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New Week! Hoping to turn that ROI to positive this week.

HJK vs KuPS (U2.5 -115)
Today in Finland we have HJK 2nd place vs Kups sitting in middle 8th or 9th just outside Europa qualifying. Goals have been hard to come by for HJK since losing stricker Tanaka. They created very little chances last week and I expect a litte bit of the same this week. Last year both teams won 1 game against each other with 1-0 scores and another match was draw at 1-1.. This year they played each other to a 0-0 draw and I expect this game to be similar. Under 2.5 is my play for today.

Jönköpings Södra vs Östersunds FK (U2.5 -111)[SUB][SUP]
[/SUP][/SUB]
We have two games in Sweden today and in the past I would have just played overs in Sweden since they seem to always hit. However, both teams in the match up have played pretty solid defense lately and I expect that to continue today. Even though both teams cruised last week with 4-0 and 5-0 wins. I think they will find it hard to score against each other.

Chelsea vs West Ham United (U2.75 -111)
I am not sure why this line is moving higher and higher today. West Ham has some key players expected to miss out or gain very little playing time especially with Europa game coming up this week. Chelsea are playing at home but I do not think they will have the score score mentality but more of a score and protect mentality that usually follows with Contes style of play. under 2.75 seems like best bet in todays match up
 

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thought we had that Chelsea under then Costa scores on 89' face)(*^%
 

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Adding a couple of Brasil Plays since I have been hot in that league. Tail with caution been an odd couple of days.

Chapecoense vs Internacional (Chapecoense -0.25 +107)

Chapecoense vs Internacional (O2 -114)
 

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Brazil vs Sweden (-1 -110)

Brazil had their toughest test against a defiant Australian team. Now that they have overcome that hurdle they will face Sweden for the 2nd time in this tournament. They beat the swedes pretty easily the first time around and I expect a little of the same with this match. With home field advantage and USA out of the way I do not see any other team other than Germany that can potentially beat the Brazilian women's team. I expect a 1-0 or 2-0 type of game today.
Steaua Bucuresti vs Manchester City (-1 -104)[SUB][SUP]
[/SUP][/SUB]
Man City have some of the worlds best at their on their team and there is no reason even playing away that they should come out of this game with less then a W.. If you are still uncertain it may be wise to wait for line ups before making the wager. If you see their first time out there I would definitely lock this one up. I may add another unit if I see their starting line up on the field.

Preston North End vs Derby County (Derby ML 100)[SUB][SUP]
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Derby have yet to win a game with 1 draw and 1 loss and expect them to be relentless today. Preston has played solid defense in recent years and playing at home but I expect this derby team to pull of the win. 1-0 or 2-1 type of match.

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Rotherham United (-1 -149)Rotherham have a ton of injury concerns and playing away at Brighton. Brighton was so close to promotion last year and I do not see many teams other teams better. I expect them to exploit the injuries today and come out with an easy win.
 

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Brazil vs Sweden (-1 -110)

Brazil had their toughest test against a defiant Australian team. Now that they have overcome that hurdle they will face Sweden for the 2nd time in this tournament. They beat the swedes pretty easily the first time around and I expect a little of the same with this match. With home field advantage and USA out of the way I do not see any other team other than Germany that can potentially beat the Brazilian women's team. I expect a 1-0 or 2-0 type of game today.
Steaua Bucuresti vs Manchester City (-1 -104)[SUB][/SUB]Man City have some of the worlds best at their on their team and there is no reason even playing away that they should come out of this game with less then a W.. If you are still uncertain it may be wise to wait for line ups before making the wager. If you see their first time out there I would definitely lock this one up. I may add another unit if I see their starting line up on the field.

Preston North End vs Derby County (Derby ML 100)[SUB][/SUB]Derby have yet to win a game with 1 draw and 1 loss and expect them to be relentless today. Preston has played solid defense in recent years and playing at home but I expect this derby team to pull of the win. 1-0 or 2-1 type of match.

Brighton and Hove Albion vs Rotherham United (-1 -149)Rotherham have a ton of injury concerns and playing away at Brighton. Brighton was so close to promotion last year and I do not see many teams other teams better. I expect them to exploit the injuries today and come out with an easy win.
Brazil with 28 goal attempts, 9 shots on goal, and over 70% possession all game and still no score.. give credit to the swedes who just parked the bus and prevailed with penalties.. To bad though a Brazil vs Germany Final for womens would have been exciting add to the fact it may be Brazil vs German finals for Men aswell.. A country who was embarrassed by the Germans during the Mens WC semi final would have loved to get some sort of consolidation with double wins in the final but now they will have to see if the mens team can do..( Note. I know Olympic Soccer is not the same as WC but still would have been a little excitement considering the potential situations)...

On another note I will try to have CL plays shortly.. very tough games today so I may have 1-2 plays.
 

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Beitar Jerusalem vs Saint-Étienne (U2 -115)
Based on the line up and St Etienne game schedule I really like the under in this Europa match up. Odds makers have this line firm at 2 in my book and rightfully so. Flying away to Israel and playing against that roudy crowd is no easy task especially when a team has played last weekend and playing the 1st home game of ligue 1 this weekend. I expect a slow start from both teams as they try to feel it out it. if we go into the half 0-0 I feel confident this will remain 0-0 or end 0-1 at best. BOL

FC Porto vs AS Roma( O2.25 -101)
two big name teams from Italy and Portugal play in this match up. Porto always come out firing on all cyclinders at home and expect them to get 1-2 goals against this suspect defense. However, I do not like Porto to keep a clean sheet or even win out right.. Expect an entertaining match up that can easily end at 2-2 or 1-1 at worst.

