Jan 12, 2014 Sunday 19 2013 Fortyniners Panthers away 6-0 7-10 7-0 3-0 23-10 -1.5 41.5 13 11.5 -8.5 1.5 -10.0 W W U 0 Sep 21, 2014 view Sunday 3 2014 Raiders Patriots away 3-0 0-10 6-0 0-6 9-16 14.0 47.0 -7 7.0 -22.0 -7.5 -14.5 L W U 0 Oct 26, 2014 view Sunday 8 2014 Seahawks Panthers away 0-3 3-3 3-0 7-3 13-9 -4.5 44.5 4 -0.5 -22.5 -11.5 -11.0 W L U 0 Nov 16, 2014 view Sunday 11 2014 Fortyniners Giants away 3-7 6-0 7-3 0-0 16-10 -4.0 44.0 6 2.0 -18.0 -8.0 -10.0 W W U 0 Nov 30, 2014 view Sunday 13 2014 Chargers Ravens away 7-10 3-6 3-7 21-10 34-33 5.5 46.0 1 6.5 21.0 13.8 7.2 W W O 0 Sep 20, 2015 view Sunday 2 2015 Fortyniners Steelers away 0-8 3-21 0-0 15-14 18-43 6.0 46.0 -25 -19.0 15.0 -2.0 17.0 L L O 0 Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Fortyniners Giants away 3-3 3-10 7-7 14-10 27-30 7.0 43.5 -3 4 13.5 8.8 4.8 L W O 0 Nov 22, 2015 view Sunday 11 2015 Raiders Lions away 0-6 0-3 13-0 0-9 13-18 -0.0 48.5 -5 -5.0 -17.5 -11.2 -6.2 L L U 0 Nov 29, 2015 view Sunday 12 2015 Chargers Jaguars away 0-6 21-3 3-3 7-13 31-25 5.0 47.0 6 11.0 9.0 10.0 -1.0 W W O 0 Dec 13, 2015 view Sunday 14 2015 Fortyniners Browns away 0-7 3-3 0-7 7-7 10-24 2.5 42.0 -14 -11.5 -8.0 -9.8 1.8 L L U 0 Dec 13, 2015 view Sunday 14 2015 Seahawks Ravens away 7-0 7-6 7-0 14-0 35-6 -11.5 42.0 29 17.5 -1.0 8.2 -9.2 W W U 0 Jan 17, 2016 view Sunday 19 2015 Seahawks Panthers away 0-14 0-17 14-0 10-0 24-31 2.5 42.5 -7 -4.5 12.5 4.0 8.5 L L O 0 Oct 02, 2016 view Sunday 4 2016 Raiders Ravens away 3.5 46.0

 

[chonce]

I expected a PK or so. I guess the Ravens 3-0 record is impacting this. But they are a weak 3-0 team. But the hook? Jesus, that is odd.