Auburn/fsu - sos

[Cantpickem]

We've examined the strength of schedule on all of the bowl games this year. With a few exceptions, the team with the better SOS covered the spread. Auburn has a SOS ranked at 20 while FSU is ranked at 63.
Many of us have watched both of these teams over the past year. They are both explosive teams each possessing unique qualities.

There are many posts that exemplify these qualities so I'm not going to dwell on them. Feel free to read them.

Based strictly on SOS I would have to lean with the 10.5 pts with Auburn tonight. SOS has been very good to me during this bowl season.
GL to all tonight

 

[russ1945]

We've examined the strength of schedule on all of the bowl games this year. With a few exceptions, the team with the better SOS covered the spread. Auburn has a SOS ranked at 20 while FSU is ranked at 63.
Many of us have watched both of these teams over the past year. They are both explosive teams each possessing unique qualities.

There are many posts that exemplify these qualities so I'm not going to dwell on them. Feel free to read them.

Based strictly on SOS I would have to lean with the 10.5 pts with Auburn tonight. SOS has been very good to me during this bowl season.
GL to all tonight

My spread sheets show that teams with an SOS advantage went 17-17 ATS. The 3 teams with the largest SOS advantage on my spread sheets all won ATS (N Carolina, Miss St, and Pitt.) I also show Auburn with an SOS advantage tonight. Teams in that same range are 0-4 ATS.

 

[Acebb]

Teams with the schedule advantage are 21-10 SU and 18-13 ATS in bowl games. The three largest schedule advantage teams were USC, Pitt, and Miss State (followed closely by Wash State who lost).

Oklahoma was the only team to have a schedule advantage and be a DD dog.

 

[Cantpickem]

in the last 15 years of the BCS, DD dog have won the National Championship.

 

[goin4broke]

in the last 15 years of the BCS, DD dog have won the National Championship.

also this year dogs ml and over are 4-0 in bcs games for what thats worth lol

 

[ToothedTeddy]

in the last 15 years of the BCS, DD dog have won the National Championship.

Notre Dame last year?? they were +10

 

[ToothedTeddy]

My spread sheets show that teams with an SOS advantage went 17-17 ATS. The 3 teams with the largest SOS advantage on my spread sheets all won ATS (N Carolina, Miss St, and Pitt.) I also show Auburn with an SOS advantage tonight. Teams in that same range are 0-4 ATS.

good post.

I think the point is - anyone can dig up stats/trends to support/justify their lean.

 

[Acebb]

My understanding is that last year ND closed at +9.5

 

[Acebb]

I also show Auburn with an SOS advantage tonight. Teams in that same range are 0-4 ATS.

:think2:

Can you elaborate russ? Because Oklahoma played a tougher schedule than 'Bama and was a DD dog and won outright. Do you mean the range of the schedule gap?

 

[ToothedTeddy]

My understanding is that last year ND closed at +9.5

guess that depends on the outlet. I know the # was 10 on the day of the game when I bet it

 

[Cantpickem]

Florida State is the third-largest favorite in BCS national championship game history. Both previous double-digit underdogs – Ohio State (+12) vs. Miami in 2003, and Oklahoma (+11.5) vs. Florida State in 2001 – won outright.


Here’s a look back at the lines, totals and results for the 15 championship games of the BCS era.

Year	Winner (spread)	Loser	Score	Total	O/U	Site
2013	Alabama (-9.5)	Notre Dame	42-14	40.5	OVER	Miami
2012	Alabama (-2.5)	LSU	21-0	41	UNDER	New Orleans
2011	Auburn (+1)	Oregon	22-19	73	UNDER	Glendale
2010	Alabama (-3.5)	Texas	37-21	44.5	OVER	Pasadena
2009	Florida (-5.5)	Oklahoma	24-14	69	UNDER	Miami
2008	LSU (-4)	Ohio State	38-24	46	OVER	New Orleans
2007	Florida (+7)	Ohio State	41-14	47	OVER	Glendale
2006	Texas (+7)	USC	41-38	69	OVER	Pasadena
2005	USC (-3)	Oklahoma	55-19	54	OVER	Miami
2004	LSU (+6)	Oklahoma	21-14	47	UNDER	New Orleans
2003	Ohio State (+12)	Miami	31-24	48	OVER	Tempe
2002	Miami (-8.5)	Nebraska	37-14	54	UNDER	Pasadena
2001	Oklahoma (+11.5)	Florida State	13-2	56	UNDER	Miami
2000	Florida State (-6)	Virginia Tech	46-29	49	OVER	New Orleans
1999	Tennessee (+5.5)	Florida State	23-16	41.5	UNDER	Tempe