Good luck this week in the National Football League. Monday night I played the Philadelphia Eagles (didn't post here) and my number was spot on with a 3 point power rating advantage for Philadelphia. This week I have 1 play on Thursday and 2 plays on Sunday. Depending on the line movement I may add another play or two later in the week. With each play posted I will give my margin of victory by the team I believe will cover the number and win the game. As you can see I am wagering these plays against the line and not straight up though. My projected line is just a indicator from my statistical model and used only for wagering against the line at this time.
Thursday, 09/18/2014
301Tampa Bay +6.5, -110 @ 302Atlanta
My statistical model indicates Tampa Bay has a power rating advantage of 3.0
Sunday, 09/21/2014
453Dallas @ 454St. Louis +1.5, -110
My statistical model indicates St. Louis has a power rating advantage of 9.0
473Denver +4.5, -110 @ 474Seattle
My statistical model indicates Denver has a power rating advantage of 3.6
Thursday, 09/18/2014
301Tampa Bay +6.5, -110 @ 302Atlanta
My statistical model indicates Tampa Bay has a power rating advantage of 3.0
Sunday, 09/21/2014
453Dallas @ 454St. Louis +1.5, -110
My statistical model indicates St. Louis has a power rating advantage of 9.0
473Denver +4.5, -110 @ 474Seattle
My statistical model indicates Denver has a power rating advantage of 3.6