AZ: Fade the Consensus Week 9

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thanks, do you post your plays here at rx.
good luck tonight

I actually run a different forum.
The RX has been good to me in the past, ( you can see I've been a member for some time) this is a great site.
This is a great topic to me as I have followed it for years.
I have actually done very well
 

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Final tally from Friday night:


Nba:

Bost- 11
Det- 20

Over - 4
Under -9



Mlb:

Flor - 5
Phily- 1
Over -5
Under -
This one did not qualify at the time of this post but ended up if you added the the last hour of tout plays, but either way the same theory applies...when the touts love a dog of +125 or more the fav gets it done. 11-1 going into tonight, not even counting this one toward the record.

Dodgers- 4
Mets - 11
Over
Under -5
Dodgers +130 winner


Atl - 6
Cinci -7
Over-
Under

Houst - 4
Mil- 4
Over
Under


Pitt -2
St. Louis -8
Over -3
Under -1
Pitt +165 loser


Wash -3
Ariz -3
Over
Under-1


Sd -3
Sf -3
Over
Under


Bost -1
Balt
Over -1
Under

Wsox -6
Tampa -3
Over
Under

Oakland -2
Texas -4
Over
Under

Yanks-5
Minny -8
Over
Under

Cleve -11
Kc -6
Over
Under


Tor -2
Angels -11
Over
Under -4
Toronto +120, pending. Leading 8-4 in the 7th.



Det -1
Seattle -1
Over -2
Under -1

Overall 1-1 +$30 with Toronto pending.
 

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No, not playing Cleveland...
I feel the strongest play on the board is Milwaukee.
But I do think Cleveland wins EZ
You need to take the time and sort it all out.
I will admit, I am a guy who plays minimum plays (large), but I try to find the best play on the board....

wiz, do you mind sharing where you get your information from and how do you determine "where the money is" so that you can fade it.
Also curious how you came to the conclusion that Milw was the best play on the board. Not sure where you get your tout information but on the service play forums the touts were right down the middle on that game. I assume you use a different set of tools and curious to your method if you care to share. Thanks.

AZ
 

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wiz, do you mind sharing where you get your information from and how do you determine "where the money is" so that you can fade it.
Also curious how you came to the conclusion that Milw was the best play on the board. Not sure where you get your tout information but on the service play forums the touts were right down the middle on that game. I assume you use a different set of tools and curious to your method if you care to share. Thanks.

AZ

AZ,
I don't rely on forums to provide me with the tout plays (to inconsistent)
I go to a couple of sites that monitor services that provide number of services on a side. It really doesn't mater to me what the name of the service is, I just want the actual count.
I then look at a couple of sites that provide Joe Q Public information on where the public is as far as bets, not money.
Once you see the games that the touts and public are on the same side you use sportsbooks that reveal were the actual money is to verify which plays are actually taking money. It's about fading money, not picks.
 

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Saturday

nothing on the the early game saturday

I am jumping on the cubbie train for a small rl play
 

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ATLANTA BRAVES 82% Touts
ATLANTA BRAVES 72% Joe Q Public
ATLANTA BRAVES 95% Money

The Play CINCINNATI REDS
 

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wiz,

can you direct me to the website of the tout percentages?
 

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wiz,

can you direct me to the website of the tout percentages?

4 sho, there is more than one. I really can't go ripping off links to other sites on this site, don't think it would be appreciated by the owner and staff here.
 

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TOUT TALLY

MLB

COL OVER
CUBS -7 UNDER

ATL-7 OVER-2
CIN-1 UNDER

LAD-7 OVER-2
METS -1 UNDER-1

SD -1 OVER
SF -3 UNDER

FLA -1 OVER-1
PHI-5 UNDER

HOU-1 OVER
MIL-2 UNDER-1

PIT OVER-1
STL -3 UNDER

WASH -2 OVER
AZ -3 UNDER-1

DET-4 OVER
SEA - 4 UNDER-3

W.SOX-1 OVER
TB-5 UNDER

BOS-10 OVER-1
BAL -4 UNDER

Cleve-4 OVER
KC -2 UNDER-1

NYY -3 OVER-2
MIN-1 UNDER

OAK -2 OVER
TEX UNDER

TOR OVER
LAA -7 UNDER-2

NHL

DET-1 OVER-2
PIT -2 UNDER
 

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Guys need to stop asking for sites and do some searching.
I was banned from this thread and I really don't want to be. I really enjoy this kind of stuff and I am more than willing to share input, but my intention isn't to get banned.
 

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