B&G Bowls 12/22 - 12/27

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Go Pittsburgh!
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Sep 20, 2004
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YTD: Plays range 1-5 units

Straight = 67-53 55.83% +38.85U
Teasers = 1-2 33.33% -2.00U

Total = +36.85U

(Bowl Games: 1-1 50.00% -0.07U)



Tease Kansas +18 & OVER 58.5 3.00/3.00


I pick my spots with teasers as I don't believe they are good wagers to make on a regular basis but can be profitable if used sparingly and wisely. In order for me to get the numbers I want in this game, I feel the tease is the way to go here.

First, I feel that Kansas should be able to stay in this game and here are the TWO biggest reasons: 1) The Wolfpack ranked 90th overall in the nation, allowing 417.5 ypg and were 116th out of 117 Division I-A squads against the pass (287.5 ypg) - (from the Sports Network). With Whittemore back for Kansas, the weak Wolfpack secondary should be a great matchup for Kansas who should have a great deal of success in the passing game. This should allow Kansas to be able to score quickly & often enough to keep up with NC State. 2) Kansas finished the regular season allowing just 196 ypg through the air and 13 passing touchdowns, ranking it 29th in the nation - (from the Sports Network). The strength of the Kansas defense is the secondary so I do not see NC State being able to run away and hide here. The weakness of the Kansas defense is a porous run defense but I don't feel NC State will be able to exploit that enough with their below average running game. With the tease, Kansas needs to stay within 18 points which seems very reasonable. NC State can't stop the pass and Kansas can't stop the run, both teams have offenses that can score quickly. The ball will be in the air often in this game which means first downs(stops clock), incomplete passes(stops clock), and turnovers(leads to short fields and points) so 8 TD's and a field goal to go over 58.5 seems quite likely as well.

Looks good on paper. But we know games are not played on paper, they are played in television sets. Good luck everyone!!!!!!!!!!
 

Go Pittsburgh!
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Well, Kansas couldn't hang as I had expected.

Onto the Fort Worth Bowl...


Boise State/TCU UNDER 59 5.35/5.00

I am not expecting the shootout in this game as many might since Boise is involved. These two teams have MUCH better defenses than we saw in the Tangerine Bowl. Boise State allows 16 points per game and TCU only 20.2. Look for this game to be played in the 20's. FWIW, I am confident enough to make this a 5-unit play, my strongest.
 

Banned
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You bounce back my friend. Good guy are hard to keep down, and your a good guy.
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Go Pittsburgh!
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Bowl games so far are not going like my regular season but I see some value in this 2nd half play. If I get this I only get a split on this game since the under looks like a dud.

Boise -6.5 2nd half 3.30/3.00
 

Go Pittsburgh!
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The Forth Worth Bowl = Party Crasher. Having a dream night in the NBA thus far as well as doing well in college hoops & pucks. Figures college football has been my best all season and now I am getting humbled. Anyway, Merry Christmas everyone, here are the rest of my weekend picks:



New Mexico ML 3.00/3.45
Northwestern +7 3.60/3.00
California +3 3.60/3.00
Virginia -2.5 3.21/3.00
 

Go Pittsburgh!
Joined
Sep 20, 2004
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Straight: 3-5 -5.89U

Teaser: 0-1 -3.00U



YTD: Plays range 1-5 units

Straight = 70-58 54.69% +32.96U
Teasers = 1-3 25.00% -5.00U

Total = +27.96U

(Bowl Games: 4-7 36.36% -8.96)
 

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