Aub -3 vs Org

[Enfuego]

Ridiculous.
Sure there are some letdowns when a good team plays in a lesser bowl than they had hoped. But overall > 90% the teams play hard, to win, are driven hard to win by the AD, coach, and coaching staff, and the players are all focused to win on national TV, compete for starting positions next year, look good for their final game, be able to tell people at work, at a BBQ, at a bar, the rest of their lives they won a goddam bowl game!

2017 Pac 12 2-7 ATS in bowl games
2018 Pac 12 2-5 ATS in bowl games (they vary with close point spreads)
TOTAL: Pac 12 is 4-12 ATS

Bet against the Pac 12 = 75% winners

This is indicative of the relative strength of conferences.
The public hears about how good the big power conference Pac 12 teams like Oregon or USC et al looked against their own conference for several months. Then they go into the real world of bowls against other conferences.
SURE I look at QB's, defense, motivation, coaching, home/away, running game, OL, DL, injuries, weather, turf but the fact that the Pac 12 is a soft conference is a key factor in my assessment.

Handicapping regular season games in 2019 has nothing to do with bowl games in 2018. I don't know how to make it any clearer and everyone here will agree.

Is the PAC-12 as good as the SEC? No way.

 

[Madslasher]

It seems like this game is screaming take Auburn with that line. That is always a good sign for the dog to cover.

 

[Madslasher]

I will put my first official pick up. I am taking Org to the bank. Remember my friends, only bet what you need.

 

[REDEYE]

Handicapping regular season games in 2019 has nothing to do with bowl games in 2018. I don't know how to make it any clearer and everyone here will agree.

Is the PAC-12 as good as the SEC? No way.

not sure he should be all in on trashing the Pac 12 .. one of the guys running his mouth that Ohio St will kill Washington.. pretty quiet after that.. All in on Bama too laying the pts.. probably had the summation right Enfuego , lazy , just like his political talking pts... Harris , Harris , Harris , Harris …….. surprised he didn't tell you to THINK

 

[X-Files]

SBR says line opened at -6.5 & now -3. With 56% on Auburn.

https://www.nbcsports.com/northwest...s-will-beat-auburn-oregon-football-prediction

:think2:

 

[Enfuego]

not sure he should be all in on trashing the Pac 12 .. one of the guys running his mouth that Ohio St will kill Washington.. pretty quiet after that.. All in on Bama too laying the pts.. probably had the summation right Enfuego , lazy , just like his political talking pts... Harris , Harris , Harris , Harris …….. surprised he didn't tell you to THINK

Well, as you know, I am a PAC-12 fan like you but when it comes to football, they just aren't on the same level as the SEC.

All that said, football kicks off in about three weeks now and when I look at the matchups, I don't think back to the www.porn.com bowl from 2017 and base my plays this year on that bowl game. That's absurd.

 

[X-Files]

"It’s the first meeting between these teams since Auburn’s 22-19 win in the BCS National Championship game in 2011."

https://www.nbcsports.com/northwest...s-will-beat-auburn-oregon-football-prediction

I wonder what the ATS game line was in that matchup?

Did most of the public think the SEC team would win & cover the spread against the allegedly inferior West Coast team?

 

[StevieRay]

"it’s the first meeting between these teams since auburn’s 22-19 win in the bcs national championship game in 2011."

https://www.nbcsports.com/northwest...s-will-beat-auburn-oregon-football-prediction

i wonder what the ats game line was in that matchup?

Did most of the public think the sec team would win & cover the spread against the allegedly inferior west coast team?

au -3

 

[REDEYE]

"It’s the first meeting between these teams since Auburn’s 22-19 win in the BCS National Championship game in 2011."

https://www.nbcsports.com/northwest...s-will-beat-auburn-oregon-football-prediction

I wonder what the ATS game line was in that matchup?

Did most of the public think the SEC team would win & cover the spread against the allegedly inferior West Coast team?

Auburn was -3.. late movement had Ducks favored by 2