Arizona Diamondbacks are a winner (thursday)

[knowthegame]

Arizona -157...........Hit It!!!!!!!!

 

[clearx1]

good luck. is at -150 in the early morning hours. just made a small wager on milwaukee at +146.

 

[billhill999]

Manny Parra vs. Batters, for Career, Min. 0 PA's, Sorted by Name, Then by Name, vs. players for ARI

PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GDP G_miss YR_miss
+-----------------+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
Chris Young 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Justin Upton 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .333 .000 .333 0 0 0 0 0
Chad Tracy 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Mark Reynolds 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 .333 .333 .333 .666 0 0 0 0 0
Micah Owings 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Augie Ojeda 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Orlando Hudson 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Burke 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 .667 1.334 0 0 0 0 0
+-----------------+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
Total 21 19 4 0 0 0 1 2 7 .211 .286 .211 .497 0 0 0 0 0

 

[miamiboy86]

sooooo...your saying, go with the under??????

 

[miamiboy86]

just looked at it...making a play on the brew crew!!!

 

[bookieskatrina]

Crew at this number is good. Para looks great and AZ offense is not good right now. Webb has not looked good lately. Maybe he pulls it together today. Unders looks nice. Tough call. Gl

 

[TheKids]

I cant see taking the brewers at anything less then 150 or 160. Personally would need to get higher then that against Web.

Im with the Dbacks call here, small. ML and RL. Only play maybe 5 games all year at over -150.

GL

 

[billhill999]

sooooo...your saying, go with the under??????

Let me put it this way, every number I crunched comes up under:

On paper, I can't see how the under can't hit, but I am not all about Games of the Month, Lock City or anything like that.
Games are played on the field, not on paper, but on paper it looks like this:


<LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 9-1 in Brewers last 10 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 9-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 on grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League West. Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 games as an underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.<LI class=morehot>Under is 7-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games following a loss. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 on grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

 

[LANCEYHOWARD]

here are a few trends you might have missed.

Over is 6-1 in Webbs last 7 home starts.
Over is 5-2 in Webbs last 7 starts vs. Brewers.
Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 7-2 in Diamondbacks last 9 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
Over is 27-9 in Diamondbacks last 36 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 10-1 in Webbs last 11 starts during game 4 of a series.
Over is 6-1 in Webbs last 7 starts as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Webbs last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Over is 6-2-1 in Webbs last 9 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Over is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 during game 4 of a series.
Over is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 4-0-1 in Parras last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 4-1 in Parras last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 5-2-1 in Parras last 8 starts on grass.


Umpire Trends - Adrian Johnson
Over is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 Thursday games behind home plate.


i like the brewers today myself...gl with your plays today guys

 

[knucklecup]

Manny Parra vs. Batters, for Career, Min. 0 PA's, Sorted by Name, Then by Name, vs. players for ARI

PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GDP G_miss YR_miss
+-----------------+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
Chris Young 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Justin Upton 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .333 .000 .333 0 0 0 0 0
Chad Tracy 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Mark Reynolds 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 .333 .333 .333 .666 0 0 0 0 0
Micah Owings 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Augie Ojeda 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
Orlando Hudson 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
Chris Burke 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667 .667 .667 1.334 0 0 0 0 0
+-----------------+---+---+---+--+--+--+---+---+---+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+---+---+---+---+------+-------+
Total 21 19 4 0 0 0 1 2 7 .211 .286 .211 .497 0 0 0 0 0

You can't bet the under because Parra has had (limited) success against Arizona hitters in 21 total at-bats. That's silly.

 

[RDSmith48]

Ariz-Mil

Let me put it this way, every number I crunched comes up under:

On paper, I can't see how the under can't hit, but I am not all about Games of the Month, Lock City or anything like that.
Games are played on the field, not on paper, but on paper it looks like this:



<LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 9-1 in Brewers last 10 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 9-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 on grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 vs. National League West. Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.


<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Brewers last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3 in Brewers last 12 games as an underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2 in Brewers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.<LI class=morehot>Under is 7-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 games following a loss. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 on grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Be careful Chase plays to 10.1 rpg in daylight, total is set @ 8, the adjustment has already been made, Parra has been in better form than Webb, Ariz. 3-2 ag L @ hm., Milw. 6-8 ag. R on road; if you can get +145 or better I think that's the play, otherwise sit it out.

 

[knowthegame]

I'm backing Webb at home, where he is LIGHTS OUT......GL all......

 

[LilDunDun]

I'm backing Webb at home, where he is LIGHTS OUT......GL all......

GL, but his last game at home was a disaster.

3.1 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, 5 BB in a 15-1 loss to the weak hittings A's. Not to mention the D'Backs are a joke right now.

 

[knowthegame]

Ya, I think he rebounds and throws well today.....its just 1 game either way...

 

[sherwood]

IMO opinion, all trends are completely useless. You can find trends favoring both sides and both totals and whatever happened last week, last month, last year or any other time has no impact on the outcome today. To think otherwise is ludicrous.

With 1000's of games played over the years you'll find trends that stick out more then others, like the one's posted here but do you really believe that something like this (Under is 9-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200) has an impact on today's total. That's ridiculous.

Using trends to decide on your wagers will diminish your bankroll quickly. Very quickly.

 

[knowthegame]

IMO opinion, all trends are completely useless. You can find trends favoring both sides and both totals and whatever happened last week, last month, last year or any other time has no impact on the outcome today. To think otherwise is ludicrous.

With 1000's of games played over the years you'll find trends that stick out more then others, like the one's posted here but do you really believe that something like this (Under is 9-1 in Brewers last 10 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200) has an impact on today's total. That's ridiculous.

Using trends to decide on your wagers will diminish your bankroll quickly. Very quickly.

I could not agree more Sherwood....

 

[knowthegame]

In seven home starts Webb is 6-1, the team is 6-1 in those starts, and his ERA is a tidy 3.88.

 

[knowthegame]

Webb versus Milwaukee hitters:
Bill Hall is 1-for-7
J.J. Hardy is 4-for-11; all singles
Corey Hart has never hit against Webb and he isn't likely to start today
Jason Kendall is 2-or-10
Rickie Weeks is 1-for-11
Russell Branyan is 5-for-9 with three extra base hits.
Ryan J. Braun is 0-for-3
Mike Cameron is 8-for-24 (.234) with a home run at Milwaukee
Craig Counsell is 0-for-4
Prince Fielder is 6-for-10

 

[knowthegame]

Parra versus Arizona hitters:
The Diamondbacks, who are a better hitting team against left-handed starters are 5-for-20 combined against Parra - but all five hits are singles.

 

[I_Need_Money]

Braun out of lineup again today.