WASHINGTON M/L +105 1pt
WFT @ RAIDERS UNDER 50 -118 1pt
Earlier this week I was looking at WFT as a bet against what I consider a very overrated Raiders team, the fly in the ointment as nearly always was injuries. As it looked as those injuries would result in probable losses on the O line I thought maybe WFT wouldn't score as much and the under 50 might be a better bet. Such are the dilemmas faced today where we have so much information.
After five days of considering all angles I realised that the basic reason I wanted to bet WFT was The Raiders inability to stop the run. After the tweaks I mentioned last week WFT now has a system that fits their personnel, running the ball and screens until short passes become open with a defense that appears to be back to last year's standard. Two things that would derail the system going forward would be defensive injuries and an opponent that was stout against the run, however one injury ( collins) can be catered for in practice while WFT can wait another week before meeting the running play problem.
On paper this looks like Washington’s perfect match up that doesn’t ask too much from Henicke, long methodical drives will be the order of the day hopefully putting The Raiders in catch up, their worst nightmare. Betting a team and the under is not a winning strategy normally but I look at this as more of a hedge, if Washington cant perform their running game it's highly likely they don't score much making the under a solid bet. If they do have success then its possible that both bets cash. That's it for the week