Bad Cat's Projected Lines & Side Selections

[Bad_Cat]

Bad Cat's Projected Lines Thursday, September 03, 2015

UCF -11 1/2
North Carolina -1/2
Oklahoma State -16 1/2
Vanderbilt -6 1/2
Utah -4 1/2
TCU -13 1/2
Ohio -6
Duke -15
Arizona -32
Colorado -4

Bad Cat's Projected Lines Friday, September 04, 2015

Georgia State -4
Michigan State -15 1/2
Baylor -29 1/2
Illinois -10 1/2
Boise State -13

Bad Cat's Projected Lines Saturday, September 05, 2015

Georgia -32 1/2
Stanford -12
ODU -13
Tulsa -7
Auburn -9 1/2
UCLA -16 1/2
Penn State -1
Nebraska -8
Arkansas -30
Tennessee -24 1/2
NC State -23 1/2
Kentucky -12
Texas A&M -1 1/2
Oklahoma -26 1/2
Florida -33
W. Virginia -18
Notre Dame -8 1/2
No. Illinios -24 1/2
Alabama -8 1/2
Florida State -30 1/2
Mississippi -28
USC -22 1/2

Bad Cat's Projected Lines Sunday, September 06, 2015

Marshall -11

Bad Cat's Projected Line Monday, September 07, 2015

Ohio State -16

 

[Greenbacks]

Lines are already out Cat Man..

I wish I could get W.K. at +6.5

GL

 

[Bad_Cat]

Lines are already out Cat Man..

I wish I could get W.K. at +6.5

GL

Obviously the lines are out, they have been for a few months. The lines listed are MY projected lines sir. They aren't what I think the lines will be but rather what I think they should be. I compare my projected lines to the current lines and make my side selections.

 

[Bad_Cat]

Lines are already out Cat Man..

I wish I could get W.K. at +6.5

GL

You could have had +17.5 if you would have bet it on July 1st.

 

[Greenbacks]

Obviously the lines are out, they have been for a few months. The lines listed are MY projected lines sir. They aren't what I think the lines will be but rather what I think they should be. I compare my projected lines to the current lines and make my side selections.

Strange angle.....Good luck though.

 

[BigdaddyQH]

Obviously the lines are out, they have been for a few months. The lines listed are MY projected lines sir. They aren't what I think the lines will be but rather what I think they should be. I compare my projected lines to the current lines and make my side selections.

Many people do this. It is a good system to use, with others. My question is simply this. How big of a differential between the actual line and your line does there have to be before you place a wager?

 

[Bad_Cat]

Strange angle.....Good luck though.

Don't tell that to Mr.HarrytheHat in the NFL forum. Same basic principle.

 

[Bad_Cat]

Many people do this. It is a good system to use, with others. My question is simply this. How big of a differential between the actual line and your line does there have to be before you place a wager?

This will be the first time I will be using this angle. What I will look for though is a 5 point differential between my lines and the book lines. I will also track a few different ways to see which angles may be stronger (home dogs, home favs, road dogs, road favs, etc). Also i will also track false favorites, which is if I have Team A favored and the books have Team B favored, but I still would like to see a 5 point differential in that case also.

 

[ERockMoney]

Here we go again, and again, and again......

Didn't you already play four games in of your four, yes, four threads you already started for this year in college football.

I beleive you played:

ULM +33.5 (line is now +35) yet your projected line is 33.5 - Huh?
UNLV +17 (line is now +21) yet your projected line is 24.5 - Huh?
Arkansas St. +29 (still +29) versus your 22.5 - makes sense based on your analysis
S Miss +17.5 (line is now +23.5), yet you projected line is 28 - Huh?

That's a loss of 11.5 points compared to the actual lines, good luck with that.

You are becoming close to the biggest clusterfuck on a site with plenty of clusterfucks, and that is saying something.

 

[StevieRay]

What happened in the Baseball tracker forum? Couldn't restart?

 

[Bad_Cat]

Many people do this. It is a good system to use, with others. My question is simply this. How big of a differential between the actual line and your line does there have to be before you place a wager?

I also give 3.5 to the home team for home advantage so if you want a true neutral field line adjust accordingly.

 

[PatsFanatic]

What happened in the Baseball tracker forum? Couldn't restart?

Damn good question.

 

[Bad_Cat]

Many people do this. It is a good system to use, with others. My question is simply this. How big of a differential between the actual line and your line does there have to be before you place a wager?

I also may use a touchdown & a extra point (7) differential, not sure yet until I do a little more backtesting.

 

[Bad_Cat]

Thursday September 03, 2015

Oklahoma State @ Central Michigan

Bad Cat's Power Rating: Oklahoma State -16 1/2 Central Michigan +16 1/2
Bad Cat's Selection: Central Michigan +24 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)

 

[StevieRay]

Not keeping picks here?

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1026425

 

[PatsFanatic]

Guy is addicted to starting, then abandoning threads!

 

[Bad_Cat]

Not keeping picks here?

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1026425

What's it look like to you Miss Secretary. No worries kid, all picks are documented and will be accurately reflected. Spend your money wisely and put a few of your pennies on CMU and thank me later, stalker. Thanks again for stopping by and showing interest in my thread. Now time for you to go troll some more threads. Have a great day Internet stud!

 

[StevieRay]

well the mods tried to make a man out of you in your baseball tracking thread but like all other threads you like to stop when losing and start new ones with different unit amounts , should change next come back name to bad weasel when your banned again

 

[BigdaddyQH]

You will learn in a hurry about home field advantage. You must give between 1 and 6 points, not just some arbitrary number to every team. I will guarantee you that USC has a much bigger home field advantage than UCLA does. Alabama has a much bigger home field advantage than Vandy does. It goes on and on.

 

[Bad_Cat]

You will learn in a hurry about home field advantage. You must give between 1 and 6 points, not just some arbitrary number to every team. I will guarantee you that USC has a much bigger home field advantage than UCLA does. Alabama has a much bigger home field advantage than Vandy does. It goes on and on.

I happen to know plenty about home field advantage and realistically their is no way to gauge it perfectly.