Gael Monfils in our opinion is clearly the top value for Day 4.
AUSTRALIAN OPEN
DAY 3
21 January 2015
Match Start 11.00am Melbourne (00.00am London)
Gael Monfils - Nicolas Mahut
Why should you bet on Gael Monfils?
Because..
This is a Grand Slam event, that is a completely different sport than a normal ATP tournament. 3 to 5 Sets is no way comparable to 2 to 3 Sets. A
Nicolas Mahut is a serve and volley player, from the baseline/returns he is not worth the first 100 players of the tour. He does have a good service, not extremely powerful but very incisive and also to the net, definitively a player to respect, the big deal for the tall French is that he plays Gael Monfils that either on returns and passing shots is one of the best on the tour and that is a top key on this match.
Another key is the surface, in fact Nicolas Mahut would play this match with way more chances on an indoors carpet/fast surface or either on the US Hard surface, that are by far faster surfaces than the Plexicushion of the Australian Open.
On a 3/5 match we really don't find the key for Mahut, also the weather plays a bad game against him, because to keep serving great for such a long time with a very hot weather and very sunny is extremely difficult.
To bet at these odds on a regular ATP Tournament is losing money in the long term, but a Grand Slam is completely a different thing and for us is way too clear that this will be a winning bet and on these circumstances 1.29 is worth a lot of money.
Bookies are paying this 1.29 extremely high in our opinion.
Tip Winner: Gael Monfils
Price: 1.29
Book: Pinnaclesports
Stakes: Level