<h2>Around the Horn ATS Style</h2>
By Ron Raymond<br>
July 23rd, 2008
<p>
<h2>Today’s Baseball Pick</h2>
Oakland – Tampa Bay: <b>UNDER 7.5 -115</b><br>
Action on game.
<br><br>
<b>Keys to selection:</b> Any time a team gets outclassed in their past game, teams with a winning record fall in my “line value” category. Let’s face it, when the Kansas City Royals get beat by 8 runs or more, the perception is they are just a bad team and have been in this position more times then a team with a winning record. Therefore, I don’t put much value in the Royals to win in their next game, as I would a team with a winning record like the Rays. Sure there’s line value in backing up a team like the Royals after a bad lost, but that’s about it.
<p>
Looking at today’s action, the Rays lost by 7 runs last night vs. the A’s and when a home team loses by 7 runs in their last game this season, they are 15-6 SU in their next game. However, I feel there’s more value in betting the under 7.5 posted total this afternoon for several reasons.
<p>
a) The Rays have seen the UNDER go to 11-2-0 when they are a Home Favorite vs. Left handed pitchers this season.<br>
b) It’s get away day for both clubs, as the Rays travel to KC after this game and the A’s return home for a series with the Rangers. Look for both team to get out of dodge quickly.
<p>
Nice pitching duel this afternoon, Smith vs. Shields and the UNDER is 14-3-0 when Smith toes the rubber for Oakland this season.
<h2>Baseball Streakers</h2>
<b>Who’s Hot:</b> Milwaukee 6 SU Wins, NY Yankees 5 SU Wins, Detroit 3 SU Wins.<br>
<b>Who’s Not:</b> Seattle 4 SU Losses, Minnesota 3 SU Losses, Houston 3 SU Losses.<br>
<b>O/U Streaks:</b> Toronto 4 Over, Washington 4 Over, San Francisco 4 Over, Los Angeles Dodgers 3 Over, Colorado 3 Over, Boston 4 Under, Los Angeles Angels 4 Under , Florida 3 Under.
<h2>Today’s Stats and Trends</h2>
<b>San Diego vs. Cincinnati</b>: When CINCINNATI team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - Last 5 years - During the month of July; The Reds are 14-7 SU in this role L5Y.
<p>
<b>Pittsburgh vs. Houston</b>: When PITTSBURGH team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a 2 game winning streak; The OVER is 8-3-0 for the Pirates in this situation.
<p>
<b>Los Angeles vs. Colorado</b>: When LOS ANGELES team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Playing on Wednesday - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a night game; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Dodgers in this spot.
<p>
<b>Atlanta vs. Florida</b>: When FLORIDA team Played as home team as a Underdog - During the 2008 season - 3rd game of a series; The UNDER is 8-3-0 for the Marlins in this role this season.
<p>
<b>Philadelphia vs. New York Mets</b>: When NY METS team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - 2nd game of a series - Playing on Wednesday; The Mets are 11-4 SU in this role since ’97.
<p>
<b>Milwaukee vs. St.Louis</b>: When ST LOUIS team Played as home team as a Underdog - 3rd game of a series - Vs. Left handed pitchers; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Cards in this position.
<p>
<b>Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona</b>: When ARIZONA team played as a Home team - 3rd game of a series - During a night game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a 2 game winning streak; The Dbacks are 12-1 SU in this role.
<p>
<b>Washington vs. San Francisco</b>: When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - During a night game - During the month of July; The Giants are 14-1 SU in this spot since ’97.
<p>
<b>Oakland vs. Tampa Bay</b>: When TAMPA BAY team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs. Left handed pitchers; The UNDER is 11-2-0 for the Rays in this spot at home this year.
<p>
<b>Minnesota vs. New York Yankees</b>: When NY YANKEES team Played as Home team as a Favorite - After a non division game - During a day game - Coming off a night game - Allowed 2 runs AGAINST in their last game; The OVER is 15-7-0 for the Yankees in this role.
<p>
<b>Texas vs. Chicago White Sox</b>: When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team - Vs AL Conference - During the month of July - Playing on Wednesday - Coming off 1 over - Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series; The UNDER is 13-5-1 for the Road Team (Rangers) in this spot.
<p>
<b>Detroit vs. Kansas City</b>: When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - After a division game - Coming off a 6 run lost - Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent; The Home Fave is 15-4 SU in this role since ’97.
<p>
<b>Cleveland vs. Los Angeles Angels</b>: When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a Home team - Coming off vs. American League opponent - 3rd game of a series - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent; The UNDER is 14-6-1 for the Angels in this role.
<p>
<b>Boston vs. Seattle</b>: When SEATTLE team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - During a day game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a night game - Coming off a Home loss; The Mariners are 3-12 SU in this spot since ’97.
<p>
<b>Toronto vs. Baltimore</b>: When BALTIMORE team played as a Home team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - 3rd game of a series - Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a 2 run lost; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Orioles in this role.
<p>
<b>*Note:</b> When a line is a PK -110; the Favorites are identified by the run line. Example: Kansas City PK -110 (-1.5 +180)
By Ron Raymond<br>
July 23rd, 2008
<p>
<h2>Today’s Baseball Pick</h2>
Oakland – Tampa Bay: <b>UNDER 7.5 -115</b><br>
Action on game.
