Balls out play

[rta21]

i think baylor cover the +3 1/2 point spread tonight, the more i research it the better i feel, i'll probably wait for it to go to +4 but i still see baylor getting it done tonight

 

[kidman232]

anything under 4 id take the ml, espically a home dawg

 

[rta21]

o i agree i see it being anywhere from a 2 point oklahoma win to a 6 point baylor win, either way the points r good

 

[OnWisconsin]

yeah, not too long ago i came up with the bright idea of taking the ML if i was going to back a dog of +3 or less. reasoning behind that was if they covered such a small # chances were they'd get the outright W. only took a couple tough losses to abandon this strategy.

 

[rta21]

example uf vs kentucky last night

 

[OnWisconsin]

yeah. or Mo. St. last night as well, led the whole game as a 6 point road dog, ended up losing by 1. i only play ML if it's 1 1/2 or less, basically at +100.

 

[bjh21]

o i agree i see it being anywhere from a 2 point oklahoma win to a 6 point baylor win, either way the points r good

I see you being wrong. No way in HELL does Baylor beat this team by 6 points. Have you watched Baylor the last month??

 

[coitus_maximus]

What about Michigan St. vs. Michigan last night?

 

[OnWisconsin]

lol. should be a good game. i see baylor hitting a couple 3s early to get the crowd into it, griffen getting into foul trouble, ou not shooting well, crowd storms court at the end of the game. baylor wins 79-70 in a game which baylor grabs an early lead and keeps the sooners at arm's length the whole way. ou needs to take a shit, and tonight is a good night for it.

 

[rta21]

I see you being wrong. No way in HELL does Baylor beat this team by 6 points. Have you watched Baylor the last month??

yup and dont u think its a little odd for the #2 team in the nation and almost a shoe in for a #1 seed to be only laying at most 4 points on the road to a team that they are supposedly 12x better then :think2:, who do u think knows more you or vegas??????

 

[bjh21]

yup and dont u think its a little odd for the #2 team in the nation and almost a shoe in for a #1 seed to be only laying at most 4 points on the road to a team that they are supposedly 12x better then :think2:, who do u think knows more you or vegas??????

I do know that Quincy Acy and Kevin Rogers did not slow the Griffin Bros. at all the first time around and Baylor is not exactly Cameron Indoor Stadium. Also let's consider the last two games Baylor has had at home:

vs KANSAS LOSS 75-65
vs TEXAS LOSS 78-72

I would consider Oklahoma better than both of those teams, and you are looking into it WAY too much to think Baylor is the "good" play. A team that just went to Lubbock and lost and well as a team that's lost 5 in a row is not a team I would be betting on.

It could happen, and also square vegas is never right unless it's a push. They try to put the line where they think it will hit, and get even action. They believe OU wins by 3, but I think that is the minimum they win by given Baylor has no resemblence of an interior to match OU. But goodluck on that play tonight.

 

[kidman232]

oklahoma has been getting small road lines all yr, example +2 vs kstate @ kstate.

 

[rta21]

I do know that Quincy Acy and Kevin Rogers did not slow the Griffin Bros. at all the first time around and Baylor is not exactly Cameron Indoor Stadium. Also let's consider the last two games Baylor has had at home:

vs KANSAS LOSS 75-65
vs TEXAS LOSS 78-72

I would consider Oklahoma better than both of those teams, and you are looking into it WAY too much to think Baylor is the "good" play. A team that just went to Lubbock and lost and well as a team that's lost 5 in a row is not a team I would be betting on.

It could happen, and also square vegas is never right unless it's a push. They try to put the line where they think it will hit, and get even action. They believe OU wins by 3, but I think that is the minimum they win by given Baylor has no resemblence of an interior to match OU. But goodluck on that play tonight.

then why has the line only moved very little with almost all action on okie.....good luck on ur bet

 

[kidman232]

line is up to 4 now at some books

 

[rta21]

so it moved 1 1/2 points with over 90% of the action coming in on okie, kidman u have seen bigger line moves then 1 1/2 b4 i know, especially with that much $ going on 1 team. there are bigger line moves for today that has taken less action. but guys i have been wrong b4 and im sure i will b again this is just a opinion

 

[kidman232]

yea but sometimes lines just dont budge not matter how much cash comes on them, butler -2 vs wright state got hit all day over 90% and butler was up double digits the whole game. vegas is weird sometimes, personally i think its Oklahoma or no play

 

[OnWisconsin]

so it moved 1 1/2 points with over 90% of the action coming in on okie, kidman u have seen bigger line moves then 1 1/2 b4 i know, especially with that much $ going on 1 team. there are bigger line moves for today that has taken less action. but guys i have been wrong b4 and im sure i will b again this is just a opinion

i would say watch the line closer to game time. a lot of sharps, not that i'm one of 'em, wait until the last minute to hammer a side. if ou moves to -5 right before tip, you might reconsider the baylor bet.

 

[rta21]

i would say watch the line closer to game time. a lot of sharps, not that i'm one of 'em, wait until the last minute to hammer a side. if ou moves to -5 right before tip, you might reconsider the baylor bet.

very true but if it goes to 3 or 3 1/2 u know what that means????? :toast:

 

[rta21]

yea but sometimes lines just dont budge not matter how much cash comes on them, butler -2 vs wright state got hit all day over 90% and butler was up double digits the whole game. vegas is weird sometimes, personally i think its Oklahoma or no play

true but butler and wright st was not a marquee game like this 1, i doubt they took in half of what will b bet tonight on this 1

 

[OnWisconsin]

last time we saw a game where a home team got 4 and was given no chance was clemson/duke last week. a lot of clemson backers got made fun of. i think we all remember how that went.