Ariz @ SEAT : only 4 times in past 25 years....

[i'mshockedshocked]

has a team with a W-L record like Arizona's 9-1 been such a heavy underdog as they are this week. see below. record ATS for the 4 is 0-3-1.

week > 11 and WP > 85 and line > 6 and week < 17
SU: 0-4-0 (-18.00, 0.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 0-3-1 (-8.38, 0.0%) avg line: 9.6 +6: 3-1-0 (75.0%) -6: 0-4-0 (0.0%) +10: 3-1-0 (75.0%) -10: 0-4-0 (0.0%) O/U: 2-2-0 (2.38, 50.0%) avg total: 44.6 +6: 2-2-0 (50.0%) -6: 3-1-0 (75.0%) +10: 1-3-0 (25.0%) -10: 4-0-0 (100.0%)
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 21.2 83.2 35.8 21.8 230.2 1.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.5 14.5 Opp 30.5 124.8 29.5 19.2 229.8 0.8 9.2 7.8 5.2 10.2 32.5
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 23, 1995 Thursday 13 1995 Chiefs Cowboys away 0-14 6-0 6-7 0-3 12-24 12.0 43.5 -12 0.0 -7.5 -3.8 -3.8 L P U 0 Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Broncos Packers away 3-3 0-10 3-7 0-21 6-41 10.0 39.0 -35 -25.0 8.0 -8.5 16.5 L L O 0 Dec 24, 2005 view Saturday 16 2005 Colts Seahawks away 3-7 3-7 0-7 7-7 13-28 9.5 44.5 -15 -5.5 -3.5 -4.5 1.0 L L U 0 Nov 29, 2007 view Thursday 13 2007 Packers Cowboys away 10-13 7-14 7-0 3-10 27-37 7.0 51.5 -10 -3.0 12.5 4.8 7.8 L L O 0 Nov 23, 2014 view Sunday 12 2014 Cardinals Seahawks away 6.5 42.0 Showing 1 to 5 of 5 entries

 

[powerz]

The Spring Line was -10.5 for the hawks

Max Unger Seattle C - most likely out - injured his Ankle in 4th Q vs KC - hurts their running game

 

[JohnnyMags]

Didn't you notice 9-0 Miss St the#1 team getting 10pts?

I know college right? Well here's some factors

Road Game - Desperate World Champions - 12th Man - No Carson Palmer - Must win for Seattle

Do I need to go on? - Not that it's a lock .... just factors

 

[gremlin]

This 'trend' favors Seattle then, right? Sorry I was just a little confused.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

yes, right, trend ,such as it is, favors seattle. but with only 4 priors in 25 years, it's hard to have a lot of conviction. posted it more as conversation piece because it is so unusual for a team w/ the NFL's best record to be such a heavy underdog.

 

[MalikSealy]

shocked - can you just translate the parameters you are putting in here? is it teams w this exact record and more than a 6 pt dog?

thanks

 

[Cantpickem]

OH MY OH MY OH MY....do you think they want you to take AZ?? What an early Christmas (can I type that in the forum) gift?

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

translation: since 1989( as far back as the database goes), a situationin which a team with a greater than 85% winning percentage after week 11( excluding week#17 cause of all the weird substitutions that week as playoff teams rest their first string) that is, despite its great record, getting more than 6 pts, has occurred only 4 times, and that team( Arizona in this case), has lost all 4 games, and lost 3 of them to the spread(tying vs spread once when the spread was 12 pts)

 

[crazykind]

Seattle is ravaged by injuries right now on both lines. Without Mebane they could not stop the run on sunday at all (over 6 yards per carry) which was once their strength (a little over 3 per). With Max Unger, the center and leader of the O-line out now, the offense is sure to suffer (even though the zone blocking scheme masks deficiencies) which will be tough to overcome if the defense cannot be its old self and hold opponents under 20. Arizona reminds me of the Seahawks of last year, an intimidating ball hawking D and an offense that does enough to win the close ones. Stanton looked a little shaky last week and still got the win against a solid defense, but Seattle is a very tough place for a young QB to play. If Mebane weren't out i would be all over the under, but this Hawk team is in disarray and is scrambling to find a solution while running out of games. Teams respond unpredictably with their backs against the walls - I do not see Seattle quitting but the question is if they have the horses to compete with the elite. Seahawks should get their best linebacker and play-caller Bobby Wagner back this week, which will provide a boost to the D. Zona has that feeling of a team of destiny, while Seattle has that feeling of a somewhat cursed team that just won't be able to put it all together in time. Big game in the toughest division in the NFL, should be fun...

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Seattle SU yes, there's no doubt in my mind they win, but the spread is a different animal.......

 

[Kojak]

Playing devils advocate, Arizona with a win here can basically lock up division as they would gave 5 game lead over Seattle and 4 over SF minimum due to head to head. Motivation here for Arizona is to stay home for playoffs and Super Bowl. Seattle having problems vs run all of a sudden plus Unger out, and Lynch being a locker room headache. They will struggle to score nearly as much as Arizona will. In reality, Hawks should not be favored by this much over any average team right now let alone Nfl leaders. I think Coach Ariens is as good as any coach in the league including Bellichick at scheming with a game plan. No value with Hawks plus obvious motivation that simply may not come to fruition. They may win but hard to see it by a td or greater unless Stanton is throwing pick 6's.

 

[justanobserver]

Just out of curiosity, where is this database with all this info? I know its a stupid question but I am very new to this.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

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