<br><br>
<b>Keys to selection:</b> Any time a team gets outclassed in their past game, teams with a winning record fall in my “line value” category. Let’s face it, when the Kansas City Royals get beat by 8 runs or more, the perception is they are just a bad team and have been in this position more times then a team with a winning record. Therefore, I don’t put much value in the Royals to win in their next game, as I would a team with a winning record like the Rays. Sure there’s line value in backing up a team like the Royals after a bad lost, but that’s about it.
<p>
Looking at today’s action, the Rays lost by 7 runs last night vs. the A’s and when a home team loses by 7 runs in their last game this season, they are 15-6 SU in their next game. However, I feel there’s more value in betting the under 7.5 posted total this afternoon for several reasons.
<p>
a) The Rays have seen the UNDER go to 11-2-0 when they are a Home Favorite vs. Left handed pitchers this season.<br>
b) It’s get away day for both clubs, as the Rays travel to KC after this game and the A’s return home for a series with the Rangers. Look for both team to get out of dodge quickly.
<p>
Nice pitching duel this afternoon, Smith vs. Shields and the UNDER is 14-3-0 when Smith toes the rubber for Oakland this season.
<h2>Baseball Streakers</h2>
<b>Who’s Hot:</b> Milwaukee 6 SU Wins, NY Yankees 5 SU Wins, Detroit 3 SU Wins.<br>
<b>Who’s Not:</b> Seattle 4 SU Losses, Minnesota 3 SU Losses, Houston 3 SU Losses.<br>
<b>O/U Streaks:</b> Toronto 4 Over, Washington 4 Over, San Francisco 4 Over, Los Angeles Dodgers 3 Over, Colorado 3 Over, Boston 4 Under, Los Angeles Angels 4 Under , Florida 3 Under.
<h2>Today’s Stats and Trends</h2>
<b>San Diego vs. Cincinnati</b>: When CINCINNATI team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - Last 5 years - During the month of July; The Reds are 14-7 SU in this role L5Y.
<p>
<b>Pittsburgh vs. Houston</b>: When PITTSBURGH team played as a 100 to 120 Road Underdog - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a 2 game winning streak; The OVER is 8-3-0 for the Pirates in this situation.
<p>
<b>Los Angeles vs. Colorado</b>: When LOS ANGELES team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Playing on Wednesday - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a night game; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Dodgers in this spot.
<p>
<b>Atlanta vs. Florida</b>: When FLORIDA team Played as home team as a Underdog - During the 2008 season - 3rd game of a series; The UNDER is 8-3-0 for the Marlins in this role this season.
<p>
<b>Philadelphia vs. New York Mets</b>: When NY METS team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - 2nd game of a series - Playing on Wednesday; The Mets are 11-4 SU in this role since ’97.
<p>
<b>Milwaukee vs. St.Louis</b>: When ST LOUIS team Played as home team as a Underdog - 3rd game of a series - Vs. Left handed pitchers; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Cards in this position.
<p>
<b>Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona</b>: When ARIZONA team played as a Home team - 3rd game of a series - During a night game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a 2 game winning streak; The Dbacks are 12-1 SU in this role.
<p>
<b>Washington vs. San Francisco</b>: When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - During a night game - During the month of July; The Giants are 14-1 SU in this spot since ’97.
<p>
<b>Oakland vs. Tampa Bay</b>: When TAMPA BAY team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs. Left handed pitchers; The UNDER is 11-2-0 for the Rays in this spot at home this year.
<p>
<b>Minnesota vs. New York Yankees</b>: When NY YANKEES team Played as Home team as a Favorite - After a non division game - During a day game - Coming off a night game - Allowed 2 runs AGAINST in their last game; The OVER is 15-7-0 for the Yankees in this role.
<p>
<b>Texas vs. Chicago White Sox</b>: When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team - Vs AL Conference - During the month of July - Playing on Wednesday - Coming off 1 over - Coming off a lost in game 2 of a series; The UNDER is 13-5-1 for the Road Team (Rangers) in this spot.
<p>
<b>Detroit vs. Kansas City</b>: When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - After a division game - Coming off a 6 run lost - Coming off a Loss vs. AL CENTRAL opponent; The Home Fave is 15-4 SU in this role since ’97.
<p>
<b>Cleveland vs. Los Angeles Angels</b>: When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a Home team - Coming off vs. American League opponent - 3rd game of a series - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent; The UNDER is 14-6-1 for the Angels in this role.
<p>
<b>Boston vs. Seattle</b>: When SEATTLE team played as a -120 to -140 Home Favorite - During a day game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a night game - Coming off a Home loss; The Mariners are 3-12 SU in this spot since ’97.
<p>
<b>Toronto vs. Baltimore</b>: When BALTIMORE team played as a Home team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - 3rd game of a series - Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a 2 run lost; The UNDER is 8-2-0 for the Orioles in this role.
<p>
<b>*Note:</b> When a line is a PK -110; the Favorites are identified by the run line. Example: Kansas City PK -110 (-1.5 +180)