Newcastle United vs Reading (ML -145)
New Castle disappointed me and all their followers over the weekend but I do not expect them to lose to Reading at home. Similar to Derby yesterday this is an important game for Newcastle in front of their home crowd. I expect them to edge out reading barely in this knuckle fight of a game.

I was also leaning overs in Olympic games today but due to recent success I'm on the sidelines today. BOL
 

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Swamped day so do not have time for write ups. Below are plays I'm on today. BOL

Astra Giurgiu vs West Ham United (O2.5-128)

Vojvodina vs AZ (O2.25 -132)

Istanbul Basaksehir vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk (SHAK -.25 -139)

FK Austria Wien vs Rosenborg (O2.5 -125)
 

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Swamped day so do not have time for write ups. Below are plays I'm on today. BOL

Astra Giurgiu vs West Ham United (O2.5-128)

Vojvodina vs AZ (O2.25 -132)

Istanbul Basaksehir vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk (SHAK -.25 -139)

FK Austria Wien vs Rosenborg (O2.5 -125)
Damn it West Ham. this was a good example of the need to stay for lineups. would not posted west ham if I knew the 70% of starters were out.. Have to wait another day to bring out the broom sticks for a sweep..
 

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3 plays below. I may add a play in women's world cup but want to see the line ups for Brazil vs Canada first and Germany game is later so I want to see how we do with first group of plays.


Lyon vs Caen (O2.75 -139)

Not much went wrong fir Lyon last week with highly regarded Lacazette scoring a hat trick in he process.. I was initially leaning with LYON -1 but that line has inflated with little value left. However, I do think we see plenty of goals in todays match up. I expect 2-1 at worst taking the over 2.75 today. BOL

Málaga vs Osasuna ( Mal-.75 -122)

excited to have Primera Devision back in play! Today I like Malaga -.75 for many reasons. Malaga despite their record last year had one of the toughest defenses, especially at home. I expect them to continue their defensive form against newly promoted Osasuna team. I think Osasuna will have major difficulty trying to score away from home today. Malaga have also looked good in friendlies and in decent form based on recent games. The starts are aligned for a nice home win today. BOL.

Rubin vs Anzhi (Rub ML -127)
Oh Rubin, one of the most frustrating teams in RPL. Despite the frustration I am not letting my emptions get the best of me hear and avoiding the game. Based offo the last performance against Sparta Moscow (a game they could have won 1-1) I think they pull away with their first win of the season today against Anzi. I was also leaning under 2.25 but sticking with 1 pick for this game.
 

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Brazil vs Canada (BR -.75 -101)

not much needs to be said. expecting 2-0 type of game.
 

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Weekend of Horror continued yesterday.. THread carefully. but hoping for a bounce back Sunday.

Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid ( ML -125)


Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey O2.25 (-120)

3 team parlay: (+106)
Atheltico Madrid ML
Napoli ML
Paris Saint Germain ML
 

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after 4 weeks. not really happy about these results. Friday and Saturday really dropped me down.. but its a marathon not a sprint.. hope to get better this week.

down 2.5 units week over week

Results
  • ROI: -4.74%
  • Profit: -4.7
  • Tips: 108
  • Win: 46%
  • Average Odds: -116
 

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Esbjerg vs OB (O2.25 -154)

Malmö FF vs Jönköpings Södra (O3 -104)

PARLAY: 3 teams +182
IF Elfsborgml
Malmo ML
Galatasary ML
 

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Corinthians vs Vitória (Vit +1.25 -103)

I really like the visitors in the spot against a struggling Corinthians team. Add to the fact that Corinthians forward Andre and Luciano will not be dress since they will be moving to Europe for new contracts. Overall I can easily see this game being a draw but at the worst 2-1 win for Corinthian. However, at even money I will gladly take the points.
 

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nice no loss Monday helped the ROI. Hope to continue the momentum today.

Exeter City vs Hull City ( Hull ML -104)
Chelsea vs Bristol Rovers (Chel -1.75 -149)
Everton vs Yeovil Town (Ev -1.75 -149)
Burton Albion vs Liverpool (O2.75 -132)

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Celtic ( O2.75 -106)
 

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Okay ROI is near 0. meaning we are practically back to 0.. feels like a fresh start..

CL: I will be doing a triple Bet on one game.. I only do this on rare occasion but feel great about this play.

Manchester City vs Steaua Bucuresti (MC -2 -103) * 2 unit
Pep Guardiola said in press conference that he plans a rotation of the squad but a MC rotated squad with likes of Joe Hart at Goal and Yaya toure and Milito will still be more than enough to score goals at home. Especially since Manager Laurentiu Reghecampf also plans to rotate Steau squad. He said himself he knows the tie is over, so he will give a few reserves the chance. As stated below I would take a rotated MC squad over a rotated Steaua squad any day. Should be fun game for MC fans to watch.

Manchester City vs Steaua Bucuresti (O3 -125)

Manchester City vs Steaua Bucuresti (MC-HTFT -161)

Accrington Stanley vs Burnley (Burnley -1 -108)
Fulham vs Middlesbrough (O2.25 -133)

Morecambe vs AFC Bournemouth(O2.75 -125)[SUB][/SUB]
 
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