Ancient chinese secret !
Actually it's really pretty simple. Take tonight for instance lets handicap the Florida State Game as an example:
Florida State: Scores 66.1 ppg on the road and they allow 67.2 ppg
Boston College: Scores 70.9 ppg at home and allows 73.5 ppg
Take the 66.1 (fsu offense) + 73.5 (bc defense ppg allowed) divide by 2 = 69.8 ppg for Florida State in this game.
Take the 70.9 (BC offense) + 67.2 (FSU D ppg allowed) divide by 2 = 69.05 ppg for BC in this game
I start there. If it's worth continuing I go to records away and home. FSU is 5-6 away and BC is 4-8 at home
Still not too excited, so from here I read the breakdowns of every game I like from this point on. You can also get the ppg calculations closer by throwing out blow outs etc...
this will give you your own ppg average that you can use in the above calculations. It takes alot of time but if you do it thru the season you will have the majority of the work done by mid-season.
In the game we are talking about here, here are some notes:
BC beat Syracuse because Syracuse was worried about Duke
Florida State Plays Syracuse this weekend so are they worried about BC?
BC just beat Wake Forest 80-72 with a "D" that held Wake to 6 field goals in the first half.
So who do you take ? Common sense says FSU. Numbers Say BC. Line opened at 3 now it's 2 so public on BC. Gun to my head I take BC but I'm off this game.
Anyway you get the picture. Take the Game Notes, take the line you created and the line available and see if you like it. I cap alot of games before I come up with ones I take. One other thing try not to do what I did last night. I had Xavier 70.45 and Seton Hall 74.5 and posted Xavier as my pick because a guy had a sore thumb and I lost. Stick with the numbers they usually don't lie. You can go crazy tweeking this but it works for me. Hope it helps.
Actually it's really pretty simple. Take tonight for instance lets handicap the Florida State Game as an example:
Florida State: Scores 66.1 ppg on the road and they allow 67.2 ppg
Boston College: Scores 70.9 ppg at home and allows 73.5 ppg
Take the 66.1 (fsu offense) + 73.5 (bc defense ppg allowed) divide by 2 = 69.8 ppg for Florida State in this game.
Take the 70.9 (BC offense) + 67.2 (FSU D ppg allowed) divide by 2 = 69.05 ppg for BC in this game
I start there. If it's worth continuing I go to records away and home. FSU is 5-6 away and BC is 4-8 at home
Still not too excited, so from here I read the breakdowns of every game I like from this point on. You can also get the ppg calculations closer by throwing out blow outs etc...
this will give you your own ppg average that you can use in the above calculations. It takes alot of time but if you do it thru the season you will have the majority of the work done by mid-season.
In the game we are talking about here, here are some notes:
BC beat Syracuse because Syracuse was worried about Duke
Florida State Plays Syracuse this weekend so are they worried about BC?
BC just beat Wake Forest 80-72 with a "D" that held Wake to 6 field goals in the first half.
So who do you take ? Common sense says FSU. Numbers Say BC. Line opened at 3 now it's 2 so public on BC. Gun to my head I take BC but I'm off this game.
Anyway you get the picture. Take the Game Notes, take the line you created and the line available and see if you like it. I cap alot of games before I come up with ones I take. One other thing try not to do what I did last night. I had Xavier 70.45 and Seton Hall 74.5 and posted Xavier as my pick because a guy had a sore thumb and I lost. Stick with the numbers they usually don't lie. You can go crazy tweeking this but it works for me. Hope it helps.
