Bad Cat's Power Ratings & Official Plays

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Week 1 of the NFL has always been one of the best betting weeks to beat the books. This season it appears to be a little bit different as I see very tight and accurate lines across the board. As I was comparing my power ratings to the lines, several had identical lines and I only see a few sides with a little value. Surely, as the week progresses, we will see some steam on a few teams and that should soften up a few lines and provide us with a few betting opportunities. Take caution in week 1 and remember it's a long season. There will be many betting opportunities during the season and week 1 isn't the time to force any wagers. Below are my week 1 power ratings/projected lines. I look for about a 3 point differential between the two to consider a side for a play. I had another thread which may contain a slight variance in a few of the lines and that's because I made a slight adjustment to my power rating formula. Good luck this season.

WEEK 1 POWER RATINGS


New England -8
Kansas City -1/2
NY Jets -5 1/2
Indianapolis -1 1/2
Green Bay -6 1/2
Carolina -3
Miami -4 1/2
Seattle -4
Arizona -4 1/2
San Diego -4 1/2
Denver -7
Tampa Bay -3
Cincinnati -3 1/2
Dallas -6
Philadelphia -3 1/2
Minnesota -1/2
 

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I will post any possible plays as soon as the steam moves the line providing us with the value in looking for.
 

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No play for tonight. My line is NE -8 so I see no value in the line. Time to be patient and wait for Sunday.
 

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BAD CAT'S WEEK 1 POWER RATINGS


New England -8 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) New England -7, -110 (William Hill)***

Kansas City -1/2

NY Jets -5 1/2

Indianapolis -1 1/2

Green Bay -6 1/2

Carolina -3

Miami -4 1/2

Seattle -4

Arizona -4 1/2

San Diego -4 1/2

Denver -7

Tampa Bay -3

Cincinnati -3 1/2

Dallas -6

Philadelphia -3 1/2

Minnesota -1/2
 

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BAD CAT'S WEEK 1 POWER RATINGS


LEANS (NO WAGER) 0-0-1
OFFICIAL PLAYS 0-0


New England -8 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) New England -7, -110 (William Hill)*** NE 28 PITT 21 PUSH

Kansas City -1/2

NY Jets -5 1/2

Indianapolis -1 1/2

Green Bay -6 1/2

Carolina -3

Miami -4 1/2

Seattle -4

Arizona -4 1/2

San Diego -4 1/2

Denver -7

Tampa Bay -3

Cincinnati -3 1/2

Dallas -6

Philadelphia -3 1/2

Minnesota -1/2
 

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It will be soon. All the lines are moving in the same direction of my power ratings.
 

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BAD CAT'S WEEK 1 POWER RATINGS


LEANS (NO WAGER) 0-0-1
OFFICIAL PLAYS 0-0

WEEK 1

New England -8 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) New England -7, -110*** NE 28 PITT 21 PUSH

Kansas City -1/2 ***Kansas City -1, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

NY Jets -5 1/2 ***NY Jets -3 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Indianapolis -1 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Buffalo +1, -110***

Green Bay -6 1/2 ***Green Bay -6 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Carolina -3 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Carolina -3, -110***

Miami -4 1/2 ***Miami -3 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Seattle -4 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) St Louis +3 1/2, -110***

Arizona -4 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Arizona -2, -110***

San Diego -4 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) San Diego -3 1/2, -110***

Denver -7 ***Denver -4 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Tampa Bay -3 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Tampa Bay -3, -110***

Cincinnati -3 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Cincinnati -3 1/2, -110***

Dallas -6 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Dallas -6, -110***

Philadelphia -3 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Philadelphia -2 1/2, -110***

Minnesota -1/2 ***Minnesota -2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***
 

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BAD CAT'S WEEK 1 POWER RATINGS


LEANS (NO WAGER) 0-0-1
OFFICIAL PLAYS 0-0






WEEK 1

New England -8 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) New England -7, -110*** NE 28 PITT 21 PUSH

Kansas City -1/2 ***Kansas City -1, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

NY Jets -5 1/2 ***NY Jets -3 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Indianapolis -1 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Buffalo +1, -110***

Green Bay -6 1/2 ***Green Bay -6 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Carolina -3 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Carolina -3, -110***

Miami -4 1/2 ***Miami -3 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Seattle -4 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) St Louis +3 1/2, -110***

Arizona -4 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Arizona -2, -110***

San Diego -4 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) San Diego -3 1/2, -110***

Denver -7 ***Denver -4 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***

Tampa Bay -3 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Tampa Bay -3, -110***

Cincinnati -3 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Cincinnati -3 1/2, -110***

Dallas -6 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Dallas -6, -110***

Philadelphia -3 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Philadelphia -2 1/2, -110***

Minnesota -1/2 ***Minnesota -2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***


All chalk.... good luck but week one is a dog week... we shall see.
 

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Very tight lines this week as I mentioned in my first post. Alot of games will be nail biters.
 

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BAD CAT'S WEEK 1 POWER RATINGS


OFFICIAL PLAYS 5-0, 100%, +5.0 UNITS
LEANS (NO WAGER) 6-1-1, 86%, +4.90 UNITS


WEEK 1

New England -8 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) New England -7, -110*** PUSH

Kansas City -1/2 ***Kansas City -1, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)*** WIN

NY Jets -5 1/2 ***NY Jets -3 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)*** WIN

Indianapolis -1 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Buffalo +1, -110*** WIN

Green Bay -6 1/2 ***Green Bay -6 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)*** WIN

Carolina -3 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Carolina -3, -110*** WIN

Miami -4 1/2 ***Miami -3 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)*** WIN

Seattle -4 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) St Louis +3 1/2, -110*** WIN

Arizona -4 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Arizona -2, -110*** WIN

San Diego -4 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) San Diego -3 1/2, -110*** WIN

Denver -7 ***Denver -4 1/2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)*** WIN

Tampa Bay -3 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Tampa Bay -3, -110*** LOSS

Cincinnati -3 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Cincinnati -3 1/2, -110*** WIN

Dallas -6 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Dallas -6, -110***

Philadelphia -3 1/2 ***LEAN (NO WAGER) Philadelphia -2 1/2, -110***

Minnesota -1/2 ***Minnesota -2, -110 (1.10 to win 1.0)***
 

Yinzer
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Just like you started last season I see.
Always enjoy seeing how you match up with my plays... Well done once again _cat!
 

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Looks like my chalky picks did pretty well in the early games.

Yes congratulations...
I am not a fade the public guy (NO WAY!) , I am just saying (without data) that the first week NFL teams have changed a lot since the last year so a lot of dogs cover. At least that is what I recall...
Good job!
 

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